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NOTE FOR THE READER OR PRESENTER:

  • Talking points and additional resources are in the “notes” section of each slide
  • Bold text highlights the main points and could be read aloud during a presentation, while non-bold text provides additional supporting information

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NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS FOR� DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT

River flood hazards

Photo credit: Flickr/Sergio Tittarini

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MANY TERMS FOR “NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS”

Source: Cohen-Shacham et al. 2016; UNEP et al. 2014; EC 2015;

Lo 2016; WWF 2017; USACE n.d.; EcoShape 2018; WBCSD 2017

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PRESENTATION STRUCTURE

Photo credit: Flickr/Bureau of Land Management OR/WA

  • Context
  • The solutions:
    • Floodplains and bypasses
    • Inland wetlands
    • Stream banks and beds
    • Upland forests
  • Wrap-up

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RIVER FLOODING

Photo credit: Flickr/Amir Jina

  • Average 5,900 lives lost annually
  • 2.3 billion people have been negatively affected in last 20 yrs.
  • Average annual flood losses exceed $23 billion
  • River flooding is essential:
    • Productive and diverse ecosystems
    • Food for hundreds of millions of people

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FLOOD RISK

Photos/Figure (L-R): Wikipedia/NOAA; Wikipedia/KennyOMG; Wikipedia/Kumarrakajee

Hazard

Vulnerability

Exposure

*

*

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INCREASING FLOOD RISK

Source: Alfieri et al. 2016

With 2°C increase, 170% increase in damages and affected population

 Global Projections of River Flood Risk in a Warmer World

  • Development, climate change, and aging infrastructure
  • Population in floodplains increased by 114% (1970-2010)
  • Economic losses increasing 6.3%/ yr

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STRUCTURAL STRATEGIES

Source: World Bank 2017

 

Nature-based Solutions (NBS)

Built

Hybrid

Natural

Hard, gray,

engineered structures built to address development and DRR objectives

Combination of ecosystem elements and hard engineering interventions for addressing development and DRR objectives

Creation, protection or restoration of only ecosystem

elements for addressing development and DRR objectives

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WORLD BANK INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO � DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT (DRM)

Invested ~US$ 53 billion in more than 680 DRM projects globally

(FY2012-2018)

Source: World Bank 2018

Invested ~US$ 1.2 billion in 34 projects targeting river flooding with NBS

(FY2012-2018)

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CONVENTIONAL: ‘BUILT’ INFRASTRUCTURE

Photo credit: Wikimedia/Ssbertuccelli

ADVANTAGES

  • Essential role in preventing floodwaters from damaging assets and harming people
  • Deep industry knowledge
  • High performance certainty and control

EXAMPLES: Dams, levees/dykes, flood walls, channel modifications

CHALLENGES

  • 20% of freshwater fish species at risk
  • Can increase flood risk over time
  • Massive investment gap in flood infrastructure

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NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS

Photo credit: Flickr/Keith Ewing

  • Allow watersheds to function naturally, with beneficial flooding
  • Slow and attenuate floodwaters
  • ‘Hybrid’ solutions integrate and enhance the benefits of natural and built solutions

Examples: Floodplains, inland wetlands, stream beds and banks, and upland forests

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ADVANTAGES OF NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS

  • Provide wide range of additional co-benefits, beyond flood risk reduction
  • Can be more cost-effective
  • Can be designed as resilient, flexible, climate adaptation measures
  • Have capacity to adapt and regenerate

Photo credit: Wikimedia/Nicholas A. Tonelli

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WORDS OF CAUTION

Photo credit: Pxhere

  • Greater variability and uncertainty
  • Disconnect between upstream sources of river flooding and downstream communities at risk
  • Data and capacity limitations
  • Challenging to make the economic case
  • Land requirements and social equity

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NBS FOR RIVER FLOODING

Image: Flickr/WRI

  1. Floodplains and bypasses
  2. Inland wetlands
  3. Stream beds and banks
  4. Upland forests

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1. FLOODPLAINS, (BYPASSES AND POLDERS)

Photo: Pxhere

  • Relatively flat areas between rivers and uplands
  • High levels of spatio-temporal variability and species diversity
  • Variety of ecosystems
  • Hybrid provide added control, but often less diversity

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RISK REDUCTION BENEFITS

Photo: Flickr/Roger Price

  • Integrated with rivers to slowly, convey water and sediment
  • Capture large proportion of upstream water
  • Successful applications across the globe

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ADDITIONAL BENEFITS

Photo credit: Wikimedia/Basile Morin

  • Biodiverse habitat
  • Improved water quality
  • Groundwater recharge
  • Productive agriculture and fisheries
  • Carbon sequestration
  • Recreation

  • Markets exist for some services

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CONSIDERATIONS FOR USING FLOODPLAINS

Photo credit: Flickr/UW News

  • Large scale interventions – up to 10,000s of hectares
  • Land costs and competition
  • Floodplain and water development
  • Environmental justice and social equity
  • Most effective during short duration floods

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WHAT DO FLOODPLAINS AND BYPASSES COST?

Photo credit: Flickr/US Army Corps of Engineers

  • Dependent on land prices - often largest cost
  • Variable: $10,000 – $700,000/ha
  • Operations and maintenance costs are typically low (0.5-1.5%)

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CASE STUDY: DANUBE GREEN CORRIDOR

Photo credit: fFickr/chris lovelock and WWF 2010:

  • 2006 floods: US$ 464 million in damages

  • Dikes cut off floodplains
  • 80% of wetlands lost

Danube Green Corridor

  • Restore 224,000 ha of natural floodplain
  • Cost: US$ 214 million
  • Expected ecosystem services earnings: US$ 100 million/ yr

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2. INLAND WETLANDS

Photo credit: Flickr/Ed Dunens

  • Complex, integrated systems of water, plants, animals, and microorganisms
  • Require specific environmental conditions
  • Wide variety of wetlands and flood attenuation potential
  • 64–71% of the world’s natural wetland area have been lost

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RISK REDUCTION BENEFITS

Photo credit: Flickr/Eustaquio Santimano

  • Act like a sponge
  • A hectare of wetland can store up to 9,400 -14,000 m3 of floodwater
  • Type and location determine function
  • Floodplain river-fed wetlands greater potential to reduce floods

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ADDITIONAL BENEFITS

Photo credit: Flickr/NPS, Patrick Myers

  • Effectively filter sediments and pollutants
  • Hydrologic connectivity and water security
  • Wildlife and biodiversity
  • Recreation, tourism and education opportunities
  • Ecosystem services averaged $26,000 /ha/yr in 2011

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CONSIDERATIONS FOR USING INLAND WETLANDS

Photo credit: Flickr/Franck Zecchin

  • Site-specific environmental conditions
  • Seasonal and conditional variation in performance
  • Potential for moderate flood management benefits
  • Justification may require evaluation of additional benefits

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WHAT DO INLAND WETLANDS COST?

Photo credit: Flickr//DraconianRain

 

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Photo credit: World Bank/Andrina Fernando (top)

Sri Lanka Ministry of Defense and Urban Development (bottom)

CASE STUDY: BEDDAGANA WETLAND PARK, SRI LANKA

  • 2010 Flood: 36,000 families homeless, US$ 50-100 million damages
  • Wetlands capture 39% of the flood waters during storms
  • Degraded at 1.2% (23 ha)/ yr
  • Without wetlands 1% lost of GDP/yr

 

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3. STREAM BEDS AND BANKS

Photo credit: Wikipedia/US Bureau of Reclamation

  • Vegetated banks along meandering streams slow floodwaters
  • The majority of large rivers have been modified
  • Modifications fight against natural processes

Interventions: Re-meandering, setting back levees, de-armoring and revegetating banks.

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RISK REDUCTION BENEFITS

Photo credit: Flickr/Marcos Molina

  • Re-meandering the River Skjern extended stream length 36%
  • Mississippi River levee set backs could reduce expected annual damages by 55%
  • Restoring streambed delayed flood wave by two hours

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ADDITIONAL BENEFITS

Photo credit: Flickr/WRI

  • Improved riparian biodiversity
  • More diverse fish habitat
  • Decreased water temperature
  • Erosion control
  • Recreation and aesthetic value

Natural river banks in Belgium evaluated at US$ 27,000/km – 60,000/km per year

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CONSIDERATIONS FOR RESTORING STREAM BEDS AND BANKS

Photo credit: Flickr/ William Veerbeek

  • Reference state and objectives
  • Requires solid understanding of current and future hydrologic regimes
  • Dynamic river systems versus anthropogenic constraints

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WHAT DOES IS COST TO RESTORE STREAM BEDS AND BANKS?

Photo credit: Flickr/USFWS, Pacific region

  • High construction costs
  • Lower land acquisition and compensation costs
  • Bank stabilization: $29,000 to $137,000/km
  • Channel rehabilitation: $25,000 to $85,000/km

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CASE STUDY: ROOM FOR THE RIVER, THE NETHERLANDS

Photo credit: Wikipedia/Roger Veringmeier

  • 55% of housing in flood-prone areas
  • Higher dykes no longer sufficient due to climate change

Room for the River - Nijmegen

  • US$ 460 million to push dyke 350 m inland
  • Local participation and compensation
  • New island and river park

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4. UPLAND FORESTS

Photo credit: Flickr/Peter Steward

  • Upstream watershed characteristics influence downstream river floods
  • Upstream forests slow and retain runoff
  • Land use changes increase flood runoff

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RISK REDUCTION BENEFITS

Photo credit: WRI/James Anderson

  • Most risk reduction evidence from North American and European temperate forests
  • Most effective during moderate floods of short duration
  • 82% of studies reported a decrease in peak flow after restoration
  • Reforesting areas over 25-40% of a UK catchment could decrease the flood maximum by 20%

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ADDITIONAL BENEFITS

Photo credit: Flickr/Mathias Appel

  • Water and air purification
  • Carbon storage
  • Soil production, reduced erosion and sedimentation
  • Timber, food, and fuel
  • Habitat creation
  • Recreation

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CONSIDERATIONS FOR UPLAND FOREST RESTORATION

Photo credit: Flickr/WRI

  • Not all forests are created equal
  • Some studies demonstrate negligible flood impacts
  • Problems of scale and cost
  • Importance of data and monitoring

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WHAT DOES FOREST RESTORATION COST?

Photo credit: Flickr/WRI

  • Lower per hectare cost than other NBS: US$ 3,450/ha (tropical), 2,390/ha (other)
  • Significant compensation and transaction costs in catchments with large private landownership
  • High aggregate costs

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CASE STUDY: UPLAND FOREST RESTORATION AS PART OF INTEGRATED FLOOD MANAGEMENT FOR DAR ES SALAAM

Photo credit: Flickr/Eunheui

  • Suite of NBS, including forest restoration, outperformed other strategies
  • Pays for itself in less than 10 years
  • Net benefits of US$80 million over 20 years
  • 7 disastrous floods since 1995
  • Avg of 14 people die annually
  • Main cause of cholera outbreaks
  • Charcoal use severely degraded upland forests

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KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR INTEGRATING NBS INTO � RIVER FLOOD MANAGEMENT

Photo credit: Flickr/International Rivers

  • Natural versus current conditions
  • Watershed risks and additional benefits
  • Integration with built infrastructure
  • Spatial footprint and land cost

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THANK YOU

Photo credit: Flickr/bmalarky

For more information, contact:

Denis Jordy: djordy@worldbank.org

Brenden Jongman: bjongman@worldbank.org

Brenden Van Zanten: bvanzanten@worldbank.org

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CASE STUDY: NATURAL FOREST CONSERVATION PROGRAM (NFCP), CHINA - METRICS OF SUCCESS?�

Photo credit: Flickr/CIFOR

  • $26 billion in loses (1998 floods) due to deforestation and steep cultivation
  • NFCP meant to reduce flood risk, but no flood metrics formulated
  • 3.3 times less forest loss
  • 0.84 million increase in forest employment
  • However, questionable net benefits

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CASE STUDY: YOLO BYPASS, USA

Photo credit: Flickr/USFWS, Steve Martarano

  • Multi-purpose advantages of hybrid infrastructure
  • Conveys 80% flood flow
  • 200 bird species, and highest salmon population in CA
  • 2/3 are in private agriculture
  • Multi-billion dollar investment