ANDREA PITASI�WCSA President and D’Annunzio University���� � ALL THAT IS SOLID MELTS INTO COMMUNICATION & EXPECTATIONS� Thoughts about Loet Leydsdorff’s, The Evolutionary Dynamics of Discursive Knowledge (EDDK), �Springer, Berlin, Vienna, New York , Toronto 2021, Chapter 8 ������ MAY 18th 2022 �5pm Amsterdam Time �Webinar
ANTICIPATION & THE DYNAMIC OF EXPECTATIONS I
Chapter 8 is titled ANTICIPATION AND THE DYNAMIC OF EXPECTATIONS
Some selected key quotations from the Chapter 8 of EDDK
PART I
“ From an evolutionary perspective, discursive knowledge can be considered as speciation of another medium in the communication ( …) Synergies based on interactions among codes in the communication can induce a knowledge base which operates in terms of expectations “ (EDDK, p. 150)
“ With the coding of communications, the medium has changed into discursive knowledge(… ) adding a second dimension to language changes the medium into a performative medium” (EDDK, ibidem )
“What is special about the meaningful or meaning based processing of experience is that it makes possible both the reduction and the preservation of complexity , i.e. , it provides a form of selection that prevents the world from shrinking down to just one particular content of consciousness with each act of determining experience” (EDDK, p . 152)
WORLD 3 As a Systemic Global Process
My presentation today is essentially epistemological and a key point of its is to focus on Popper’s World 3 of Objective Knowledge as the global systemic process in which all that is solid melts into communication shaping the scenario modeling for horizon of expectations:
the construction of the past and the invention of the future
ANTICIPATION & THE DYNAMIC OF EXPECTATIONS II
KEY SELECTED QUOTATION FROM EDDK Chapter 8
PART II
“ Three arguments relevant to my argument were articulated in Popper’s philosophy of science
CONSTRUCTONS OF THE PASTSAND INVENTON OF THE FUTURES
Shifting between the constructions of the past and the inventions of possible adjacent futures by expectations, the systemic communication process can shape World 3 knowledge as far as it is not human centered and nonetheless observer dependent from a system which is not necessary a human being , moreover as Luhmann taught us, if it is not a human being it can be even more viable for the self reference and autopoiesis of communication as in CONWAY’S GAME OF LIFE
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/28/science/math-conway-game-of-life.html showed us and D. C. Dennett developed in his “ Freedom Evolves”
ANTICIPATION & THE DYNAMIC OF EXPECTATIONS III
SELECTED KEY QUOTATIONS from EDDK Chapter 8
PART III
“The focus in this chapter ha s been on how an evolving system of expectations can be simulated without an a priori sociological interpretation (… ) I argue in favour of operationalization and measurement ” (EDDK , p. 169 )
“ The theory and computation of anticipatory systems provides the tools needed to take a further step: the simulation of structures in systems of expectations” (EDDK, p. 170)
EPISTEMLOGY & ENORMOUS NUMBERS
Epistemologically the selection of what I consider the key points of this chapter no matter how cannot escape the matter of interpretation a priori or a posteriori seems a matter of shifs and re-entries between the constructed pasts and the visualized , invented futures. Drawing distinctions among hyperincursive /incursive/ recursive equations sets the scenes of the game and is rules. Cellular automata play a role to model expectations nevertheless the game is layed and based on ENORMOUS NUMBERS which are not infinty however they deliver a pre determined horizon of variety which drives us back to KANT and LUHMANN (but not Hussel as this Levbenswelt was overwhelmed by subjectivity dramatically downsizing the chances Lebenswelt could contribute to world 3)
ASSESSING SURVIVAL
Maybe you already know the job Luhmann did before becoming a university professor.
In that service he had to asess the amount of the refunds for the survivors of the Nazi Lager. What he immediately did was to remove the subjectiviy in the storytelings he heard /read in the reports and interviews to the survivors.
The way he did it lead through the years to the system /environment paradigm in which human begins do not belong to the system rather to the environment , instead
World 3 objective knowledge can be generated without a priori sociological , and even worse , subjective interpretations as far as the construction of meaning in the communication process evolves by drawing a distinction from the environmental noise
WORLD 3, AGAIN
Can World 3 Objective Knowledge be produced without an a priori (sociological) interpretation?
My final point for today is that it is not a matter to stand for a priori hermeneutics or operalization and measurement. Certainly data drive (Big data) research claim no a priori interpretation is required and hat opralization and measurement fit it all. Nonetheless, a kind of interpretation (economic, politological, sociological , philosophical or at the level the World take for granted described by Berger & Luckmann) is always needed and epistemologically a correct a priori interpretation is a conceptual framework to category and classify the perspective of observation.
NOSTRADAMUS I
Let us assume for a moment that the legend about Nostradamus' quatrains is true. That is, they did not arise from his visions but rather from his observations in the field since he could travel through time.
NOSTRADAMUS II
Suppose Nostradamus is watching us right now. As much as he notes in his notebook what he is observing he is missing a lot of LINGUISTIC, LOGISTICAL (what the heck will a skyscraper ever be for him ? ) TECHNOLOGICAL (what about a computer , an airplane , a car , a cell phone even a for us , simple television set ) SOCIAL (what the heck do these people dress up as ? ) GEOPOLITICAL (what the heck do these United States ever know ?) etc.
NOSTRADAMUS III
If no conceptualize and no categorize an open work takes shape in which in anywhere everybody can read anything. Fortunately, Umberto Eco has long guarded us on the problems of overinterpretation that become greater the more the interpretation is placed a posteriori as in the case of Nostradamus who for his time ra convinced to work at the level of World 3, so to speak he interpreted a posteriori whatever he had observed and this invalidated his while writing.
Nobody considers it science
ANDREA PITASI
WORLD COMPLEXITY SCIENCE ACADEMY President www.wcsaglobal.org
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