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Carbon in Minnesota’s Forests

current status and future opportunities

Matt Russell

Minnesota Forest Resources Council

25 May 2022

View these slides:

z.umn.edu/MFRC_carbon_May22

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Goals

  • Assemble and disseminate existing information on Minnesota’s forest carbon resources

  • Scoping document that identifies key information needs for state policymakers and forest land managers to better understand forest carbon

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carbon.umn.edu

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Scoping document

  • Introduction to carbon in MN forests
  • Carbon storage and sequestration in MN forests
  • Carbon markets for MN landowners
  • Forest carbon opportunities

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Carbon stocks have increased by 8% in Minnesota’s forests since 1990

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Forest Vegetation Simulator

  • Individual tree growth model

  • Uses lists of trees (e.g., species, diameter)

  • Approved carbon accounting tool (e.g., through California ARB)

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Recommendations for future work

  • Tradeoffs

  • Climate and carbon in forest management

  • Life cycle analysis

FOREST MANAGEMENT

  • Impacts to available wood

  • Landowner willingness

  • Socio-environmental impacts

MARKETS

  • Technology and scale

  • Baselines

  • Monitoring forest carbon

DATA AND TECHNOLOGY

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1. There remains great uncertainty about the long-term effects of lands enrolled in forest carbon programs and impacts to available wood for forest product markets.

Core recommendation: Markets

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2. The opportunities, advantages, and barriers to entering voluntary and regulatory carbon markets for Minnesota’s diverse landowners needs to be fully assessed. Research that investigates the price of carbon and landowner willingness to enroll in carbon markets should be a focus of future work.

Core recommendation: Markets

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3. Carbon markets are perceived in both a negative and positive manner from Minnesota’s diverse landowners. The socio-environmental aspects of carbon markets need to be fully explored.

Core recommendation: Markets

Image: R. Greenfield. Blockchain enabled carbon credit markets: https://medium.com/@robertgreenfieldiv/blockchain-enabled-carbon-credit-markets-1a195520f0e1

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4. Integrating carbon as a forest management objective needs to be evaluated along with several other management objectives.

Core recommendation: Forest management

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5. Forest management is transitioning from managing forests for resources to managing them for multiple services and values including climate adaptation and now climate mitigation. A more thorough understanding of how different adaptive management treatments influence forest carbon storage and sequestration patterns should be carried out for Minnesota’s primary forest types.

Core recommendation: Forest management

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6. A complete life cycle assessment that focuses on timber harvesting, forest management for carbon, and in harvested wood products should be carried out for Minnesota’s primary forest types.

Core recommendation: Forest management

Source: National Council on Air and Stream Improvement

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7. Remote sensing technology can leverage existing forest inventory information to better understand forest carbon, yet applications are currently limited at a broad scale in Minnesota.

Core recommendation: Data and technology

Source: Forest carbon at the Cloquet Forestry Center. Ethan Emick and Chad Babcock, https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/f0c99bdce70e48b1a1db74c8f8f29e88

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8. There is an urgent need to better understand baselines of forest carbon in Minnesota, for example, the amount of carbon being stored and sequestered annually in Minnesota. Continuing to develop and deliver this information in a form that is accessible and understandable to a broad audience should be prioritized.

Core recommendation: Data and technology

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9. Agreement needs to be met across the forestry community about how forest carbon is going to be monitored at a stand, state, and regional level.

Core recommendation: Data and technology

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  • Tradeoffs

  • Climate and carbon in forest management

  • Life cycle analysis

FOREST MANAGEMENT

  • Impacts to available wood

  • Landowner willingness

  • Socio-environmental impacts

MARKETS

  • Technology and scale

  • Baselines

  • Monitoring forest carbon

DATA AND TECHNOLOGY

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Forest Carbon Dashboard (draft, in development)

From Chris Edgar and USpatial Team, 24 May 2022

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Progress and task list

  • Forest carbon outreach workshops and programs
  • Focus groups (2) with stakeholders
  • Recent meetings since April:
  • MFRC RAC on (April 19)
  • MFRC Policy Committee (May 2)
  • NCASI Eastern Forests Spring Meeting (May 17)

  • Simulations of carbon scenarios
  • Draft of scoping document
  • Final version of report (June 2022)
  • Forest carbon dashboard (June 2022)

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Questions/

feedback

Matt Russell

russellm@umn.edu

View these slides:

z.umn.edu/MFRC_carbon_May22