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Tweeting (or Tweaking)

Climate Change:

A Research Blueprint

September 2016

Tommy Xie

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Background

Earlier research

Follow me at

@tommiexie

www.tommyxie.com

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Social Construction of Climate Change

Focus

  • Climate change media coverage
  • Framing theory
  • Prestige newspapers and blogs
  • U.S. and Chinese media
  • Longitudinal design

Full journal article at

goo.gl/1qMqcq

Key findings

  • Newspaper’s major shift in reporting in late 2000s
  • Bloggers much more skeptical than newspapers
  • Almost zero skepticism in Chinese media
  • Who’s responsible: U.S. Government

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But things have changed

Traditional & Grassroot Social Media Symbiotic Relationship

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New Focus

Twitter

500M/DAY (200+GB)

Key platform for

  • news distribution
  • political campaign
  • social movement

Moments

Social media rely on moments

  • Spontaneous
  • Respond to internal/external moments
  • Change in sampling paradigm

Climate Summit 2014 COP21

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Why these moments

  • Climate Summit 2014 (NYC, Sep/2014) and COP21 (Paris, Nov-Dec/2015) are events in a sequence held by the UN.
  • Climate Summit 2014, which ignited heated discourse on social media, was a preamble to COP21.
  • COP21 aims to, for the first time in over 20 years of UN negotiations, a binding and universal agreement on climate, from all the nations of the world.

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Research Questions

Network structure

  • Who are the voices (identity)?
  • How are they interconnected (identity clusters)?
  • How are they geographically mapped over time?

Narrative

  • What are the major frames (topic salience) in the discourse?
  • How are the frames paired (e.g. immigration & national security) to mold public perception
  • How is the content sourced (news media/NGO/pundits...)

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Research Questions: Two Analytical Dimensions

Moments

  • CS14
  • COP21

Narrative

  • What are the major frames (topic salience) in the discourse?
  • How are the frames paired (e.g. immigration & national security) to mold public perception
  • How is the content sourced (news media/NGO/pundits...)

Sentiment groups

  • Pro
  • Against
  • Neutral

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Method

Data Capture

TwitterR and StreamR packages for R

  • Twitter R for querying past tweets (CS14)
  • Stream R for capturing ongoing tweets (COP21)

Three weeks: estimate 15, 000, 000+ tweets

Analysis

  • WordStat for semantic analysis for frames
  • sna package in R for network analysis
  • Machine-learning (naive Bayes classifier in LightSIDE) algorithm for sentiment analysis
  • CartoDB for geo-spatial mapping

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WordStat: Semantic Analysis

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CartoDB: Geo-Spatial Analysis