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Vaccine Efficacy

By: Kaitlyn Seeto, Megan Staples & Toby Way, UConn

Collaborative Conversations:

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PURPOSES

Bigger picture....

We want to think more about the role mathematics plays in democratic participation.

What kind of mathematics and ways of reasoning with mathematics are helpful for citizens as they consider public issues?

How does knowing the math/using the math provide new perspectives that perhaps aren’t accessible through description or non-quantitative means?

Today: Using a protocol (Collaborative Conversations) developed to support deliberative discussions about public issues and give people more practice in having discussions that bring in multiple viewpoints.

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Infectious Diseases in context

Simulation

Do now on the white board:

A common cold patient is likely to infect 2 other healthy individuals each day. Let’s assume MMS has 500 people, if there is a visitor with the cold in the school today, how long will it be until the whole school has the cold?

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Simulation Instructions

  1. Everyone will get 4 cards in total, ♠️♣️ are healthy, ♦️♥️ are disease.
  2. Each “day” (round), you must interact with 3 people by trading a card.
  3. At the end of the day, if you have a ♦️♥️ card, you are infected. And, one of your ♠️♣️ cards will be replaced with a ♦️♥️ card.
  4. If you have all ♦️♥️ cards, you are “dead” and will remain in the seat for the rest of the game and help the teacher record data.
  5. If you started the day with ♦️♥️ cards, but have only ♠️♣️ cards at the end of the day, you are “recovered”. But you remain in the game as you can still carry the virus, and become “dead” when you have all ♦️♥️ cards.

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What questions came to your mind during the simulation?

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ON YOUR WHITEBOARD:

How many days does our virus take to infect the whole school? (500 people)

And answer this…

Calculate the following data:

  • Contagiousness: How many MORE new people are being infected each “day” on average.
  • Deadliness: What percentage of people “died” from the infection.
  • Recovery Rate: What percentage of people recovered from infection.

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Discussion: (30 seconds uninterrupted talk)

  1. Is this virus a dangerous virus? Use data to support your claim.
  2. What policies can the school put in place to minimize infection? Think back to the simulation.
  3. How can math inform us, regular citizens, and the decision makers?

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Share out + Takeaways

How can math inform us, regular citizens, and the decision makers?

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& shoutouts!