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Regulatory Biology and�The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Statistical Mechanics

MCB137/237 – Spring 2025

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Neidhardt and his lifelong love for dN/dt

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The insight from Monod and Jacob: Genes that control other genes

Monod (1949)

(also called shadow)

(also called shadow)

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Cells Make Decisions About Their Diet

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Can the input-output function of regulatory decisions be modeled?

  • Can model and experiment agree on the input-output relations of genetic circuits?

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The Central Dogma of Molecular Biology Links Information and Action in Cells

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Cartoon Model: Cellular Decisions by Turning Genes On and Off

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Activators and Repressors�Regulate Access to the Promoter

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Repressors and Activators In Action

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The lac operon

Jacques Monod

Francois Jacob

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“What is true for E. coli is true for the elephant”, Jacques Monod

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A Simple Model of a Constitutive Promoter

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Measuring gene expression

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What does the mRNA distribution tell us about how transcription happens?

Zenklusen et al. (2008)

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mRNA production is not continuous

Ido Golding

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The Trajectory of the Constitutive Promoter

  • What’s the fraction of time (probability) that RNA polymerase spends bound on the promoter?

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Calculating probabilities of different molecular states

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The Entropy of the Whole System is Maximized, But the Free Energy of Our System is Minimized

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How do we distribute a given amount of money among ourselves?

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Distributing money or energy leads to the same probability distribution

Boltzmann Weight

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The fundamental law of statistical mechanics

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The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural Sciences

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The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Statistical Mechanics in Biology

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The Boltzmann Distribution

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Why statistical mechanics?

  • Can we use statistical mechanics to predictively understand cellular decision making?

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Botlzmann’s Most Famous Equation

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Sodium Channels and Action Potentials

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Single Ion Channel Recordings

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What Are the Probabilities of Each Ion Channel State?

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A voltage-gated sodium channel

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Ions and Membrane Potential

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The Statistical Mechanics Protocol for an Ion Channel

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Mathematizing Our Cartoons: mRNA Production Rate Is Proportional to Promoter Occupancy

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Using Statistical Mechanics to Calculate the Fraction of Time RNAP Is Bound to the Promoter

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RNA Polymerase Can Be Bound Specifically or Non-Specifically

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The Statistical Mechanics Protocol

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The Occupancy Hypothesis

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How many ways can we seat P spectators in a stadium with NNS seats?

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Seating P Distinguishable Spectators on NNS Seats

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The Spectators Are Indistinguishable

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Statistical Mechanics Determines the Probability of RNA Polymerase Binding to the Promoter Sequence

Bintu, et al., Curr Op Gen Dev (2005)

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pbound for the Constitutive Promoter

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The lac operon

Jacques Monod

Francois Jacob

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A Simple Model of a Constitutive Promoter

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Statistical Mechanics Determines the Probability of RNA Polymerase Binding to the Promoter Sequence

Bintu, et al., Curr Op Gen Dev (2005)

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pbound for the Constitutive Promoter

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Simple Repression States and Weights

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A Theoretical Model of Repressor Action

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Committing to a Mathematical Description of Simple Repression

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Connecting Theory and Experiment Through the Fold-Change

  • We were the only ones that cared enough about these experiments to actually do them!
  • Problem: We had never done experiments in biology.

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Bending the lac Operon to Make it Simpler

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Classic Experiments Simplifying the lac Operon

You either want to be six months ahead of

everybody or 30 years behind

Sydney Brenner

Müller-Hill lab

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Classical Enzymatic Approach to Measuring Gene Expression

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Measuring repressor copy number using immunoblots

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Testing our model’s predictions using bulk measurements

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Measuring the Fold-Change in Gene Expression Using Fluorescent Proteins

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Testing our model’s predictions in single cells

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Measuring gene expression in single cells

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Identifying the knobs that can be tuned theoretically and experimentally

  • We have performed a systematic dissection of each one of these knobs.

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Our model predicts regulatory input-output functions analogous to electronic circuits

HGG et al., PNAS (2011)

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Simple repression can be measured in multiple ways

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A New Knob: The Number of Competing Binding Sites

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Only One More Parameter to Describe�Binding Site Competition

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We Make Parameter-Free Predictions About this More Complex Regulatory Scenario

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Climbing the Simple Repression Pyramid

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Statistical mechanics generates polarizing predictions about the input-output function of several regulatory architectures

Bintu, HGG, et al., Curr Op Gen Dev (2005)

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The lac Operon Is Both About Repression and Activation

Jacques Monod

Francois Jacob

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Your Turn: Derive the Statistical Weights of Simple Activation

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States and Weights for Simple Activation

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The Simple Activation Input-Output Function�Linear-Log vs. Log-Log

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Statistical mechanics generates polarizing predictions about the input-output function of several regulatory architectures

Bintu, HGG, et al., Curr Op Gen Dev (2005)

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Two Activators Working Cooperatively

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Cooperativity Sharpens Input-Output Functions

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The Effect of Cooperativity on the Different States

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Binding From the Viewpoint of Statistical Mechanics Vs. Biochemistry

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Different Measures of Sharpness

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Sharpness of the Dual Activation Motif

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Dissecting Sharpness In the lac Operon

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Ligand-receptor binding

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Hemoglobin and oxygen binding

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Oxygen binding to hemoglobin

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Cooperativity leads to sharper binding curves

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Dimoglobin: A toy model for Oxygen binding

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Protein allostery and the MWC model

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Statistical Mechanics Generates Polarizing Predictions About the Input-Output Function of Several Regulatory Architectures

Bintu, HGG, et al., Curr Op Gen Dev (2005)

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Building Logic Gates

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Building Logic Gates

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Building an AND Gate

Buchler et al., 2003

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Building an OR Gate