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HTF BTC Analysis

How do you guys like the impenetrable wall STP setup at 39K? 😉
Continue to find resistance at the AVWAP from the ATH at 42.8K
Support at 39K strong because of 0.66, pWPOC and Weekly
Losing 39K is very bearish, be prepared for lower
Currently bounced off the daily and the repeated SFP level at 38.1K
4H stoch bottomed out so
Could be a quick oscillator reset within the current 39-42K range
12H stoch was in dump mode

bottoming out with bullish divergence

Daily stoch flipped green on the VIX and stoch bounced but the move was completely absorbed

This is NOT bullish at all

Formed a channel since Jan 23rd low at 32K

Lose the level at 37K then we are heading much lower

Right now watching for S/R flip at the 39K level

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HTF BTC Analysis

What to expect?

Lose the 2022 uptrend channel and we could revisit 35K
Still have that macro channel bottom rising to about 35K now

Is it good that it’s coming up so high? If it gets touched if it doesn’t hold then we are in for FIREWORKS
Looks at 32.8k Summer Range POC and Weekly
Below that 28K
Ultimate capitulation target at 13K-20K for Q4 2022

Upside targets:

Current 0.618 retrace at 44K but could be lower if we dip lower
Could hit as high as 50K if we range within the yearly channel

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HTF BTC Analysis

Todd:

42-44k rejection call from last VIP was bang on.
LAST VIP: Eyeing shorts to 39.3K with the 35-35.6k target still being valid for max pain. CURRENT: TARGET HIT, eyeing 35-35.6k.�Double hidden bearish divergence on the 4h chart indicating further downside.
If this target hits and holds - does not break below 34K - this would confirm a third higher low and should make room for significant upside.

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TODD: 49.6K to 71K

Slow market conditions make it perfect to run CT only, aiming for minimal market exposure and quick trade times.
Started with 49.6K on Feb 9, 2022.
April 22, 2022 ending 71K EVEN.

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TODD: 49.6K to 71K

-Took VIP2, took IPB down to 2.5-5% dependent on market conditions to lessen “front loading”.�-VWAPS were set +/- 0.1 on long/short from the normal VIP2 strat. Average VWAPS of 1-1.3 Long / 1.6-2 Short.�-Adjusted to get rid of trouble pairs (MTL/GTC/GMT, etc.) This can be done per trader feel or use the pairs list found here: (note this is NOT updated anymore)�-Shorts were monitored heavily - cut losses if necessary.�-Longs acceptable to hold IF good coin. (no problems with STORJ etc due to low IPB - config could actively DCA) due to loq IPB and get out.�-Autotransferred 10K out - remainder profits left to transfer 100%.�-49.6K start, 30,194 profit = 79.79k balance.

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TODD: 49.6K to 71K

-approx 30K made in 90 days off 49.6K = 60% ROI.�30,000 / 90 days = 333 per day.�THIS IS A LIVABLE INCOME.

ENJOY :)

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Lemmod: CT Automation

Refer to @Lemmod for CT Automation!

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CEO: PSAR TECHNICAL DEEP DIVE

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CEO: PSAR TECHNICAL DEEP DIVE

What is PSAR?

PSAR uses a trailing stop and then reversal strategy to identify:

trend direction
possible areas of reversal

Dots above price indicator downtrend, dots above price indicate uptrend
PSAR takes extreme high and lows and then applies acceleration Factor which starts at 0.02 and increases by 0.02 to a maximum of 0.2

NOT a Moving Average (which takes average price over a given period)

Reversals occur when the dots flip

How has STP taken PSAR to the next level?

Created a scalper that scalp trades long or short on each PSAR dot
STP has combined multiple time frames of PSAR and used them in confluence to determine macro market conditions
Created multiple filters to detect and filter out price reversals in confluence with PSAR

Starvinmarvin: If there is anything unique being done with sar (for example it looks much farther away from the candles than most stock Sar)

Can adjust increment level to bring dots further or closer to price

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CEO: PSAR TECHNICAL DEEP DIVE

(2) what exactly “is” a Div anyways? Like when we choose a certain period length for the divergence filter, what is actually happening? Is this divergence pattern matching of RSI vs candle pivot points?
What is a DIV?

Divergences occur when a higher high or lower low occurs in price, but the indicator makes a higher lower or lower high showing loss of strength in the price action
This is a leading indicator to show price is about to reverse
PSAR V4 uses RSI divergences but it is possible to have divergences on many other indicators

Analysis period determines how far back the indicator looks back for divergences

If you don’t look back far then you’ll get more signals

but also more likely to get faked out

Use a higher analysis period for higher quality divergences

Won’t catch all tops but will catch major tops

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CEO: PSAR TECHNICAL DEEP DIVE

(3) using PSAR trend to “get in/out of BTC”. As in - holding your account quote currency in Stablecoin while PSAR trend is telling you to, and then switching it to hold as BTC when it’s telling you to.
This is actually our normal way of trading USDT as the base (quote) pair

When BTC moves up your USDT is converted to BTC to take little bites of price action as price moves up
Interested in holding BTC? Change profit currency to BASE (BTC)
Holding crypto is a good strategy during the bull market but bad during bear market

Good to experiment for now but be careful holding especially on leverage (COIN-M)
As price drops, you will have less capital to DCA and your liquidation price will move closer to entry

(4) are there any ways of using PSAR trend to pre-emptively predict a trend change on an ultra-low timeframe like 15-seconds or 5-seconds? Such as with fee rebate markets (BTCBUSD) where you are counter-trend Maker Order accumulating and trying to take micro profits on the retracements almost Market Maker style. I have had some good luck using it this way but I imagine you would have so much more wisdom on how to squeeze insight out of it for this kind of trading.
It is possible to use PSAR this way but in my opinion you get way too much signal noise

This means that PSAR will flip long/short too much to give a reliable signal
More likely to get faked out
This is why we use a low time frame to get lots of trades out of PSAR (1m), but use higher time frames to get more reliable trend status (5m-1D)

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Todd: TVAM Automation

WHAT ARE YOU GUYS DOING WITH ALERTS, CRAZY!!!!�422 THOUSAND ALERTS EDITED!!!! WHAT THE F$%^!!!��-Added 2 additional webhooks for automation for everyone. Shoutout to @Mr. Toe for the request.�-Current version is only 6 alerts, waiting on google to publish new version with 8 webhooks.
-Feel free to request further updates!
NEXT ON THE HIT LIST: backtest automation & grid backtest as well.

�

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Todd: TVAM Automation

-Feel free to request further updates!
NEXT ON THE HIT LIST: backtest automation & grid backtest as well.

�

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Node Pairs

**The basis for the T/A is contingent upon the BTC price action**

ATOM-�PSAR Trend = Short Degen�Major channel up breached (Bearish), First major swing to downside is the $18.50-$19 area expect a bounce in this area��https://www.tradingview.com/x/3RMPPO82/

�AVAX

PSAR Trend (Long Lower on weekly)�Channel up broken( first major swing to downside is the $55-$60 range ( weekly 50 day)

Upside targets if this bottom of range holds here $75-$80

https://www.tradingview.com/x/Cy3ntIZT/

FTM�PSAR Trend on daily (Short Degen)�Neckline broken on FTM here short side targets down to $0.60(Couple week swing down here)�If we dont get continued selling here due to a BTC bounce we can retest the neckline breakdown ~$1.08-$1.20��https://www.tradingview.com/x/HBHBEORL/

SOL�PSAR Trend (Short Degen)�Channel Down (Middle of range)�Upside targets up to $130�Down side targets to retest demand line area $80

�https://www.tradingview.com/x/lvdwAkQE/

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