DELIVERING with�BIG DATA
@brunosan
Cape Town, South Africa 14/9/2018
The world
The world + science
Scientific facts alone
don’t change world
The future is not about data,
is about absorbing complexity
Solving for Impact
How many children will there be in 2100?
Billion Children
0
1950
2000
2050
2100
4
2
3
1
4 billion
3 billion
2 billion
A
B
In 1950 there were fewer than one billion children (aged 0-14) in the world. By 2000 there were almost two billion. How many do UN experts think there will be in 2100?
TEST QUESTION 1: FUTURE NUMBER OF CHILDREN
Q1.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 13
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_indicators.htm
A
B
C
Where do people live?
There are 7 billion people in the world today. Of the maps below, which one do you think shows best where they live in the Americas, Europe, Africa and Asia?
TEST QUESTION 2: WHERE PEOPLE LIVE
Q2.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
B
A
B
A
C
What is the average life expectancy at birth in the world today?
50 years
60 years
70 years
A
TEST QUESTION 3: WORLD LIFE EXPECTANCY
Q3.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
What percentage of adults in the world today are literate — can read and write?
80%
60%
40%
A
TEST QUESTION 4: WORLD LITERACY
Q3.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Women’s schooling
3 years
5 years
7 years
A
Q3.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Women aged 30 spent how many years in school?
(Men of same age spent 8 years)�
TEST QUESTION 5: WOMEN’S SHOOLING
20%
50%
80%
A
Q6.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
TEST QUESTION 6: VACCINATION COVERAGE
Vaccination Coverage
What percentage of the world’s one-year old children is vaccinated against measles?
Almost doubled
Remained more or less the same
Almost halved
A
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Extreme Poverty Rate Trend
In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...
Q7.1
TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND
More than doubled
Remained about the same
Decreased to less than half
A
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Disasters Deaths Trend
How did the number of deaths per year from natural disasters change over the last hundred years?
Q8.1
TEST QUESTION 8: DISASTERS DEATHS TREND
4.5
3.5
2.5
A
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Q9.1
TEST QUESTION 9: BABIES PER WOMAN
Babies per woman
In 1965, the number of babies born per woman in the world, on average, was 5.
What do you think the number is today?
How many children will there be in 2100?
Billion Children
0
1950
2000
2050
2100
4
2
3
1
4 billion
3 billion
2 billion
A
B
In 1950 there were fewer than one billion children (aged 0-14) in the world. By 2000 there were almost two billion. How many do UN experts think there will be in 2100?
TEST QUESTION 1: FUTURE NUMBER OF CHILDREN
Q1.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 13
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_indicators.htm
A
B
C
B
3 billion
A
4 billion
2 billion
A
B
C
How many children will there be in 2100?
— ANSWERS
TEST QUESTION 1: FUTURE NUMBER OF CHILDREN
Where do people live?
There are 7 billion people in the world today. Of the maps below, which one do you think shows best where they live in the Americas, Europe, Africa and Asia?
TEST QUESTION 2: WHERE PEOPLE LIVE
Q2.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
B
A
B
A
C
B
A
B
C
Where do people live? — ANSWERS
TEST QUESTION 2: WHERE PEOPLE LIVE
What is the average life expectancy at birth in the world today?
50 years
60 years
70 years
A
TEST QUESTION 3: WORLD LIFE EXPECTANCY
Q3.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_indicators.htm
TEST QUESTION 3: WORLD LIFE EXPECTANCY
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
50 years
60 years
70 years
A
A
A
B
A
C
What is the average life expectancy at birth in the world today? — ANSWERS
Q3.1
What percentage of adults in the world today are literate — can read and write?
80%
60%
40%
A
TEST QUESTION 4: WORLD LITERACY
Q3.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
What percentage of adults in the world today are literate — can read and write?
— ANSWERS
80%
60%
40%
A
Q3.1
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
TEST QUESTION 4: WORLD LITERACY
Women’s schooling
3 years
5 years
7 years
A
Q3.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 5
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Women aged 30 spent how many years in school?
(Men of same age spent 8 years)�
TEST QUESTION 5: WOMEN’S SHOOLING
TEST QUESTION 5: WOMEN’S SHOOLING
Q5.1
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
3 years
5 years
7 years
A
A
A
B
A
C
Women’s schooling
Women aged 30 spent how many years in school?
(Men of same age spent 8 years)�ANSWERS
20%
50%
80%
A
Q6.1
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
TEST QUESTION 6: VACCINATION COVERAGE
Vaccination Coverage
What percentage of the world’s one-year old children is vaccinated against measles?
Q6.1
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
Vaccination Coverage — ANSWERS
20%
50%
80%
A
A
A
B
A
C
TEST QUESTION 6: VACCINATION COVERAGE
What percentage of the world’s one-year old children is vaccinated against measles?
ANSWERS
Almost doubled
Remained more or less the same
Almost halved
A
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Extreme Poverty Rate Trend
In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...
Q7.1
TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND
Q7.1
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
A
B
A
C
TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND
Almost doubled
Remained more
or less the same
Almost halved
Extreme Poverty Rate Trend — ANSWERS
In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...
More than doubled
Remained about the same
Decreased to less than half
A
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Disasters Deaths Trend
How did the number of deaths per year from natural disasters change over the last hundred years?
Q8.1
TEST QUESTION 8: DISASTERS DEATHS TREND
Q7.1
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
A
B
A
C
TEST QUESTION 7: EXTREME POVERTY RATE TREND
More than doubled
Remained about the same
Decreased to less than half
Extreme Poverty Rate Trend — ANSWERS
In the last 20 years the proportion of the World population living in extreme poverty has...
4.5
3.5
2.5
A
?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
B
A
C
Q9.1
TEST QUESTION 9: BABIES PER WOMAN
Babies per woman
In 1965, the number of babies born per woman in the world, on average, was 5.
What do you think the number is today?
www.gapminder.org/teach
Version: 1
Free teaching material for a fact-based worldview
A
A
A
B
A
C
4.5
3.5
2.5
Babies per woman — ANSWERS
Rural Accessibility Mapping
@stvno
85 000 POIs
@stvno
300k road segments
190k km (x5 around Earth)
@stvno
220 000 villages
20 000
@stvno
85 000 POIs
@stvno
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . _ . . . . . ⋅ . . .
https://github.com/opentraffic
https://github.com/conveyal/analyst-server
nightlights.io
nightlights.io
?
Foto aqui
HYPERSPECTRAL IMAGES
HYPERSPECTRAL IMAGES
khartoum_sudan
khartoum_sudan
?
Foto aqui
Welcome to the Real World
Climate change
Mitigation.
Adaptation.
Raising temperatures
More extreme events
?
Foto aqui
AIDS
~1920 Kinshasa
1966 Haiti, USA
1982 blood contamination
1985 CDC Plan. Blood tests.
1987 First AZT treatment.
“there are certain areas which, when the goals of science collide with moral and ethical judgment, science has to take a timeout” CDC director James Jason
EXACTAMENTE = 0 grados
Ozone
1922 Thomas Midgley Jr. � invents CFC
1973 First scientific evidence
1974 Nature article (´94 Nobel) � Supersonic flights report.
1975 DuPont: “a science fiction tale...a load of rubbish...utter nonsense"
1976 US, Canada, Sweden, Denmark and Norway consider ban
1978 US banned CFC based aerosol sprays
1979 Freon patent expires.
1985 Media gets “Antarctic hole”. Vienna convention. 20 nations, industry. Full phase-out
1987 Montreal Protocol.
Kofi Annan: "the single most successful international agreement”
If you are an academic