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MARCUS STROMAN FA MARKET

Jacob Hahn

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STROMAN MARKET

  • Free Agent after 2020 season
  • Will be 29 years old
  • Right-Handed Starting Pitcher
  • #2-3 Starter in Rotation

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SIMILAR PLAYERS IN MARKET

Name

Pos

Age

3 yr WAR

$ compared to Stroman

Marcus Stroman

RHP

29

8.7

​

Trevor Bauer

RHP

29

11.9

More

James Paxton

LHP

31

11.6

More

Masahiro Tanaka

RHP

31

8.3

Less

Jose Quintana

LHP

31

9.2

Less

Robbie Ray

LHP

28

6.6

Less

Jake Odorizzi

RHP

30

6.9

Less

Stroman will probably receive the 3rd-highest contract for a SP this offseason

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SIMILAR PLAYERS IN PAST

Name

Year

Age

3 yr WAR

Contract

AAV

Marcus Stroman

2021

29

8.7

​

​

Zack Wheeler

2020

29

9.1

5yr / $118M

23.6

Madison Bumgarner

2020

30

6.2

5yr / $85M

17

Patrick Corbin

2019

29

9.6

6yr / $140M

23.3

Yu Darvish

2018

31

10

6yr / $126M

21

Johnny Cueto

2016

29

9.2

6yr / $130M

21.7

Jeff Samardzija

2016

30

9.7

5yr / $90M

18

James Shields

2015

32

11.3

4yr / $75M

18.8

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POTENTIAL INTERESTED TEAMS

YOUNGER THAN TANAKA AND PAXTON

​

PLENTY OF $$$

RESIGN?

LOSING PORCELLO AND CESPEDES

​

NEW OWNERS?

GREAT OFFENSE, BELOW AVG PITCHING

​

LOSING ODORIZZI, BAILEY AND HILL

​

HAVE $ TO SPEND

RETURN TO TORONTO?

​

JAYS HAVE YOUNG OFFENSIVE TALENT

​

PAYROLL ROOM

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PREDICTED CONTRACT

  • According to trendlines, should receive around $21-22M AAV
  • Recent trend is shorter but more expensive contracts, probably won’t get 6+ years
  • Stroman is currently on IL due to calf injury, may not pitch much this year, lowers his value a bit
  • I predict he will sign for 5 years and $105M ($21M AAV)