OR in Schools
Louise Orpin and Vincent Knight
Outline
What is a Game?
Guess ⅔ of the average game.
Rules:
Guess ⅔ of the average game.
100
0
What's the biggest guess that makes sense?
66
44
29
19
1
...
Guess ⅔ of the average game.
Rules:
TV show from Feb 2008 to Feb 2009 where a jackpot is to be shared between 2 contestants who secretly choose to "split" or "steal".
Rules
Golden Balls
Golden Balls
| Split | Steal |
Split | (50,50) | (0,100) |
Steal | (100,0) | (0,0) |
Prisoner's Dilemma
| C | D |
C | (2,2) | (5,0) |
D | (0,5) | (4,4) |
A past event
A past event
Prisoner's Dilemma Tournament
Exam - Revision Game
You must revise for an exam and the curriculm covers 2 subjects: Algebra & Geometry.
Exam - Revision Game
| Algebra | Geometry |
Revise Algebra | (10,10) | (0,0) |
Revise Geometry | (0,0) | (10,10) |
Revise Both | (9,15) | (9,15) |
?
?
| R | P | S |
R | (0,0) | (-1,1) | (1,-1) |
P | (1,-1) | (0,0) | (-1,1) |
S | (-1,1) | (1,1) | (0,0) |
Rock Paper Scissor
| R | P | S |
R | (0,0) | (-1,1) | (1,-1) |
P | (1,-1) | (0,0) | (-1,1) |
S | (-1,1) | (1,1) | (0,0) |
Game of Chicken
| Swerve | Straight |
Swerve | (0,0) | (-1,1) |
Straight | (1,-1) | (-10,-10) |
We use probabilities to calculate the expected outcomes:
Let's say that the first player "swerves" with probability x and the second player "swerves" with probability y.
The expected score to the first player is given by:
Game of Chicken
-10(y-1)(x-1)+(y-1)x-(x-1)y
Game of Chicken
Here's a 3D plot of that equation:
Game of Chicken
Looking a bit more closely at the expected outcomes of the first player:
Probability of second player swerving.
Game of Chicken
With a little bit more work, we can show that the players should "swerve" almost all the time (90% of the time).
Game Theory - Conclusions
Guess ⅔ of the average game.
Rules:
The OR in Schools Project
www.LearnAboutOR.co.uk
How are we currently getting OR in Schools
Decision Maths
Example resource
Linear Programming modelling exercise using Lego
11 year olds doing graphical LP with the Lego exercise
Volunteer for OR in Schools
The Benefits:
Support for volunteers
STEM Ambassadors
How to get involved
Contact a local school to offer your services
Your university or employer may have outreach links already
Register as a volunteer with The OR Society
email: louise.orpin@theorsociety.com