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Business Analytics��

All photos taken prior to COVID-19

Sudipta Dasmohapatra

sd1285@georgetown.edu

Session 1

July 12, 2022

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Learning Objectives

  • Develop a broad understanding of business analytics concept
  • Examine applications of business analytics and data science to draw customer and business insights
  • Describe how business analytics can be used across various business functions within the organization

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Poll

  • Have you worked in the data and analytics space?
  • How would you characterize your experience with data and analytics?
    • Heard about it
    • <1 year of Experience
    • 1-2 years of Experience
    • 3-5 years of Experience
    • 5-10 years of Experience
    • 10+ years of Experience
    • Other�

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Business Analytics Implementation: Microsoft Workplace

Source: forbes.com

Source: Microsoft.com

The Workplace Analytics effort translated into a combined 100 hours saved per week across all relocated staff members, and an estimated savings of $520,000 per year in employee time (HBR article 2016)

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Business Analytics Implementation: Forecasting Orders and Recipes at Blue Apron

Source: blog.blueapron.io

Multinomial Recipe Model

Identified how subscriber tastes change over time, and recognized how shifting preferences are impacted by recipe offerings = Improved user experience

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Business Analytics: Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods Campaign

Source: wholefoods.com

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Business Analytics: Fraud and Anomaly Detection

  • Feedzai, a fintech company, claims that a fine-tuned machine learning solution can detect up to 95 percent of all fraud and minimize the cost of manual reconciliations, which accounts now for 25 percent of fraud expenditures
  • Capgemini claims that fraud detection systems using machine learning and analytics minimize fraud investigation time by 70 percent and improve detection accuracy by 90 percent

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State of the Analytics in Organizations

TOP Benefits Companies get from using Analytics (2021/2022)

Company Culture and Data Quality are the most challenging aspect of analytics implementation (Dresner’s Business Intelligence 2021, Microstrategy 2022)

Source: 2021/22 Market Share Analysis and Data, Financesonline (Microstrategy)

Data Quality Issues: Is it trustworthy, relevant and actionable?

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State of the Analytics in Organizations

Organizations spent $215 billion in 2021 on analytics - 10% increase over 2020 (IDC Analysts 2022)

By 2023, data literacy will be key to driving business value (Gartner 2021)

69% of business leaders plan to use data in 2022 to shape the customer experience

(Unsupervised 2022)

96% of those investing in Big Data and AI are seeing positive results (NewVantage 2021)

95% of employers say that data science and analytics are skills that are hard to find (MicroStrategy 2020)

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

Which residents in a ZIP code should receive a coupon in the mail?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

What ad strategy best elicits positive sentiment toward the brand?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

What is the best next product for this customer? What other product are they likely to purchase?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

What is the highest price that the market will bear without substantial loss of demand?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

How many products should be in stock? (too many is expensive; too few is lost revenue)

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

What are the best times and best days to have customer service personnel? How to improve employee retention?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

What weekly/monthly revenue increase can be expected after a certain holiday?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

What will sell better near other products? What kind of bundling opportunities do we have?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

Which customers are most likely to switch to a different company in the next six months?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

How likely is it that this individual will have a claim?

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Areas where Analytics are Often Used

  • New customer acquisition
  • Customer Loyalty
  • Cross-sell/ up-sell
  • Pricing tolerance
  • Supply optimization
  • Staffing optimization (people analytics)
  • Financial forecasting
  • Product placement
  • Churn
  • Insurance rate setting
  • Fraud detection

How can I identify a fraudulent transaction?

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Poll

  • Where do you see the applications of analytics in your specific role within business or in your organization?

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When Analytics is NOT Helpful

  • Novel approach: no previous data possible
  • Most salient factors are rare: making decisions to work around unlikely obstacles
  • Expert analysis suggests a particular path: the seasoned critic can recognize a fake
  • Metrics are inappropriate: quantifying psychological elements
  • Naïve implementation of analytics: focusing on one variable at a time
  • Focus is on confirming what you already know: ignoring variables that might be important

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Nuggets (ML)

“If you have got terabytes of data, and you are relying on machine learning to find the interesting things in there for you, you have lost before you have even begun”

- Herb Edelstein

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Artificial Intelligence

Source: HBR, 2018 Thomas Davenport and Rajeev Ronanki

  • Information systems and algorithms designed to make decisions commonly associated with human intelligence (learning, problem solving, pattern recognition), generally with real-time data
  • Examples: Apple Siri, Tesla Self-Driving Cars, Alexa, etc.
  • With improvements in storage systems, processing speeds, and analytical techniques, these algorithms can improve capability for tremendous sophistication in analysis and decision making

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Machine Learning

  • ML is an application of AI
  • Use of mathematical models of data to help a computer learn without direct instruction
  • This enables the computer system to continue to learn and improve on its own based on experience
  • The machine receives data as input and uses an algorithm to formulate answers

  • Examples: Google search engines, twitter sentiment analysis, predicting stock market behavior, etc.
    • More Applications :
      • Predicting the likelihood of a patient returning to the hospital (readmission) within 30 days of discharge
      • Segmenting customers based on common attributes or purchasing behavior for targeted marketing
      • Predicting coupon redemption rates for a given marketing campaign
      • Predicting customer churn so an organization can perform preventative intervention

Predictions

Stores the Feedback

Input Data

Analyze Data

Find Patterns

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What is Business Analytics?

Using data and modeling (ML) to derive insights in order to make informed business decisions

Blend of modeling, data management, computing at scale, optimization, communication and visualization

Focus on automatic processing of data

Drawing Insights from Data: Inference for various organizational decision making based on statistical models and tools

Focus on decision making

Data Science

Business Analytics

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Data Deluge is Driving Business Analytics

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The Consequences of Data Deluge

1. Every problem will generate data eventually

2. Every company will need analytics eventually

3. Everyone will need analytics eventually

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The Consequences of Data Deluge

  1. Every problem will generate data eventually

Proactively defining a data collection protocol will result in more useful information, leading to more useful analytics

2. Every company will need analytics eventually

Proactively analytical companies will compete more effectively

3. Everyone will need analytics eventually

Proactively analytical people will be more marketable and more successful in their work

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Business Analytics Challenge

Getting anything useful out of tons and tons of data

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Business Intelligence vs. Business Analytics

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Poll

  • How is Business Intelligence different from Business Analytics?
    • Which one of these analyzes historical data to find out what went right or wrong?
    • Which one of these analyzes historical data to forecast and look at future trends?
    • Which of these works with structured data?
    • How about combination of structured/unstructured data?

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Poll

  • How is Business Intelligence different from Business Analytics?
    • Which one of these analyzes historical data to find out what went right or wrong? BI
    • Which one of these analyzes historical data to forecast and look at future trends? BA
    • Which of these works with structured data? BI
    • How about combination of structured/unstructured data? BA

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Hope for the Data Deluge

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Changes in the Analytical Landscape

Historically, analytics have typically been handled in the “back office” and information was shared only by a few individuals

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Changes in the Analytical Landscape

  • Analytics are being pushed out to the “front office” and are directly impacting company performance

  • There are clear, tangible benefits that management with track

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The Data: Typically, Disparate Business Units

By integrating information from across the organization, you can -

  • reduce time for search and retrieval of valuable data
  • improve marketing efforts through a 360-degree view of the business process
  • uncover anomalies, problems, opportunities, and other valuable connections in a timely manner

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Challenges to Effective Analytics

3 Top Challenges to More Effective Analytics Use

  1. Data and Privacy Concerns
  2. Limited Access to Analytics
  3. Lack of Talent and Training

Challenges in Analytics Impact

Data Quality and Consistency

Data Access and Availability

Lack of Talent

Lack of Support from Organization (culture)

Limitations of Tools and Infrastructure

Lack of Understanding of the Value and Purpose

Inability to Explain and Implement Insights/Results

Data Security and Privacy Issues

Source: Kaggle, Gartner, CIO.com, Microstrategy, Sloan Management Review, HBR

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Discussion (10 minutes)

Where is data being generated within your organization?

Based on what we have discussed, what type of business analytics challenges do you face or have you seen within your organization? If you haven’t seen these within your organization, what do you expect to see based on your experience within your organization?

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Process: Turning Data into Insights

See next slide

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Advanced Analytical Projects

Requires Knowledge and Teamwork

    • Business Expertise
      • Business problem and processes
      • Customers and prospects
      • Products and markets
    • Data Management Expertise
      • Data access and preparation
      • Data cleansing
      • Data integration and management
    • Analytical Expertise

Communicate results to upper management

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Typical Analytics Journey within Organizations

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Reporting and Dashboards

  • Description, extrapolation
  • Answers questions such as:
    • Where are my key indicators now?
    • Where were my key indicators last week?
    • Is the current process behaving like normal?
    • What’s likely to happen tomorrow?
  • Tools: Tableau, PowerBI, Qlikview, etc.

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Segmentation

  • Objective: Can we find groups of customers who have similar lifestyle, purchase habits, demographics and psychographics to create positioning and targeting strategies?
  • Segmentation Algorithms: (clustering)
  • Key Metrics: Segmentation by customer groups, spending patterns, product types and by channels

Example: 5 Market Segments for Sports Shoes

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What is Predictive Modeling?

  • The learning algorithm in a predictive model attempts to discover and model the relationships among the target variable (variable being predicted, response, outcome, dependent variable) and the other features (predictor variables, attribute, independent variables, explanatory variables)
  • Examples:
    • Using customer attributes to predict the probability of customer churning in the next 90 days
    • Using home attributes to predict home sales price
    • Using employee attributes to predict the likelihood of attrition
    • Using patient attributes and symptoms to predict the risk of readmission
    • Using production attributes to predict the time to market

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Predictive Modeling: Labeled Dataset

  • We begin with a labeled dataset (meaning response is available in the dataset)
  • We use a combination of explanatory variables (not response) to model the response (get least error or accurately getting the response value)
  • Once we get a predicted value of response, we look for the best value which the least error

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Predictive Models

  • The data is used to construct a model (rule) that can predict the values of the target from the inputs
  • If the targets are known, why do you need a prediction model then?
    • It enables you to predict new observations when the target is unknown

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Customer Purchase Pattern and Churn

  • Objective: Predict risk of churn such that proactive strategies can be taken for a new customer
  • Churn Algorithms: Classification models, clustering
  • Key Metrics: Customer churn rate, 30-day inactive customers, 60-day inactive customers, etc.

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Hyper-Personalization and Experimentation

  • Hyper-Personalization: Go beyond segmentation and create a customer experience that is unique to an individual
    • Real-time data + ML to deliver content, suggest next steps, respond to events/promotions (control every touchpoint in your journey map on customer data)
  • Process:

Data

Content

Deliver

Unify

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Example: Hyper-Personalization at Airbnb

Location Services

What service a visitor wants on their site

Every journey is unique (based on interactions)

What is this guest looking for?

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Example: Experimentation (Uber’s User Experience)

Easier and faster ticket solving = better customer support

Source: Adam Berry/getty

Comparing the outcomes of two different choices

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Questions to Ponder

What part of business analytics journey are you in? Do you follow all aspects including dashboarding, segmentation, predictive modeling, hyper-personalization?

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BREAK