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mRNA Distributions�Null Hypotheses and the Great Probability Distributions

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The Great Probability Distributions as Null Hypotheses in Biology

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We All Make Hypotheses

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These Hypotheses Are Likely to Be Wrong, and That’s a Good Thing

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Being Wrong About Specific Heat Led to the Quantum Theory of Solids

  • Maxwell could explain Petit and Dulong’s law using equipartition.
  • Weber realized that the temperature was a new knob. His results led to the quantum theory of solids.

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Null Hypotheses for the Motion of Molecules in Cells

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Null Hypotheses for Segregation of Macromolecular Assemblies

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Null Hypotheses for Cell Size Control

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We Will Test the Constitutive Promoter Null Hypothesis

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But Life Is Dynamic!

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Developing Technology to Enable the Quantification of Transcriptional Dynamics in Space and Time in Living Embryos

Garcia et al., Curr Bio (2013)

Lucas et al., Curr Bio (2013)

Bothma et al., PNAS (2014)

DNA

mRNA

broad activation

domain

narrow

stripe

in vivo

single-molecule

experiment!

Thomas

Gregor

Mike Levine

Jacques

Bothma

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Dynamics of mRNA Production Revealed by the MS2 System

Ido Golding et al., Cell (2005)

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A Cartoon Model:�Balancing Production and Degradation

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The Step-In-Time Protocol

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Going Back to Stuff(t)�The Rate Equation Protocol

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Phase diagram of the constitutive promoter

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Dynamics of the Mean mRNA Number�What Sets the Time Scale to Reach Steady State?

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Three Protocols for Solving Biological Dynamics

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The Great Probability Distributions as Null Hypotheses in Biology

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Today, We Will Test the Constitutive Promoter Null Hypothesis

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Characterizing the mRNA and Protein Distributions

Taniguchi et al. (2010)

Cell Biology by the Numbers

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What Does the mRNA Distribution Tell Us About How Transcription Happens?

Zenklusen et al. (2008)

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What Is the Predicted mRNA Distribution for Our Simple Model?

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Three Protocols for Solving Biological Dynamics

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The Chemical Master Equation Protocol

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Characterizing the mRNA Distribution

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How the mRNA Distribution Changes

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mRNA distributions are the result of production and degradation

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Trajectories and Probabilities of the Constitutive Promoter

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The Master Equation Dictates The Probability Flow

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The Beauty of the Taylor Expansion

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Calculating Functions Without Calculators: A Reminder of Our Privilege

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We Have Always Had Big Data!�“Big” Means We Have to Tame It

(Berman et al.)

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Taming Brahe’s Data for Mars

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The mRNA Distribution in Space and Time

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The Poisson Distribution Is Fully Determined by One Parameter

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Testing the Null Hypothesis�Deviations from Poisson Reveal Molecular Mechanism

Zenklusen et al. (2008)

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An Alternative Null Hypothesis: The Two-State Model of Transcription

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Transcriptional Bursting is Widespread in Biology

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Trajectories and Probabilities of the Two-State Promoter

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Testing the Null Hypothesis�Deviations from Poisson Reveal Molecular Mechanism

Zenklusen et al. (2008)

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A Closer Look at the Bacterial Data Reveals that mRNA is Produced in Bursts

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Bursting Dynamics Dictates Gene Expression Variability

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Testing the Two-State Model

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Theory With a Capital T:�Turning Physics Into Biology’s Next Microscope

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The Poisson Distribution is Everywhere

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Bombs Dropped Over London

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Where Bombs Targeted or Falling at Random?�The Poisson Distribution Is Everywhere!

An area was selected comprising 14 square kilometres of south London (…). The selected area was divided into 576 squares of 1/4 square kilometre each, and a count was made of the numbers of squares containing 0, 1, 2, 3 ...,etc. flying bombs. Over the period considered the total number of bombs within the area involved was 537.

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Imagining Clarke’s Data

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The Poisson Distribution is Everywhere

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Sequencing coverage

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Sequencing coverage

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