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�The Consumer Price Index

  • The consumer price index (CPI) measures the change in prices for a fixed market basket of goods and services from one period to another.
  • In constructing the CPI, the universe or group of commodities to be included should be defined, then a sample is chosen to represent the universe.
  • The aggregate expenditure (Laspeyres) is used.

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  •  

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Example 1

  • The table below shows the prices and quantities of the basket of goods used in the calculation of CPI in a country.
  • (a) Construct the CPI for the years 2003 to 2007.
  • (b) Interpret your results in 2007

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Items

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Price

Quantity

Price

Price

Price

Price

Price

Price

A

15

22

17

17

18

21

23

26

B

6

27

7

7

9

11

13

15

C

8

12

8

9

9

12

12

15

D

11

14

15

16

22

34

47

71

E

21

12

22

23

27

36

41

56

F

9

9

13

13

18

28

39

58

G

21

22

23

23

26

30

32

37

H

12

27

14

15

18

21

25

30

J

5

14

7

7

10

15

21

32

K

9

12

9

10

11

15

18

24

L

15

10

21

22

31

46

64

96

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solution

  •  

Items

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Price

Price

Price

Price

Price

Price

Price

A

330

374

374

396

462

506

572

B

162

189

189

243

297

351

405

C

96

96

108

108

144

144

180

D

154

210

224

308

476

658

994

E

252

264

276

324

432

492

672

F

81

117

117

162

252

351

522

G

462

506

506

572

660

704

814

H

324

378

405

486

567

675

810

J

70

98

98

140

210

294

448

K

108

108

120

132

180

216

288

L

150

210

220

310

460

640

960

Sum

2189

2550

2637

3181

4140

5031

6665

CPI

100

116.492

120.466

145.317

189.127

229.831

304.477

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  • The CPI for 2007 is 189.13% which means that on the average the prices of the basket of goods have gone up by 89.13% compared to the base year price.
  • Example 2
  • An enquiry into the expenditure of middle class families in a certain city gave the following information:

  • Construct the CPI using the weights provided using 2022 as the base year and interpret your results.

Items

Food 35%

Fuel 10%

Clothing 20%

Rent 15%

Misc 20%

Prices (2022)

150

25

75

30

40

Prices (2023)

145

23

65

30

45

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Solution

  • For 2022: Food = (35/100)x150 = 52.5; Fuel = (10/100)x25 = 2.5 etc. Same computation is done for the year 2023.
  • Total amount is the row sum for each year.
  • CPI = (total amount/total amount of base year)x 100

Items

Food

Fuel

Clothing

Rent

Misc

Total amount

CPI

2022

52.5

2.5

15

4.5

8

82.5

100

2023

50.75

2.3

13

4.5

9

79.55

96.42

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�Uses of the CPI – Calculating Inflation

  • Inflation is the persistent increase in the general price levels whiles deflation is the persistent decrease in the general price levels.
  • Mathematically, inflation or deflation for the years t is computed as:
  • (CPIt – CPIt-1)/(CPIt-1)x100 where CPIt-1 is the consumer price index year for t-1.
  • If this value is greater zero, then there is inflation. But if it is less than zero, then is deflation.

  • Example 1
  • The table below shows the CPI for a country from 2000 to 2010. Calculate the level of inflation/deflation for each year and interpret your results for the year 2009.

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Prices of goods and services in 2009 have gone up by 6.5 percent compared to that of 2000.

Year

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

CPI

112

106

100

105

110

116

120

118

124

132

145

 

Solution

Year

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

CPI

 

-5.36

-5.66

5.00

4.76

5.45

3.45

-1.67

5.08

6.45

9.85

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�Uses of the CPI – Deflating

  • Real income is the income of an individual, organization or a country, after taking into consideration the effects of inflation on purchasing power.
  • The process of calculating real income from current (nominal) income is called deflating.
  • Mathematically, if RI is real income and NI is nominal income, then:
  • RI = (NI/CPI)x100

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�Example 1

  • The CPI in a country is 300% in 2005 (2000 = 100). If an employee earned GHC 7000 in 2000 and GHC 21,000 in 2005.
  • (a) Calculate his real income his real income in 2005
  • (b) Comment on the welfare of the employee.
  • Soln:
  • (a) Recall RI = (NI/CPI)x100; thus
  • RI2005 = (21,000/300)x100 = 7000.
  • (b) Although the employee’s nominal income tripled over the period, his standard of living or purchasing power is the same as it was in 2000.

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�Example 2

  • The table below shows the annual income of a teacher and the CPI from 2001 to 2009.
  • (a) Calculate the real income of the teacher.
  • (b) Prepare a series of index number to show the changes in his/her real income
  • (c) Comment on the welfare of the teacher.

Year

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Income

3650

4250

5050

5550

6050

6450

6850

7250

7550

CPI

100

135

160

175

265

335

465

545

615

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solution

  • (a) Recall RI = (NI/CPI)x100, see calculation in table below
  • (b) A simple income index from the real income of the teacher is given as
  • In/0 = (In/I0)x100. See computation of real income index number in table below.

Year

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Income

3650

4250

5050

5550

6050

6450

6850

7250

7550

CPI

100

135

160

175

265

335

465

545

615

RI

3650

3148.15

3156.25

3171.43

2283.02

1925.37

1473.12

1330.28

1227.64

RI index no.

100

86.25

86.47

86.89

62.556

52.75

40.36

36.45

33.63

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  • (c) The nominal income increases but his/her real income decreases. This means that the teacher has been worse of over the years.
  • Related to the calculation of real income is the calculation of purchasing power of a currency or income.
  • Rise in price levels means a reduction in the purchasing power of money or the amount of goods and services that you can buy.
  • Suppose the price of rice increases from GHC 10 per bag in 2010 to GHC 20 in 2020. This means in 2020 if you had GHC10, you could buy only half bag of rice.
  • Mathematically, if PP is the purchasing power of the cedi, then PP = (1GHC/CPI)x100

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Reading Assignment

  • Read on:
  • (i) use of Index numbers
  • (ii) Limitations of Index numbers.