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Health Data and Studies

What is data? How do we collect it? Who participates in a study?

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�Health Data and Studies

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Module 2:

Learning Objectives:

  • Define data-related terms
  • Understand differences between correlation and causation
  • Understand how data are collected
  • Apply knowledge in Monitoring the Future activity

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What are some key terms?

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Terms to know

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A collection of information, such as measurements, observations, or descriptions of things.

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Terms to know

Definition: Data

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Science is about measuring relationships between two or more variables.

A variable is anything that can be measured in a research study.

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Terms to know

Definition: Variable

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A general pattern or direction in which something is developing or changing

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We can examine the trend of variables over time.

Let’s look at some examples...

Terms to know

Definition: Trend

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As ice cream sales go up, so do shark attacks...

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Looking at trends

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Does this mean that buying ice cream causes shark attacks?

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Looking at trends

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Or… does this mean that shark attacks cause people to buy more ice cream?

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Looking at trends

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What could be going on here?

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Looking at trends

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Both events happen in the summer!

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Looking at trends

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Definition: Correlation is when two events are related, but one does not necessarily cause the other

Definition: Causation is when one events causes the other to occur

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Correlation vs. Causation

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Positive Correlation

Both trends move in the same direction!

As one trend goes up, the other trend goes up

  • Example: As ice cream sales increase, so do shark attacks

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Correlation vs. Causation

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Negative Correlation

The trends go in opposite directions!

As one trend goes up, the other trend goes down

  • Example: As ice cream sales increase, winter coat sales decrease

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Correlation vs. Causation

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No Correlation

  • There is no relationship between two variables.
  • Example: increase of ice cream sales has no clear pattern with people contracting a common cold

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Correlation vs. Causation

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Try describing a relationship....

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Vivek notices that students in his class with larger shoe sizes tend to have higher grade point averages. Based on this observation, what is the best description of the relationship between shoe size and grade point average?

Choose 1 answer:

  • Causal relationship
  • No correlation
  • Positive correlation
  • Negative correlation
  • Cannot be determined from the information provided

Check your knowledge

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Try describing a relationship....

Vivek notices that students in his class with larger shoe sizes tend to have higher grade point averages. Based on this observation, what is the best description of the relationship between shoe size and grade point average?

Choose 1 answer:

  • Causal relationship
  • No correlation
  • Positive correlation
  • Negative correlation
  • Cannot be determined from the information provided

Check your knowledge

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How do we collect data?

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To understand trends, we need to look at data over time among the same people

Longitudinal - Across time

Longitudinal Cohort Study

Cohort - Group of people

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How do we collect data?

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How do we decide who should be in a research study?

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How do we collect data?

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Population versus Sample

Definition: Population

A population contains all members of a specified group.

Definition: Study Sample

A sample contains a part, or a subset, of a population. The size of a sample is always less than the size of the population from which it is taken.

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Data collection

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Which people would you invite?

For example, if you want to know the most popular activities to do in Los Angeles, which people would you survey?

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Data collection

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Definition: Sampling Bias

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Sampling bias happens if there are more survey responses from certain groups than others or if results favor one outcome over another.

Data collection

Population

Sample

Democrats

Republicans

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How many people would you invite into your study?

    • Can a sample of 5 people be used to draw a conclusion about the entire U.S.?
    • What if the 5 people are chosen at random?
    • Could the small sample of 5 people be unusual just by chance?

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Data collection

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Now let’s look at a real longitudinal cohort study!

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Monitoring the Future Study

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  • Study started in 1975
  • Annual survey of teen drug, alcohol, and tobacco use
  • Teens asked about their substance use across 3 time points:
    • Use across their lifetime
    • Use in the past year
    • Use in the past month
  • Data collected from 42,531 students from 396 public and private schools this past year

Monitoring the Future

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Survey-data has been used to tell stories that make real differences and shape policies that protect youth and benefit communities!

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Monitoring the Future

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How do we present data?

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X-AXIS

Y-AXIS

Monitoring the Future

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Next Up: Monitoring

the Future Activity�

  1. Locate the Monitoring the Future student worksheet
  2. Open the website: https://teens.drugabuse.gov/teachers/stats-and-trends-teen-drug-use
  3. Answer the questions on your worksheet

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Activity 2.1