DELIVERING with�BIG DATA

@brunosan

Cape Town, South Africa 14/9/2018

The world

The world + science

Mike Lewinski

Source: Life after a PhD: ❤️ the “option B”, leaving

Scientific facts alone

don’t change world

The future is not about data,

is about absorbing complexity

Solving for Impact

How many children will there be in 2100?

4 billion

3 billion

2 billion

A

B

In 1950 there were fewer than one billion children (aged 0-14) in the world. By 2000 there were almost two billion. How many do UN experts think there will be in 2100?

TEST QUESTION 1: FUTURE NUMBER OF CHILDREN

Q1.1

Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_indicators.htm

A

B

C

Where do people live?

There are 7 billion people in the world today. Of the maps below, which one do you think shows best where they live in the Americas, Europe, Africa and Asia?

​

TEST QUESTION 2: WHERE PEOPLE LIVE

Q2.1

What is the average life expectancy at birth in the world today?

50 years

60 years

70 years

A

TEST QUESTION 3: WORLD LIFE EXPECTANCY

Q3.1

A

A

B

A

C

What percentage of adults in the world today are literate — can read and write?

80%

60%

40%

A

TEST QUESTION 4: WORLD LITERACY

Q3.1

A

A

B

A

C

Women’s schooling

3 years

5 years

7 years

A

Q3.1

A

A

B

A

C

Women aged 30 spent how many years in school?

(Men of same age spent 8 years)�

TEST QUESTION 5: WOMEN’S SHOOLING

20%

50%

80%

A

Q6.1

A

A

B

A

C

TEST QUESTION 6: VACCINATION COVERAGE

Vaccination Coverage

What percentage of the world’s one-year old children is vaccinated against measles?

Almost doubled

Remained more or less the same

Almost halved

A

A

A

B

A

C

Extreme Poverty Rate Trend

In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...

Q7.1

TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND

More than doubled

Remained about the same

Decreased to less than half

A

A

A

B

A

C

Disasters Deaths Trend

How did the number of deaths per year from natural disasters change over the last hundred years?

Q8.1

TEST QUESTION 8: DISASTERS DEATHS TREND

4.5

3.5

2.5

A

A

A

B

A

C

Q9.1

TEST QUESTION 9: BABIES PER WOMAN

Babies per woman

In 1965, the number of babies born per woman in the world, on average, was 5.

What do you think the number is today?

How many children will there be in 2100?

4 billion

3 billion

2 billion

A

B

In 1950 there were fewer than one billion children (aged 0-14) in the world. By 2000 there were almost two billion. How many do UN experts think there will be in 2100?

TEST QUESTION 1: FUTURE NUMBER OF CHILDREN

Q1.1

Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_indicators.htm

A

B

C

B

3 billion

A

2 billion

A

B

C

How many children will there be in 2100?

— ANSWERS

TEST QUESTION 1: FUTURE NUMBER OF CHILDREN

Where do people live?

There are 7 billion people in the world today. Of the maps below, which one do you think shows best where they live in the Americas, Europe, Africa and Asia?

​

TEST QUESTION 2: WHERE PEOPLE LIVE

Q2.1

Where do people live? — ANSWERS

TEST QUESTION 2: WHERE PEOPLE LIVE

What is the average life expectancy at birth in the world today?

50 years

60 years

70 years

A

TEST QUESTION 3: WORLD LIFE EXPECTANCY

Q3.1

A

A

B

A

C

Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_indicators.htm

TEST QUESTION 3: WORLD LIFE EXPECTANCY

50 years

60 years

70 years

A

A

A

B

A

C

What is the average life expectancy at birth in the world today? — ANSWERS

Q3.1

What percentage of adults in the world today are literate — can read and write?

80%

60%

40%

A

TEST QUESTION 4: WORLD LITERACY

Q3.1

A

A

B

A

C

What percentage of adults in the world today are literate — can read and write?

— ANSWERS

80%

60%

40%

A

Q3.1

A

A

B

A

C

TEST QUESTION 4: WORLD LITERACY

Women’s schooling

3 years

5 years

7 years

A

Q3.1

A

A

B

A

C

Women aged 30 spent how many years in school?

(Men of same age spent 8 years)�

TEST QUESTION 5: WOMEN’S SHOOLING

TEST QUESTION 5: WOMEN’S SHOOLING

Q5.1

3 years

5 years

7 years

A

A

A

B

A

C

Women’s schooling

Women aged 30 spent how many years in school?

(Men of same age spent 8 years)�ANSWERS

20%

50%

80%

A

Q6.1

A

A

B

A

C

TEST QUESTION 6: VACCINATION COVERAGE

Vaccination Coverage

What percentage of the world’s one-year old children is vaccinated against measles?

Q6.1

Vaccination Coverage — ANSWERS

20%

50%

80%

A

A

A

B

A

C

TEST QUESTION 6: VACCINATION COVERAGE

What percentage of the world’s one-year old children is vaccinated against measles?

ANSWERS

Almost doubled

Remained more or less the same

Almost halved

A

A

A

B

A

C

Extreme Poverty Rate Trend

In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...

Q7.1

TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND

Q7.1

A

A

A

B

A

C

TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND

Almost doubled

Remained more

or less the same

Almost halved

Extreme Poverty Rate Trend — ANSWERS

In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...

More than doubled

Remained about the same

Decreased to less than half

A

A

A

B

A

C

Disasters Deaths Trend

How did the number of deaths per year from natural disasters change over the last hundred years?

Q8.1

TEST QUESTION 8: DISASTERS DEATHS TREND

Q7.1

A

A

A

B

A

C

TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND

More than doubled

Remained about the same

Decreased to less than half

Extreme Poverty Rate Trend — ANSWERS

In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...

4.5

3.5

2.5

A

A

A

B

A

C

Q9.1

TEST QUESTION 9: BABIES PER WOMAN

Babies per woman

In 1965, the number of babies born per woman in the world, on average, was 5.

What do you think the number is today?

A

A

A

B

A

C

4.5

3.5

2.5

Babies per woman — ANSWERS

Rural Accessibility Mapping

@stvno

85 000 POIs

@stvno

300k road segments

190k km (x5 around Earth)

@stvno

220 000 villages

20 000

@stvno

85 000 POIs

https://github.com/WorldBank-Transport/Rural-Road-Accessibility

@stvno

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . _ . . . . . ⋅ . . .

https://github.com/opentraffic

https://github.com/conveyal/analyst-server

nightlights.io

nightlights.io

?

Foto aqui

HYPERSPECTRAL IMAGES

HYPERSPECTRAL IMAGES

khartoum_sudan

khartoum_sudan

?

Foto aqui

Welcome to the Real World

Climate change

Mitigation.

Adaptation.

​

Raising temperatures

More extreme events

?

Foto aqui

AIDS

~1920 Kinshasa

1966 Haiti, USA

1982 blood contamination

1985 CDC Plan. Blood tests.

1987 First AZT treatment.

​

​

“there are certain areas which, when the goals of science collide with moral and ethical judgment, science has to take a timeout” CDC director James Jason

​

​

EXACTAMENTE = 0 grados

Ozone

1922 Thomas Midgley Jr. � invents CFC

1973 First scientific evidence

1974 Nature article (´94 Nobel) � Supersonic flights report.

1975 DuPont: “a science fiction tale...a load of rubbish...utter nonsense"

1976 US, Canada, Sweden, Denmark and Norway consider ban

1978 US banned CFC based aerosol sprays

1979 Freon patent expires.

1985 Media gets “Antarctic hole”. Vienna convention. 20 nations, industry. Full phase-out

1987 Montreal Protocol.

Kofi Annan: "the single most successful international agreement”

If you are an academic

• Mud on your toes.�
• Seek borders, cross boundaries
• What you built > talking points on your curriculum.
• Be humble, Knowledge is less transferable than skills.
• Being critical ≠ being productive.
• Disagreeing is often the lazy excuse.
• Learn to listen.
• Avoid paternalism.
• Push less, pull more.
• ​