1 of 7

LFL Analysis

Evan Neel

Resource Adequacy

ERCOT

Large Flexible Load Task Force

February 17, 2023

ERCOT Public

2 of 7

Contents

  • Winter Storm Elliot LFL Response
  • Voluntary Curtailment Program Back Cast

2

PUBLIC

3 of 7

Winter Storm Elliot LFL Response�

3

PUBLIC

4 of 7

Winter Storm Elliot LFL Response

  • Prior to curtailment beginning on 12/21 there was 1,530 MW of LFL consumption on the system (250 MW RRS).
  • At times of peak prices, LFL consumption fell to 130 MW (75 MW RRS).
  • Including RRS, the total response from LFLs was 1,475 MW (96.4%).
  • Of the 20 LFLs tracked, all demonstrated a curtailment in load to some extent.
  • 6 LFLs curtailed their load for the entire duration of Elliot, independent of market prices.
  • The remaining 14 LFLs behaved in a manner which suggested they were responding to real-time prices.

4

PUBLIC

5 of 7

Voluntary Curtailment Program Back Cast�

  • In response to the new Interim Voluntary Load Curtailment program, we received a request inquiring about how often this program would be called upon by ERCOT.
  • Language in the market notice sent out on 12/6/22 noted that this voluntary program would be deployed “during times of low or declining PRC after Non-Spinning Reserve Service has been deployed, but before ERS has been deployed.”
  • ERCOT has performed a back cast with this criteria in order to identify how often the interim service would have been called upon had it existed in 2022.

5

PUBLIC

6 of 7

Voluntary Curtailment Program Back Cast

  • Identified 5 min intervals in 2022 which satisfied two criteria:
    • All offline Non-Spin had been deployed
    • System PRC was below 3,200 MW

  • It is estimated that in 2022 the Voluntary Load Curtailment program would have been called on for approximately 9 hours (~ 0.1% of the year)

6

PUBLIC

7 of 7

Questions?

Questions?

Email: evan.neel@ercot.com

7

PUBLIC