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Progress Tracker

Grand Gulf Energy

ASX: GGE

OTCQB: GRGUF

Disclaimer: We are NOT geologists - this document is used by our team to internally to try and track GGE’s progress with its drilling program, it should not be relied upon by anyone to make any decisions. This document will change over time as the project evolves. For all disclaimers and disclosures please visit our website.

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Our Big Bet:

GGE makes a commercial helium discovery, ties it into the existing local processing infrastructure, and becomes a USA helium producer - or gets taken over.

(NOTE: This is what we think the ultimate success scenario looks like for this particular Investment over the long term (3+ years). There is a lot of work to be done by the company to get to this outcome and obvious risks to which need to be considered, some of which we list in our GGE Investment Memo.

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02 September 2021 - GGE acquires helium project in Utah, USA.

GGE signs an agreement to acquire up to a 75% interest in a helium project in Utah, USA.

Deal summary:

  • GGE to own 75%.
  • 23,600 acres of ground currently leased.
  • Project is structurally analogous to operational Doe Canyon Helium Field and Plant owned by Air Products Inc – market cap US$60B

GGE pays:

  • 450m GGE shares + 100m performance shares
  • US$1.3M for leasing costs + US$5.5M in deferred drilling costs as consideration.

Helium price: US$280/mmcf

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Project highlights

15 miles away from the second largest US helium discovery in 70 years - Doe Canyon Helium field ✅

Geologically analogous to the operating Doe Canyon Helium field ✅

20 miles from a processing plant - Lisbon gas processing plant capable of producing 99.9995% helium (used in semiconductor manufacturing) ✅

In a region full of pipeline infrastructure to tie in a new discovery quickly. ✅

US$50BN+ in new chip factories being built in neighbouring US states ✅

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18 November 2021 - Acreage size increased by 16%.

Key takeaways:

  • Total ground held increased by 16% to now sit at 27,303 acres.

  • New leases all sit on Utah freehold land, This means GGE can avoid regulatory red-tape when conducting future drilling programs.

Helium price: US$320/mmcf

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08 December 2021 - Maiden prospective helium resource released

Key takeaways:

  • 7.4 billion cubic feet (BCF) gross unrisked prospective resource (P50 basis).
  • GGE earning in 75% interest.
  • Net 5.6 BCF prospective resource to GGE.

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15 December 2021 - GGE increases ownership in project to 85%

Key takeaways:

  • GGE increases overall project ownership to 85%.
  • 90.4M GGE shares + $400k paid for additional ownership.
  • GGE’s net entitlement to the prospective helium resource is now 6.3 billion cubic feet (BCF).

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17 January 2022 - Well permitting starts & exploration manager appointed

Key takeaways:

  • Doug Frederick appointed as Exploration Manager.
  • Ex-Shell engineer with 20 years of experience at neighbouring Doe Canyon helium/CO2 field.
  • Well site selected and permitting commenced.

Helium price: US$250 - 400/mmcf

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09 March 2022 - Drilling contract signed

Key takeaways:

  • Aztec Well Servicing contracted to drill Jesse #1 well.
  • Aztec also worked with GGE’s Exploration Manager Doug Frederick on the neighbouring Doe Canyon field.

Helium price: US$250 - 400/mmcf

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16 March 2022 - Helium offtake agreement BEFORE a discovery

Key points of the offtake agreement:�

  • Offtake agreement signed with the owner of the Lisbon helium plant, 20 miles (~32km) to the north.�
  • Industry standard 80/20 revenue split in favour of the producer (GGE).�
  • Potential sales volumes will be based on what GGE discovers at the Jesse-1 well�
  • Pipeline infrastructure already in place if a discovery is made.

Helium price: US$605/mmcf

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25 March 2022 - Jesse#1 drill site work begins

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04 April 2022 - Additional drilling locations identified

Key takeaways:

  • 3x new independent prospects in addition to the Jesse prospect. �
  • 4x step out locations to extend the Jesse prospect if a discovery is made.

Helium price: US$2,000-3,000/mmcf

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05 April 2022 - Drilling permit for Jesse #1 approved

Key takeaways:

  • Drilling permit approved with drilling set to commence in coming weeks.

Read our full commentary on this news

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11 April 2022 - Strategic alliance with Paradox Resources

Key points of the strategic alliance:

  1. Helium from GGE could restart Paradox’s helium liquefier (capable of producing high purity helium which sells for a >US$1,000/mmcf premium)�
  2. GGE and Paradox to sell high-purity helium to end-users in the semiconductor, medical, research, space and defence industries.�
  3. GGE and Paradox will assess and jointly pursue corporate opportunities.�
  4. GGE and Paradox will look into CO2 Disposal - Enhanced Oil Recovery and Carbon Sequestration

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26 April 2022 - Jesse #1A well spudded

Key takeaways:

  • Drilling is expected to take ~30 days to reach the total depth of ~8,500 feet.

Our bull/base/bear case expectations:

  • Bullish case: Raw gas flow rate of 10mmcfpd of raw gas with helium grades >0.4%�
  • Base case: GGE is able to successfully flow test the well. �
  • Bearish case: GGE fails to produce a flow test and/or the flow test returns no helium concentrations.

Helium price: US$2,000-3,000/mmcf

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30 May 2022 - 203 ft (62 metre) gas column intercepted

Key takeaways:

  • Drilling completed at Jesse #1A well
  • A gross gas column measuring ~203 feet (~62 metres) was intercepted.

There are three key pieces of information needed for GGE to announce a commercial discovery:

  1. A proven gas system - 62m gas column hit ✅
  2. Flow Rates - An outcome is due in about 3 weeks 🔄
  3. Helium grades - An outcome is due in about 3 weeks 🔄

Helium price: US$2,000-3,000/mmcf

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29 June 2022 - Helium discovery confirmed

Key takeaways:

  • GGE intercepts commercially viable helium grades.
  • Consistent helium grades ranging between 0.44% – 0.65%.
  • Production and flow test to happen in August.

Three key pieces of info needed to announce a commercial discovery:

  • A proven gas system - 62m gas column hit ✅
  • Flow Rates - An outcome is due in about 3 weeks 🔄
  • Helium grades - Above our 0.4% expectation, GGE’s grades are between 0.44 and 0.65% ✅

Helium price: US$2,000-3,000/mmcf

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20 July 2022 - Project ownership now 70%, earning in a total of 85%.

Key takeaways:

  • GGE’s ownership is now 70% after drilling the first well. �
  • Remainder of acquisition agreement will see GGE increase ownership to 85%.

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31 August 2022 - Workover rig on site ahead of flow test

Key takeaways:

  • Workover drill rig on site and rigging up ahead of a flow test at the Jesse #1A well.
  • If a flow test is successful, the well can be monetised through existing infrastructure + offtake agreement that is already in place.
  • Next exploration well announced for Q4 2022. �

Final piece needed to announce a commercial discovery:

  • A proven gas system - 62m gas column hit ✅
  • Flow Rates - About to start flow testing 🔄
  • Helium grades - Grades between 0.44 and 0.65%.✅

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What’s next and what do we want to see?

Final piece needed to announce a commercial discovery:

  • A proven gas system - 62m gas column hit ✅
  • Helium grades - Grades between 0.44 and 0.65%.✅
  • Flow Rates - About to start flow testing 🔄

Our bull/base/bear case for the flow rates

Where GGE is at right now

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09 September 2022 - Flow testing started

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21 September 2022 - Results from flow testing

Results sit firmly inside “base case” and helium grades exceed our “bullish case”.

Grading of GGE’s first ever helium well.

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What we know and what’s next for GGE?

What’s next:

Drilling of next well 🔄

  • Planning for appraisal/development wells underway at Jesse.
  • Drilling of “Earp” prospect targeting a completely independent NEW helium discovery.

Key takeaways from first well:

  • Independent audit (Sproule) confirming helium discovery and supporting and upgrade in GGE’s resource to “contingent resources”.

  • Helium grades INCREASED to 1%.

  • Gases produced to surface.

  • Planning already underway for appraisal/development wells.

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2023 GGE Investment Memo

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What’s next for GGE:

Drilling of Jesse #2 well (Q4-2022 / Q1-2023) 🔄

  • With the learnings from the first well, we want to see GGE complete a second well at its Jesse discovery and get a commercially viable flow rate.

Our bull/base/bear case expectations for the flow rate are as follows:

  • Bullish case (exceptional result) = Raw gas flow rate at or above 10mmcf per day with helium grades >0.4%.
  • Base case (good result) = Raw gas flow rate of between 5-10mmcf per day with helium grades >0.4%.
  • Bearish case (poor result) = GGE fails to produce a flow test.

Aiming to avoid water/gas contact zone so a flow test can be produced.

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05 January 2022 - Drill permits granted

Drilling of the Jesse #2 well 🔄

What we want to see from the drill program:

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07 March 2023 - Jesse-2 spud date = 12th March 2023.

Drilling of the Jesse #2 well 🔄

What we want to see from the drill program:

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15 March 2023 - ⚠️Jesse-2 well spudded⚠️

What we want to see from Jesse-2:

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21 March 2023 - Jesse-2 well update:

What we want to see from Jesse-2:

Well is now at 3,135 feet.

Total targeted depth is ~8,150 feet.

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29 March 2023 - Jesse-2 well update:

What we want to see from Jesse-2:

Well is now at 5,928 feet.

Total targeted depth is ~8,150 feet.

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03 April 2023 - Jesse-2 well update

Results likely to be days away now.

Here is what we want to see from the Jesse-2 well:

Well is now at 7,050 feet.

Total targeted depth is ~8,150 feet.

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24 April 2023 - Jesse-2 well result

Here is how the Jesse-2 well stacked up against our expectations:

  • GGE produced 0.03mmcf per day versus our base case expectation of 5-10mmcf.
  • Results confirm extensions to GGE’s helium discovery.
  • Helium grades up to 0.9%.

Next well planned already: