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ISSUES IN EQUITY POLICY

Andrew Norton

ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods

Session 2A

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Issue is not just equity categories, but the framing of equity policy.

Policy & research is focused on relatively small equity branded programs – not the main drivers of access or outcomes.

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

2

23/11/2022

$billion

Sources: Department of Education: Portfolio Budget Statement; HELP and CGS determinations

Department of Social Services: Portfolio Budget Statement, Payment demographic data, special data request

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Lowest 25% definition of low SES does not reliably allocate resources to individuals or universities

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

3

23/11/2022

Source: ABS, Census longitudinal dataset

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Reintroduced targets a likely Accord outcome, but little evidence

of systemic poor decision making in not choosing higher education

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

4

23/11/2022

Australia born tertiary attainment 2021, 25-34 years

Source: ABS, Education and Work, TableBuilder

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Equity targets that are unrealistic about academic prospects encourage unethical recruitment

Year 9 2021 = first year uni students of 2025

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

5

23/11/2022

Per cent

Bands 9 & 10

(highest)

NAPLAN numeracy results

Source: ACARA, National NAPLAN report

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A HELP debt without a degree is not ‘equity’

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

6

23/11/2022

Attrition rates six years after commencing a bachelor degree

Commencing year

Source: Department of Education, Completion rates of higher education students: A cohort analysis 2005-2020

Should closely monitor

and analyse time spent &

debt incurred.

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Academic preparation issues

System capacity issues

Living expense financial issues during course

Teaching methods

Other support services, eg counselling

Practical problem solving rather than classifying individuals as equity group or not

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

7

23/11/2022

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Biggest threat to equity group access is the supply of student places not meeting demand from a large birth cohort

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

8

23/11/2022

Births 18 years previously

Source: ABS, Historical population statistics

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Supply falling back relative to demand could increase academic selection effects

ANU CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHODS | SESSION 2A

9

23/11/2022

Low SES

Source: Department of Education, Domestic undergraduate students by equity group

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