Steven Deller
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development?
The 4th Wave
University of Minnesota Extension Department of Community Development’s CD Exchange webinar series.�University of Wisconsin-Madison, Division of Extension, Community Economic Development’s Lunch-n-Learn series.
July 22, 2025
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
“Why are we trying to create more jobs when we can’t fill the ones we have?”
Rural Wisconsin resident at a community meeting.
“[f]ind an area that you want to live, then start your business.”
Rural small manufacturer (Halstead and Deller 1997)
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
There is a long tradition of attempts to influence local economic growth in the U.S.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Mississippi Balance Agriculture with Industry (BAWI) policies of the Great Depression era (1933)
Established the idea of a positive business climate around ideas of:
First shots fired in the “new war between the states”.
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Texas Office of the Governor:
Texas offers companies of all sizes and across all industries one of the best business climates in the nation, with a fair, transparent tax and regulatory structure designed for businesses to succeed. With no corporate or personal income tax at the state level, companies operating in Texas enjoy one of the lowest overall tax burdens in the country. Texas is committed to maintaining its position as the best state for business, and passed legislation providing over $4 billion in tax relief for businesses. Texas prides itself on being a right-to-work state and will continue to make strategic investments to ensure it maintains our competitive advantage, allowing businesses to prosper and grow.
North Carolina Economic Development Organization :
North Carolina has a proven track record of reducing and streamlining business taxes. At 2.5 percent, our state has the lowest corporate income tax rate in the country. North Carolina’s business costs rank among the lowest in the nation, making our state a more profitable place to work. Recent tort reform, streamlined practices and the strengthening of business courts in the state have earned North Carolina accolades and rankings among the best legal climates in the U.S. What does this mean for you? When there’s less red tape and litigation, your business can reach new heights, faster.
Florida Economic Development Organization:
Florida consistently ranks among the best states for business, thanks to its pro-business state tax policies, competitive cost of doing business and streamlined regulatory environment. Florida is working on legislative, fiscal and marketplace initiatives such as insurance tort reform, targeted industry incentives and many more. Florida is also a right-to-work state. Businesses thrive in this low-tax environment, and employees enjoy the benefit of no personal income tax.
Tennessee Economic Development Organization :
Tennessee is proud to be a right-to-work state with no personal income tax on wages. Our state and local tax burdens are among the lowest in the country, and our state budget operates with a healthy surplus rather than a deficit. Successful overhaul of our tort and workers compensation laws.
Idaho Department of Commerce:
In Idaho, we keep our costs and taxes low, and we remove the burdensome regulations that get in the way of success.
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Economic Development Quarterly
10.2 (1996):151 - 158
Policies that may have made sense 75 or 50 years ago do not make any sense today.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
1st Wave: Industry Recruitment, focus on manufacturing.
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Work by David Birch (1981) found strong evidence that job growth comes not from large but smaller, and more recent work (e.g., Conroy and Deller 2015; Haltiwanger, Decker, Miranda 2013) notes particularly newer, firms.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
2nd Wave: Smaller Businesses, focus on existing businesses.
Starting in the 1980s several things came together:
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
2nd Wave: Smaller Businesses, focus on existing businesses.
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Starting in the late 1990s and into the 2000s two things came together:
3nd Wave: Public-Private Partnerships, focus on “clusters”.
(Shoot anything that flies, claim anything that lands.)
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
3nd Wave: Public-Private Partnerships, focus on “clusters”.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Starting in the late 2000s through today several additional factors became prominent:
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Structural labor shortage?
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Greater than One: Labor Surplus
Less than One: Labor Shortage
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
“voting with their feet”
Historically the data supported the idea that “people follow jobs”. Focus on creating employment opportunities and people will come.
Increasingly the data is suggesting that “jobs follow people”.
That rural manufacturer: “[f]ind an area that you want to
live, then start your business.”
Quality of life, or livability, is becoming a focal point of community economic development efforts.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Are communities shifting from a “jobs, jobs, jobs” view of economic development to a “people, people, people” view?
Realization that “jobs follow people” may have flipped?
1st Wave
2nd Wave
3rd Wave
4th Wave
People follow jobs: focus on jobs
Jobs follow people: focus on people
Why would people want to live and work here and perhaps start their business here?
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Planners talk in terms of Placemaking, which in the context of economic development, refers to the intentional process of creating, enhancing, and sustaining public spaces and built environments in ways that improve quality of life, attract talent, foster community identity, and stimulate economic activity.
Planners like to talk in terms of “walkability” and “mixed use developments”, and “inviting public spaces….
But the challenge is much of the work by planners is located in larger urban centers. Do the “lessons learned” from urban translate into rural and smaller communities?
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Be open and receptive to newcomers to the community….
“You don’t understand because you're not from here……….”
This “attitude” of the community can be the “kiss of death”………
Do the strategies that flow from these different “waves” of thinking replace those that came before?
No, rather reorientation of our thinking and refocusing types of strategies considered.
One could think in terms of broadening our approaches.
4th
3rd
2nd
1st
Steven Deller
Center for Community and Economic Development
Economic Development Administration University Center
Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Are We at an Inflection Point in Community Economic Development? The 4th Wave.
Thank You!
Steven Deller
scdeller@wisc.edu