When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm �Yes or No?�How much should the anaesthetist be involved in the decision making?
Jan G. Jakobsson
Departmen of Anaesthesia & Intensive Care, Danderyds Hospital, Stockholm
Jan.jakobsson@ki.se
When not to operate
The Patient
Relatives
The Anaesthetist
Evidences
The
Surgeon
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide
a firm Yes or No?
When not to operate
Life expectancy
Quality of life
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
When not to operate
Life expectancy
Quality of life
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
When not to operate
Life expectancy
Quality of life
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
Reduce pain
Reduce distress
…give it a chance
Health Related Quality of Life
…limited information available
https://toolbox.eupati.eu/resources/measuring-health-related-quality-of-life-hrqol/
When not to operate
Elective…
Age
Acute ….
Trauma …
Comorbidities
Physiology/
vital signs
Resources
Fragility
ASA class
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
………….
When not to operate
Anaesthesia peroperative care
Anaesthetic agents
Anaesthetic techniques
Enhanced Recover after Surgery, multi-modal opioid-sparing analgesia
Analgesia and Anaesthesia peroperative care
Anaesthesia peroperative care
When not to operate
Smilowitz NR, Berger JS. Perioperative Cardiovascular Risk Assessment and Management for Noncardiac Surgery: A Review. JAMA. 2020 Jul 21;324(3):279-290. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.7840. PMID: 32692391.
Cardiac risks
”MACE”
George EL, Hall DE, Youk A, Chen R, Kashikar A, Trickey AW, Varley PR, Shireman PK, Shinall MC Jr, Massarweh NN, Johanning J, Arya S. Association Between Patient Frailty and Postoperative Mortality Across Multiple Noncardiac Surgical Specialties. JAMA Surg. 2021 Jan 1;156(1):e205152. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2020.5152. Epub 2021 Jan 13. PMID: 33206156; PMCID: PMC7675216.
Fragility
..predict risk
RISK SCORES
..September issue of BJA
….goal directed haemodynamic therapy
….goal directed haemodynamic therapy
Lewis SR, Pritchard MW, Fawcett LJ, Punjasawadwong Y. Bispectral index for improving intraoperative awareness and early postoperative recovery in adults. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2019 Sep 26;9(9):CD003843. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD003843.pub4. PMID: 31557307; PMCID: PMC6763215.
…but limited long term benefits
Anaesthesia Society and Quality register �SFAI & SPOR
SPOR.SE
Anaesthesia Society and Quality register �SFAI & SPOR
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2022 Juni
3 313 960 proceudres
SPOR
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2022 Juni
0.2 %
0.6 %
1.8 %
ASA physical status and 30-day mortality
0.06
0.38
3.72
10.1
53.9
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2022 Juni
Deceased day 30
Deceased day 30
Age and ASA-PS impact on all cause 30-day mortality
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2022 Juni
Urgency impact on all-cause 30-day mortality
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2022 Juni
Deceased day 30
Deceased day 30
Binary Logistic regression �Odds ratio diseased with 30 days
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2022 Juni
Acute mesenteric ischaemia
Reintam Blaser, Annikaa,b; Forbes, Alastaira; Björck, Martinc
Current Opinion in Critical Care: August 11, 2022 - Volume - Issue - 10.1097/MCC.0000000000000972
doi: 10.1097/MCC.0000000000000972
K55 acute bowel ischemia
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2022 Juni
C18.1 – C18.9 Colon Cancers
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2010 – 2020 Juni
Deceased day 30
..no impact of anaesthetic technique
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2016 – 2017 Juni
Anaesthetic technique used for abdominal surgery in Sweden
SPOR
n = 29 069
KVÅ-surgical code starting with the letter J
and a KVÅ- code for anaesthesia
n = 27 497
Inhalation based anaesthesia
n = 22 231
TIVA
n = 4 637
Anaesthesia codes that does not fulfill requirements
n = 629
Missing anaesthesia code:
n = 1 572
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2015 – 2020 Juni
Abdominal cancer surgery all cause 30-day mortality
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2015 – 2020 Juni
| Crude OR 95%CI | Crude p-value* | Adjusted OR 95% CI | Adjusted p-value* | |
Anaesthetic technique Inhalational anaesthesia Intravenous anaesthesia |
1.320 [0.879-1.982] 0.758 [0.504-1.138] |
0.181 0.181 |
1.232 [0.817-1.856] 0.812 [0.539-1.224] |
0.320 0.320 | |
Age group Adult Elderly Geriatric |
0.177 [0.096-0.327] 0.770 [0.571-1.038] 3.702 [2.743-4.997] |
<0.001 0.086 <0.001 |
0.229 [0.123-0.425] 0.718 [0.532-0.970] 3.119 [2.275-4.274] |
<0.001 0.031 <0.001 | |
Sex Female Male |
0.712 [0.525-0.966] 1.404 [1.035-1.905] |
0.029 0.029 |
0.671 [0.490-0.918] 1.491 [1.089-2.041] |
0.013 0.013 | |
ASA-classification High Low |
3.202 [2.358-4.349] 0.293 [0.215-0.401] |
<0.001 <0.001 |
2.265 [1.653-3.104] 0.412 [0.299-0.567] |
<0.001 <0.001 | |
BMI | 0.976 [0.935-1.019] | 0.270 | 1.003 [0.595-1.049] | 0.883 | |
Type of surgery Acute Elective |
4.094 [2.918-5.744] 0.244 [0.174-0.343] |
<0.001 <0.001 |
3.441 [2.423-4.888] 0.291 [0.205-0.413] |
<0.001 <0.001 | |
Duration of anaesthesia Minor Major |
1.105 [0.802-1.522] 0.905 [0.657-1.246] |
0.541 0.541 |
1.090 [0.791-1.502] 0.917 [0.666-1.246] |
0.597 0.597 | |
Duration of surgery Minor Major |
1.102 [0.817-1.486] 0.908 [0.673-1.225] |
0.526 0.526 |
0.918 [0.671-1.254] 1.090 [0.798-1.489] |
0.589 0.589 | |
Time in PACU Short Long |
0.703 [0.503-0.983] 1.413 [1.011-1.975] |
0.039 0.043 |
0.696 [0.498-0.972] 1.428 [1.022-1.995] |
0.034 0.037 | |
No impact of anaesthetic technique
SPOR
Patienter 18 år
2015 – 2020 Juni
When not to operate
The Patient
Relatives
The Anaesthetist
Evidences
The Surgeon
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
Can % risk derived from register based study be translated into a decision of the individual patient
At what % should we say no?
When not to operate
The Patient
Relatives
The Anaesthetist
Evidences
The Surgeon
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
Can % risk derived from register based study be translated into a decision of the individual patient
If elective procedure is denied and patient comes back with acute symptoms – worsened risk?
When not to operate
The Patient
Relatives
The Anaesthetist
Evidences
The Surgeon
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
Can % risk derived from register based study be translated into a decision of the individual patient
At what % should we say no?
All involved should feel comfortable with the decision
When not to operate
The Patient
Relatives
The Anaesthetist
Evidences
The Surgeon
When not to operate!�Is it possible to provide a firm Yes or No?
Can % risk derived from register based study be translated into a decision of the individual patient
At what % should we say no?
All involved should feel comfortable with the decision
…we can put any patient a sleep but we can’t promise that all survive …
When not to operate!�