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S3 - SOLAR ERUPTIONS

Moderator: Larisza Krista (CU Boulder, NOAA/NCEI)

Co-Moderator: Jordan Guerra (CU Boulder, NOAA/SWPC)

Team lead: Peijin Zhang (NJIT)

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S3-05: SOLAR FLARE PRECURSORS �(TEAM LEAD: LARISZA KRISTA)�

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Team future plans:

  • Compare performance metrics across flare forecasting tools.
  • Joint efforts to combine magnetic field data (e.g. SHARPs or GONG data) and EUV precursor observations.
  • Balancing real-time data with the non-realtime data to maximize performance and positive hits.
  • What are the industry needs for timeline and magnitude forecasts.
  • Can we get data from industry to allow for model validation (aviation radio disturbances, satellite data outages).

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Please email me if you want to contribute!

LARISZA.KRISTA@GMAIL.COM

  • Monday joint session S3 – 05/06 “Flares, dimmings and CMEs: how can we best predict and understand solar eruptive phenomena”

Summary: We discussed at length the definition of “flare precursors” and how that differs from “self similarity” and “solar flare activity streaks”. The relationship between multiple flares and pre- and postcursors and whether they are connected and part of an ongoing physical process (building or reducing instability). The advantages and disadvantages of combining real-time and “delayed” data for forecasting (e.g., SUVI EUV data and magnetograms – HMI or GONG). AND we heard about the the CORHEL-CME model!

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S3-07: SOLAR FLARE DATABASE �(TEAM LEAD: JORDAN GUERRA)�

  • Monday joint session S3 – 07 “Solar Flare Database”

Summary:

  1. Session started by summarizing the discussion that took place at last ESWW mini-ISWAT.
  2. Presentation by the NOAA/NCEI Space Weather Team on a new product they are working on: Flare report from GOES (8 and onwards) XRS and SWPC reported events.
  3. General discussion.
  4. Team’s future plans:
  5. Examine existing flare data bases, cross-correlate and identify pros and cons for each data base. For example: NOAA/SWPC, HEK, DONKI, SIDC, NOAA/NCEI.
  6. WE DON’T HAVE TO START FROM SCRTACH (AGAIN)!!! Identify if an existing data base can be used as building ground to accomplish the team’s goals. This data base (ideally) should have the capability to modify/correct entries (curation).
  7. Looking for interested parties to form the core team.

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S3-04: SOLAR RADIO OBSERVATION�(CO-TEAM LEAD: PEIJIN ZHANG)�

  • Thursday joint session S3 – 04 Solar radio observation

Summary: perform radio imaging spectroscopy for the Sun, to provide a unique viewing point for the solar corona. The observation of continuum emission and radio burst can provide extra diagnose for the coronal plasma as well as the high energy electrons.

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  • Team future plans:
  • Increase the accessibility of the data for community across cluster S*
  • Push model and radio toward each other, synthetic data from coronal model, extract more info from radio observation