Part one:
From rural to urban living. Worldwide.
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
▪ Produce affordable housing for Vancouver workers, and!
▪ Strengthen sense of place, and!
▪ Reduce speculative pressures, and!
▪ Reduce political conflict.
Percent of Americans living in urban areas.
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
Part two:
Migration from country rural areas to urban areas in another country.
The Challenge: How can we……
Migration from country to country.
Mostly from rural areas to cities.
Part three:
The women of the world will save the world. Falling fertility rates worldwide.
Thomas Malthus.
The Challenge: How can we……
Why they ignored the Irish famine.
Why they ignored the Indian famine too.
….and the Iranian famine as well.
Rural Irish escaping famine arrive “fresh off the boat’ in NYC
.
Dr. Paul R. Ehrlich
May 1, 1970
But something unexpected happened on the way to Armageddon.
The “fertility rate”
fell off a cliff.
Especially in Asia.
Global fertility rate.
2.1 per woman is “replacement level”
Only sub Saharan Africa lags behind.
A closer look at US and Canada.
UN population projections are all over the map now due to uncertainty about fertility rate.
But if current trends continue the green line is most likely.
Life expectancy globally.
Longer lives combined with fewer births complicate things.
Note Covid related dip.
Population forecast by region.
Only Africa seems unaffected, accounting for the major uncertainty.
Population and migration – high income countries to low income countries.
Teenage birth rate.
Most of the world now very low. Africa is the exception.
What is this doing to cities?
Rich cities much more diverse.
London street.
Political stresses caused by immigration
Big cities in low income countries becoming much more like big cities in high income countries.
Lagos Nigeria
Big cities in low income countries becoming much more like big cities in high income countries.
Lagos Nigeria
Big cities in low income countries becoming much more like big cities in high income countries. But only in the centres.
Lagos Nigeria
Big cities in low income countries becoming much more like big cities in high income countries. But only in the centres.
Lagos Nigeria
Lagos Nigeria
“Slum” punk.
Widening wealth gap visible in city form.
The Challenge: How can we……
▪ Produce affordable housing for Vancouver workers, and!
▪ Strengthen sense of place, and!
▪ Reduce speculative pressures, and!
▪ Reduce political conflict.
Mumbai.
Widening wealth gap visible in city form.
The Challenge: How can we……
▪ Produce affordable housing for Vancouver workers, and!
▪ Strengthen sense of place, and!
▪ Reduce speculative pressures, and!
▪ Reduce political conflict.
Mumbai.
Widening wealth gap visible in city form.
Mumbai.
The Challenge: How can we……
▪ Produce affordable housing for Vancouver workers, and!
▪ Strengthen sense of place, and!
▪ Reduce speculative pressures, and!
▪ Reduce political conflict.
But its not that simple.
Mumbai.
The Challenge: How can we……
▪ Produce affordable housing for Vancouver workers, and!
▪ Strengthen sense of place, and!
▪ Reduce speculative pressures, and!
▪ Reduce political conflict.
But its not that simple.
Medellin.
The Challenge: How can we……
▪ Produce affordable housing for Vancouver workers, and!
▪ Strengthen sense of place, and!
▪ Reduce speculative pressures, and!
▪ Reduce political conflict.
Typical commercial street scene in Medellin favela.
Dutch artist duo Haas & Hahn project in Rio de Genaro favela.
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/travel/article/salted_caramel_ice_cream_while
FINI
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
The Challenge: How can we……
2050 global population estimate.