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Depin Investment Memo

Yolo 2024.5

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New Trend:Data, Access and Connection

  1. Why IoT failed in 2015-2020?
    1. Single input&output
    2. Lack of Necessity to internet connection and application
  2. The New Trend AI bring to device
    • Isolated down&upload demands. device-sovereign
    • More Usecase:user-centric & sensor-centric
    • How to turn a device into a miner
      1. authentic data
      2. trackable DID access
  3. Core Blockchain Senorio:
    • Data Authentic(端侧预言机)
    • DID Access(设备入网码)
    • Communication Layer

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Abstraction

Source《The rise of smart and AI-capable cellular IoT modules: Evolution and market outlook》,iot-analytics https://iot-analytics.com/rise-of-smart-ai-capable-cellular-iot-modules/

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Depin Theme:Module

  1. Sensor(+Oracle)
  2. Module
  3. Communication
  4. Operation System

Points of View:

  1. Device is a set of module +oracle(设备解耦)
  2. Communication Layer would be next DID layer (模组为中心的可信通讯)
  3. Oracle as a system,maybe not one oracle (本地SE+设备间验证)

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Depin Theme: What is Module?

Scarce resources are organized in a distributed manner, providing a permission less commodity service, and resource control is achieved through RealTime Management (to avoid negative impacts on the outside world)

3 Keys:

  1. Commodity Service from distributed system
  2. Permissionless service.
  3. Real-time risk operation.

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How to dive into Depin Market? Smart Module

According to the latest 2023 data, among the top five global cellular module manufacturers, Quectel Communications holds a share of 34%, Fibocom a share of 8%, China Mobile 7%, and Jinhai Intelligent accounts for 6%.

  1. Module+Sensor= Depin
  2. Device is a aggregater of module

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Investment Theme:Detailed

  1. End-Oracle
    1. before the massive depin miner adoption, We have to ensure the data authentic
  2. DID-Access Both for the humen being and device:
    • Real-time management
    • Communication Layer,A better DID Layer
  3. Function based module(not device)
    • Module+ai+TEE/SE
    • one I/O one Module, Device is an aggregator of module
  4. Miner as a business model
    • new version of wholesaler
    • why we need Miner?
  5. Personal AI-End. Isolated inference.
    • End-Inference would be another option to cloud Inference.

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Depin Theme:Communication Layer,Better DID,Virtual Access Layer

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Investment themes and examples

稀缺资源以分布式的方式组织起来,提供了一种permission less 的 大宗服务,并通过事中监控的方式实现资源的管控,避免对外界造成负面影响。

三大标准:

  • 资源以分布式组织形成的大宗服务
  • Permissionless service.
  • Real-time risk operation.
  1. General Sensor
  2. Communication
    1. 存储数据中继:PCDN;
    2. Cellular Network
    3. Public IP
    4. Blueteeth
    5. Dial Pool(猫池)
  3. Module Infra
    • Oracle
    • End-Ledger in module
  4. Miner as a service
    • RW Supply Chain reshape

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Q&A

  1. MEME,Depin, Mass Adoption?
    1. accquire traders
    2. attract users
  2. 2BN and 2TVC?

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Others

案例一,某无人机平台。需求端几乎为B端,收入无弹性。无人机的跨境调度成本高昂。希望借助于token来实现产能的扩张。需求刚性,不具备Scale特征,团队落脚点在供货毛利,不在协议层整合。

案例二,游戏机。能不能铺货?铺货能不能提升场景。AI终端机铺货,大事儿,难事儿。

案例三,sim卡和虚拟运营商。以矿机形式同时调动渠道商参与供给,以及需求渠道的搭建。

案例四,手环/健康检测仪/产品类。供给端是一批厂商,没有办法抽象出一个服务层。重新铺货,且满足的是同一需求。量不具备Scale特性,只能走存量转化的路径。

案例五,传感器数据类,silicio,声音类产品。传感器采集类,需求端刚性,供给端。传感器模组如何在设备间横向Scale?

checklist

  1. 需求能否Scale?
  2. 团队是卖货还是做协议?
  3. 传感器类项目能不能跨设备打通?

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Depin的代表项目

Depin的代表项目:

  1. Arkeen。Depin的核心在于PoWp的贡献。最重要的在于终端预言机价值,而Depin项目的估值体系最终在于可信矿机接入量,可信Pow的上传量。
  2. Natix Network 是一个基于区块链的众包摄像头网络,用于创建实时世界地图。
  3. Grass 是 Wynd Network 开发的一个 DePIN 项目,允许用户通过将其联网设备添加到旨在为 AI 训练提供数据的去中心化网络中,从而变现其未使用的网络资源。
  4. Zonal 正在开发一种基于微定位协议的去中心化网络,利用超宽带 (UWB) 和低功耗蓝牙 (BLE) 等无线通信技术,提供高度可靠的全球和室内定位服务,验证真实世界的互动。其目标是创建一个统一的协议,为各种服务和企业提供位置验证工具 。
  5. XNET 是一个下一代移动运营商,利用区块链技术建立去中心化网络。通过使用 CBRS 频谱,XNET 旨在建立一个可靠的行业级中立主机网络。该项目的目标是通过其分布式无线接入网络(RAN)解决电信行业的效率低下和资本密集问题 。

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REF