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Wartime Finance & Monetary Regimes

1944 - Bretton Woods / Uni-Polar Monetary system

  • Gold Aggregates at Maiden Lane
  • Deficit Funding / M2 Spikes
  • Inflation Sets in
  • Global Rebuild

2020-2025Covid-19/ End of Uni-Polar Monetary System

  • Energy Weaponized
  • Deficit Funding / M2 Spikes
  • Inflation Sets in
  • BTC embraced as a strategic reserve

1971- 1974 – Bretton Woods Ends/ Petro Dollar Begins

  • Oil denominated in USD
  • Deficit Funding / M2 Spikes
  • Inflation Sets in
  • FX Market saves banks

Source: Risk Dimensions and St. Louis Federal Reserve

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Wartime Finance & Monetary Regimes

2028

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The Federal Reserve: The Buyer of All Assets

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Money (M2) and Debt/ GDP Spike Post the GFC & COVID…

Distorting the Relationship between the Real Economy (GDP) and the Financial Economy (Equities)

Source: Risk Dimensions and St. Louis Federal Reserve

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Sometimes Volatility arises from doing Good as we saw with Gold

…More a function of rising demand as a remedy to USD debasement,

ala the 1970s and post the GFC in 2008

Source: Risk Dimensions and St. Louis Federal Reserve

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BTC v NASDAQ Rolling 63D Performance

(Table at immediate right based on below graph)

BTC offers a Degree of Performance Asymmetry usually Reserved for Options or Fixed Income Strategies

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