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Linear Regression

SECONDARY 1 MATH

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Linear Regression

a mathematical technique for finding the straight line that best

fits the values of a scatter plot of two-variable data points

if a best fit line is found, it can be used as the basis for estimating

future values of the data by extending it and maintaining the slope

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World’s Tallest Man – Robert Pershing Wadlow (1918-1940)

 

The tallest man in medical history for whom there is irrefutable evidence is Robert Pershing Wadlow. He was born at Alton, Illinois, USA, on February 22, 1918, and when he was last measured on June 27, 1940, was found to be 2.72 m (8 ft 11.1 in) tall. His great size and his continued growth in adulthood were due to hypertrophy of his pituitary gland which results in an abnormally high level of human growth hormone. He showed no indication of an end to his growth even at the time of his death.��Wadlow died at 1:30 a.m. on July 15, 1940, in a hotel in Manistee, Michigan, as a result of a septic blister on his right ankle caused by a brace, which had been poorly fitted only a week earlier. He was buried in Oakwood Cemetery, Alton, in a coffin measuring 3.28 m (10 ft 9 in) long, 81 cm (32 in) wide and 76 cm (30 in) deep.

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Robert next

to his father

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Make a scatter plot of the

data on a graphing calculator

In List1, type the values from the “Age” column

In List2, type the values from the “Height” column

STAT PLOT 🡪 “ON” and select the Scatter Plot Icon

Specify the Xlist: L1

Ylist: L2

Mark: ☐

Adjust the Window to show the data

Xmin: 0 Xmax: 25

Ymin: 0 Ymax: 150

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Age (years)

Height (inches)

Calculate the linear

regression line

STAT 🡪 CALC

“LinReg(ax+b)”

Specify Xlist: L1

Ylist: L2

FreqList: leave blank

 

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What is the slope? What does the slope tell you about the situation?

a = 2.57

Robert Pershing Wadlow was growing

about 2.57 inches every year

What is the y-intercept? What does the y-intercept tell you about

the situation?

b = 51.85

At birth, the equation suggests that Robert Pershing

Wadlow would have been 51.85 inches tall

Note: This is NOT likely to have a baby born with that length.

The equation has limitations

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Use the linear regression line to estimate how tall Robert would

have been at age 25? At 40 years?

25 years old 40 years old

Use the linear regression line to estimate how old Robert would

have been when he reached a height of 15 feet tall?

15 feet = 180 inches

If Robert had lived 49.86 years

and kept the same growth rate

he could have been 15 feet tall

 

116.1 inches tall

(9’ 8”)

 

154.65 inches tall

(12’ 11”)

 

 

x = 49.86

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Each year the US Census Bureau provides income statistics for the United States. In the years from 1991 to 2005, they provided the data in the table.

(All dollar amounts have been adjusted for the rate of inflation so that they are comparable from year-to-year.)

Let x be the years since 1990

Let y be the Median Income

for All Women

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Make a scatter plot of the

data on a graphing calculator

Adjust the Window to see

all of the data

Note: if you enter the actual year into List 1 (1991, 1992, etc.) your regression equation gives a y-intercept 2000 years ago…

This is not useful since U.S.A. wasn’t a country yet and women’s income not measurable at that time

Year since 1990

Calculate the linear

regression equation

 

Median Income ($)

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What is the slope? What does the slope tell you about the situation?

a = 464.10

Since 1990 the median income for women has risen

about $464.10 every year

What is the y-intercept? What does the y-intercept tell you about

the situation?

b = 18052.60

We predict that in 1990 the median income for women

would have been $18052.60.

 

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Use the linear regression line to estimate the Median income for

women in the United States in 2015

2015 is 25 years since 1990

Use the linear regression line to estimate the year that the average

income for women in the United States will be $50000.

We predict that the median

income for women in the U.S.

will be $50000 in the year 2059

 

In 2015 we predict that the median income for

women in the U.S. is $29655.10

 

 

x = 68.84

 

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