A minimal set of screening activities� to characterize anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury risk
Kirsten Seagers
Krithika Swaminathan, Julie Kolesar, Sam Hamner, Julie Muccini,
Jennifer Hicks, Gregory Myer, Trevor Hastie, Scott Delp
July 31, 2025
ACL injury is highly prevalent and life altering
1
Introduction
7x increase
in risk of
Osteoarthritis4
[1] Samuelson et al., 2017; [2] Niekerk et al., 2023; [3] Webster et al., 2016; [4] Webster et al., 2022
>1.4 million incidents
per year worldwide1
>75% experience PTSD symptoms2
20% risk
of re-injury3
But >70%5 are non-contact injuries & are likely preventable6 with
appropriate screening + training
[5] Della Villa et al., 2020; [6] Myer et al., 2007
Biomechanical Injury Risk Factors and Assessments
2
Introduction
Drop Jump
Hewett et al., 2005
Dynamic Valgus
Midline
Knee Abduction
Ankle Eversion
Femoral Adduction
Weir et al., 2021
Trunk Lean
Stiff Knee
Ankle Angle/
Foot Placement
Dynamic Knee Valgus Posture
Cutting
Biomechanical Injury Risk Factors and Assessments
2
Introduction
Collings 2022
Hopping
Hewett 2005
Jumping
Boden 2009
Cutting
Hewett 2009
Cutting
Identify a minimal set of screening activities that maintain comprehensive characterization of mechanistic risk factors
3
Purpose
Experimental Data Collection
4
Methods
[3] Schweizer et al., 2022
Motion capture + ground reaction force data from 27 adolescent female athletes
force plate
16-camera
motion capture
Accelerate
Accelerate
Jump
Decelerate
Measurements obtained during five commonly-studied activities3
Biomechanical Modeling
5
Methods
[4] Seth et al., 2018
Calculated 35 biomechanical risk factors using musculoskeletal modeling, with 2-9 factors per activity
Drop Jump
Cutting
4
Column Subset Selection5 (CSS)
6
[5] Hastie et al., 2020
Methods
Identify a set of activities that best reconstructs the biomechanical risk features from the left-out activities
Risk Factors from
Left-out Activities
Risk Factors from
Included Activities
Reconstructs
Data Split
All Activity Risk Factors
Column Subset Selection5 (CSS)
6
[5] Hastie et al., 2020
Methods
Identify a set of activities that best reconstructs the biomechanical risk features from the left-out activities
Normalized
RMSE (NRMSE) per test subject
Step 1
Model Training:
Leave One Subject Out Cross Validation
Risk Factors from
One Activity
Risk Factors from Left-out Activities
Risk Factors from
Second Activity
Risk Factors from Left-out Activities
Step 2
Model Training:
Leave One Subject Out Cross Validation
Risk Factors from
Best One Activity
Average
NRMSE per test subject
Optimal Activity Set:
7
Results
Optimal Activity Set:
7
Results
Optimal Activity Set:
7
Results
Optimal Activity Set:
7
Results
Optimal Activity Set: Run Cuts & Single-leg Drop Jumps
7
Results
Kinematics-only Optimal Activity Set:
8
Results
Kinematics-only Optimal Activity Set:
8
Results
Conclusions:
9
Accelerate
Decelerate