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GLOBAL-E ONLINE LTD.

Scalar Gauge Fund, L.P.

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COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Israeli-based cross-border eCommerce company, started in 2013
  • Cross-border eCommerce optimization and localization of shopper experience
  • Went public May 12 at $25 a share – 171% increase since then (Ticker = GLBE)

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COMPANY SERVICES

  • SaaS, white label product
  • Services:
    • Optimization of eCommerce: Global-e calculates currency conversions, duties, complies w/ import regulations, etc.
    • Data Optimization: Business Intelligence Model
    • Localization: 25+ languages, 100+ currencies, 150+ payment methods, 170+ destination markets, 20+ carrier partners
    • After sales support and returns
    • Global-e becomes merchants of record, transferring some liability to them

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WHY 3P COMPANY FOR ECOMMERCE?

  • D2C eCommerce becoming increasingly popular (20% growth in 2021)
    • In-house D2C requires time/effort/investment
  • Cross-border eCommerce growing at double the rate of domestic eCommerce (Accenture research)
  • International shoppers are 30% of traffic but only 5-10% of monetization
  • eCommerce tailwinds due to pandemic expected to continue
  • As companies grow, handling logistics becomes more of a burden 🡪 turn to third parties

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COMPANY REVENUE SEGMENTS

  • 1) Service fees
    • Generated as a percentage of GMV processed (6.5% take rate)
    • Gross profit margin = 70%
    • 37% of total revenue
  • 2) Fulfillment services (shipping, handling, returns)
    • Take rate = 11.2%
    • Gross profit margin = 10%
    • 63% of total revenue
    • Optional but about 94% of merchants use fulfillment services – suggests cost effective business model

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COMPANY SCALE + GROWTH

  • Statistics for end of 2018, 2019, 2020 only
  • Merchants: 161 🡪 283 (76% inc) 🡪 442 (56% inc)
  • GMV: 211 🡪 382 🡪 774 million
    • Forrester: TAM for cross-border eCommerce will be 736 billion by 2023
    • Lots of potential to expand
  • 4.6 mil transactions in 2020

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COMPANY MERCHANTS

  • About 50% of merchants are UK based but looking towards other countries
  • Luxury and mass market fashion = 76% of GMV, Jewelry = 7%, Sports and Fitness = 7%, Cosmetics = 6%
  • Big name brands: Hugo Boss, Anastasia Beverly Hills, Marc Jacobs, Marks & Spencer, Versace, Cartier, Forever 21, Desigual, Uniqlo, Skims by Kim Kardashian

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COMPANY MERCHANT PROFILE

  • 46 known Global-e merchants
  • Merchants tend to 1) be name brands or 2) offer specialized products because otherwise there would be no advantage for cross-border eCommerce vs local shopping
  • Global-e merchants align with this, as most brands have a significant following

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STRENGTHS

  • Effective
    • 58% average increase in conversion rate
    • Lots of name-brand customer success stories with high figures cited on Global-e website
    • 134% and 172% Net Dollar Retention Rate – existing customers see opportunity with Global-e
    • Specialized solutions: Global-e Pro and Global-e Enterprise
    • 98% Gross Dollar Retention Rate
  • Partnerships (35% of new merchants through referrals)
    • Shopify
    • DHL
    • BigCommerce, Facebook Retail, etc.

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Global-e merchants expand into new markets and increase GMV because they see opportunity

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EXCLUSIVE PARTNERSHIPS

  • Shopify partnership as of April 2021
    • Global-e pays Shopify 470 million over 4 years in warrants
    • Global-e gets access to over 10k Shopify merchants (merchants can choose to work with Global-e)
    • Global-e expects that top 1% of Shopify merchants will be relevant to them, equating 30-40% of total Shopify GMV
    • Will drive future growth
  • DHL Partnership
    • Handles 59% of shipping
    • Holds > 5% of outstanding shares

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WEAKNESSES

  • Revenue Concentration
    • Top 10 customers = 44% of revenue
    • Biggest customer (Marks & Spencer) = 15% of revenue
  • Possible overreliance on DHL
  • Markup from duties/shipping is passed onto customers
  • Partnership with Shopify could fail to meet expectations
  • No significant differentiation in services compared to competitors

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OPPORTUNITIES

  • Cross-border eCommerce trends
    • Secular growth industry
    • Forrester: TAM = 736 billion by 2023
    • D2C eCommerce growth rate of 20%
    • Cross-border eCommerce growing 2x faster than domestic eCommerce
    • Tailwinds expected to continue post-pandemic
  • Partnerships with Shopify, Facebook Retail, BigCommerce, etc.

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THREATS

  • Slow down of global eCommerce post-pandemic
  • Changing regulations & data privacy laws
  • 70% of increase in GMV from 2019 to 2020 came from existing customers
    • Possible inability to onboard new merchants efficiently
  • Competitors
    • eShopWorld
    • Borderfree
    • Flow.io

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COMPETITOR ANALYSIS – ESW

  • Essentially the same services, including data optimization BIM
  • Recently acquired by the Asendia Group in April
  • Also has a partnership with Facebook
  • Started in 2010, slightly bigger than Global-e ($1b vs 774m GMV)
  • Slower growth than Global-e
    • ESW: 34% growth 2018-2019, 85% growth 2019-2020
    • Global-e: 81% growth 2018-2019, 103% growth 2019-2020
  • ESW name brands: Nike, Victoria’s Secret, Calvin Klein, J.Crew, American Eagle

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COMPETITOR ANALYSIS – BORDERFREE

  • Global-e offers data optimization, Borderfree does not
  • Borderfree: $100m GMV in 2015
    • Declined significantly due to fluctuation in the dollar
    • Acquired in 2015 by Pitney Bowes
  • eCommerce services limited to US, UK, China
  • 300+ merchants
  • Borderfree name brands: Macy’s, Crate & Barrel, Bloomingdale’s, Saks Fifth Avenue, Nordstrom, Neiman Marcus, Under Armour, L.L. Bean, Rue La La, Kendra Scott, bebe, Champion, Ann Taylor, Bed, Bath & Beyond, Dillard’s, Target, Aeropostale, Sephora, Pottery Barn, Brooks Brothers, Vineyard Vines, Men’s Wearhouse
  • Not much other info

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COMPETITOR ANALYSIS – FLOW.IO

  • Smaller than Global-e based on number of employees
  • 200% YoY growth in 2019
  • Alpha beta testing (unique to Flow Commerce)
  • Not many name brands
  • Not much other information

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WHY GLOBAL-E?

  • Global-e CEO: How Global-e competes: larger scale in terms of activity and/or geographic and/or product maturity scale. Best capabilities and most comprehensive data-driven insights.
  • Rely on scalability and comprehensiveness

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MARKET RESEARCH

  • Researched Top 100 Fashion brands (by value) to find number of Facebook + Instagram followers, current eCommerce solution, and extent of cross-border eCommerce capabilities
  • Most companies focus on Europe – possibly bc it’s easier due to Euro and similar public policies
    • Some companies offer options for East Asian countries (Japan, SK, HK, China, Taiwan, Singapore), bigger Asian countries (India, Indonesia), and/or a few Middle Eastern countries
    • Global-e would allow these companies to expand beyond Europe

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MARKET RESEARCH (CONTINUED)

  • Created database containing:
    • Information on multiple eCommerce employees at each of the top 100 fashion brands (about 350 names total)
    • Information on multiple eCommerce employees at Global-e merchants (about 150 names total)
  • Talking to eCommerce professionals 🡪 insight into dynamics of Global-e and the eCommerce industry as a whole
  • https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FsMlt8RIb5AaotiiFnFk0fsCGjWd7QzVSO7cuiByA1E/edit?usp=sharing

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INVESTMENT THESIS

  • Uniquely positioned to grow because of exclusive partnerships with Shopify/DHL
  • While Global-e doesn’t have significant competitive advantages or unique features, the company will remain profitable because 1) the sheer size of the TAM, 2) proven ROI, and 3) competitive capabilities

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INVESTMENT THESIS (CONTINUED)

  • Drivers of growth:
    • Top fashion brands have room to expand beyond Europe
    • Goldman Sachs predicts Global-e 0.5% market penetration by 2023, indicating huge possibilities for future growth
    • Demonstrated need – international shoppers are 30% of traffic but represent 5-10% of monetization
    • Proven ROI – 58% average increase in conversion rates after Global-e
    • Attracted attention after significant gains in stock price post-IPO
    • Consistent growth – 81% in 2019, 103% in 2020

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FUTURE STEPS/MISCELLANEOUS

  • August 16: Global-e will release Quarter 2 results