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Cristo Rey 2030

Kickoff Session

December 2, 2021

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Why Cristo Rey 2030?

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Source: Andy Kessler, WSJ 9/20/21

2002

2021

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Foresightful Leadership

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Asking & Answering Ambiguous Questions

A

B

Definitive Questions

Ambiguous Questions

How do we set a course when the destination is unknown???

B2

B1

B3

Bn

A

Fuzzy Goals

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A Model for Anticipatory Innovation

Second Horizon –

Entrepreneurial Innovation

Source: Bill Sharpe / Tony Hodgson

First Horizon –

Sustaining Innovation

Time

Prevalence

Capture

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Capture

Tablet PC - 2002

"The Tablet takes cutting-edge PC technology and makes it available wherever you want it, which is why I'm already using a Tablet as my everyday computer.

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It's a PC that is virtually without limits -- and within five years I predict it will be the most popular form of PC sold in America."

iPad - 2010

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Cognitive Constraints

Educated Incapacity

  • “Knowing so much about what you know that you are the last person to see it differently”

Edie Weiner, FutureThink

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“People who seem to have had a new idea, have simply stopped having an old idea.”

Edwin Land

Co-founder, Polaroid Corp.

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A Model for Anticipatory Innovation

Second Horizon –

Entrepreneurial Innovation

Third Horizon –

Transformative Possibilities

Source: Bill Sharpe / Tony Hodgson

“Pockets of the Future in the Present”

First Horizon –

Sustaining Innovation

Time

Prevalence

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Mobilizing

Imagining Possibilities

Anticipating Change

Framing Lens

“Get There Early”

Strategic Foresight Process

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Present – Forward thinking

  • Now-Next-Future can suffice in stable times/environments

– but can plant the seeds of “capture”

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Future – Back Thinking

    • Not just thinking about the future, rather thinking FROM the future.

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  • Now-Future-Next is well-suited for a VUCA world

(volatile, uncertain, complex, ambiguous)

“Memories of the Future”

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Phase 1: Future Forces Assessment

Dec 2021 – Feb 2022

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Phase 2: Reimaging the Core

April 7, 2022

Cristo Rey 2030 Plan

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Sub-Group 1

Domain: Work

Christoph Hodge

Dani Ray Barton

Dave Mason

David O’Shea

Eugene Killeen

Jeff Sparling

Melissa Oates

Preston Kendall

Somers Martin

Let’s Get Started: Breakout Session

Sub-Group 1

Domain: Cities

Carl Martincich

Dan Dougherty

Fred Lumpkin

Jeb Myers

Joanna Wusinish

Lillie Sellers

Nathan Knuth

Ryan Michelle Petit

Paul Beck

Sub-Group 1

Domain: Education

Dr. Aleashia Clarkston

Andy Stith

Daniel Zundel

Flannery O’Connor

Michael O’Hagan

Mike Yonker

Tony Harris

Willie Hernandez

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Task #1:

Quick introduction – 1 minute per person

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Task #2:

Identify 1 force of change you imagine

might impact your domain by 2030

  • Describe its TRAJECTORY
  • How might it IMPACT your domain?

Let’s Get Started: Breakout Session

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Debrief

Breakout Session

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Jan 13 - Jan 27 - Feb 10

Work Sub-Group 1:00-2:00 eastern

Educ. Sub-Group 2:00-3:00 eastern

Cities Sub-Group 3:30-4:30 eastern

Next Sub-Group Sessions…