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What Makes Uninformed�Traders Tick?

Discussant:

Boone Bowles

Texas A&M University

Mays Business School

October 25, 2019

Barbara Bliss, University of San Diego

Mitch Warachka, Chapman University

Marc Weidenmier, Chapman University

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Big Question � � Are prices more or less efficient when information is more widely disseminated?

Are prices more or less efficient when more uninformed investors participate?

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Main Question of this Paper� Do firms located in states with increasing ticker subscriptions also see an increase in their stock’s price efficiency?

Answer Firms in states with increasing ticker subscriptions experience a decrease in price efficiency.

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Table 3 – Return continuation increases with ticker subscriptions.

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Setting the Stage

  • Ticker subscriptions as an example of disseminating information.
    • Could be thought of as making investing more accessible to the lay person.

  • Are there similarities to our day?
    • Robinhood
    • Zero-Commission Trades

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Setting the Stage

  • Why increases, decreases, spikes?
  • New technology? Lower costs?
  • How many in 1927, 1950, 1981?
  • How many in NYC? How many in College Station, Texas?

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Setting the Stage

 

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Main Result and Suggestions

  • “A one standard deviation increase in ticker subscription growth results in the subsequent week’s return being 0.036 x 0.26 x R instead of -0.0534 x R. This weekly return difference of 0.0628 x R.”
  • Shouldn’t this be 0.044 x R?

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Main Result and Suggestions

  • Return continuation increases with increased ticker subscriptions; price efficiency declines…
  • …but couldn’t we also state that more ticker subscriptions reduce reverals; price efficiency improves?

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Main Result and Suggestions

 

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Additional Comments

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Overall

  • Very interesting paper.

  • Very interesting use of historical information.

  • Very relevant paper with relevant implications.

  • Consider expanding pitch a bit, providing more detail on what explains ticker subscriptions, and use other measure of price efficiency.