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PSAR VIP

Session #11

12-06-2021

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Contents

  1. Welcome to everyone!
  2. Ninja: Glassnode HTF Analysis
  3. HTF BTC Analysis
  4. Todd: VIP Strategy Update
  5. CEO: SPOT Composite Bot Strategies
  6. Todd: TVAlertsManager signup
  7. CEO: Error correction: How to learn from the dump and adjust your strategy
  8. Node: Recommended Trading Pairs
  9. Q & A

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HTF BTC Analysis

BTC HTF

  • Remember what I said about the monthly pivot??
  • This weekend: Rejected 60K, got front run
  • Still in the second half of the month, expect more ranging and a bit of dumping
    • A lot of green on the VIX which means bounce incoming soon
  • Daily Stochastic is getting a beautiful reset, this is what we need for parabolic moves!
    • Previous resets at 17, 14 seems likely
  • We can see declining volume which means there is less interest in BTC here
    • This means we need to see volatility to the downside to wick up

TARGETS

  • Downside targets of 52K and most importantly 48K S1, 0.618, weekly
    • Anytime we lose a monthly pivot, expect a move down to Monthly S1
  • Hang on for the next week and then get ready for parabolic moves up to $78K
  • The goal for the next parabolic move: don’t lose all momentum getting up to ATH again
    • If we lose too much momentum, we won’t get much higher

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TODD: VIP STRATEGY UPDATE

  • Got to 10K on Dec 2.
  • 90% compounding may be too aggressive, 100% is probably the way to go.
  • Took a few losses via manual cuts at 52K. As this is still in testing I wanted to see what it would do without intervention from 1HR/4HR signals, and it is clear this style degen absolutely needs it.
  • 7500 -> 10K -> 7700 in past 2 week update as some of the alts on SPOT that I had on grids decided to tank.
  • FULL UPDATE ON HOW IT WORKS next (refer to external slides)

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SPOT Composite Bot Strategies

  • Daily profits of 0.7-2%, average 1.2%
  • The key to spot: less ammunition
    • Limit orders take up account balance so don’t have all your SOs sitting on the exchange
    • Active Orders set to 1-2
    • Small BO/SO of 1-2.5%

  • Composite Bot makes alert+bot creation VERY fast
  • Can set Max active deals - This is HUGE

  • We focus on low risk high quality signals
    • Default Risk Setting - LOW most of the time, MEDIUM in trending market
    • Cast a wide net with low risk settings 15-20 pairs

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TODD: TVAM Signup

Extension officially published to Chrome store as of last night! Awaiting review and very excited to automate this process for our users.

This will be a free beta to work out all bugs for our users. Signup here:

https://forms.gle/YrjiZPNVAFmZvZoU9

A few notes:

-We will be automating alerts further via controlling which spreadsheet to load off of based on signals. Ie 4HR long load alerts off aggressive spreadsheet, 1HR short load alerts off conservative spreadsheet, etc.

-Managed PSAR signals spreadsheet will have signals managed by CEO and myself for users to copy.

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Error correction: How to learn from the dump and adjust your strategy

  • Look at your DIVs and see where the bag occurred
  • How to adjust your DIVs to prevent the dump again
    • XRP example (medium risk was too high)

  • Your take profit strategy
    • Futures profits are unrealized until moved to spot
    • Not taking enough from Futures to account for liquidation
      • Wick Hunter strategy - LIQ every 2 weeks
    • Another user had 10% of account on futures since Sept

  • Why do I not like automated DCA?
    • Catching a falling knife should be done manually if it is greater than 15%
    • This is how we get into trouble
    • I use 4 SOs to 7% (or 3 SOs to 3.5% on spot)
    • Manually DCA

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TuffOctapus: Degen Updates

Refer to @TuffOctapus for the current updates!

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Q & A

  • Feel free to comment or ask any questions on things you may need some advice on.
  • To save on time we would like to keep the Q&A to a maximum of 2 Questions per user.
  • Would like to open the floor up to any users to share some profits in #profit-gains!