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Investigating Toxic Narratives

Lifaqane Nare

FactCheck Zimbabwe

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Introduction

Misinformation around the integrity of voting has been on the rise. Elections in the United States have seen an increase in toxic narratives and conspiracy theories on the integrity of the vote.

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Setting up a Social Media Investigation Project

How to construct "significant" lists of actors and "significant" samples of data

¨

Constructing

Sampling

Preparing

List

Top contestants (parties and/or candidates)

List

Top non-contestant

pages and actors

Saved search Divisive Political or

Electoral Issue (1)

Saved search Divisive Political or electoral issue (2)

Top 10 to 30 posts per week (per relevance)

Top 10 to 30 posts per week (per relevance)

Top 10 to 30 posts

per week (per relevance)

Top 10 to 30 posts per week (per relevance)

Analysing

• Political actor?

• Type of post

Topic of post

• Source of post

• Other

• Misuse administrative resources?

• Voter information?

• Hate speech? • Incitement?

• Defamatory speech?

• Dangerous speech?

• Information manipulation? • Disinformation?

• Propaganda?

Search

(institutional criteria)

Search political issues

(relevance criteria)

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Setting up cont…

Phase 1

Phase 2

Phase 3

Select Platforms to monitor

• Select actors to include in lists for monitoring

• Choose keywords to include in queries for monitoring

• Implement lists and queries for Facebook in CrowdTangle

• Implement lists and

queries for X in SentiOne

• Track election ads on

Meta and Google (if available)

• Monitor and extract data

• Aggregate data on Google sheets/Excel

• Create coding grid

• Do quantitative analysis

• Explore qualitative analysis

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Selecting Platforms to Monitor

Questions to be answered

» Which social media platforms are most relevant?

» Which are most used by which age groups and social/political actors?

» Which are more prone to information manipulation?

» Is information manipulation prevalent? On which platforms?

» Is the Facebook Ad Library available? Do candidates, supporters use political ads?

» Is Derogatory Speech and Hateful Content an issue? On which platforms? Towards which groups?

» Do government and electoral bodies have social media presence?

» Are political influencers active on social media? If so, on which platforms?

» Check Datareportal Library

» Check DigitalNews Report country data

» Check Statista, etc

» Google Search, platform search and CrowdTangle or similar tools

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Selecting Actors to Include on the List

Yes

Maybe

Preparing

List

Official criteria

Constructing

List

Top contestants (parties and/or candidates)

Go to candidates websites and track their presence on

social media

Search for political issues

(platform relevance criteria)

List

Top non-contestants pages and actors

Search and track the most relevant accounts pages or

groups talking about the election

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Choose Keywords to Include in Queries

Search for political issues

(platform relevance criteria)

Saved Search

Divisive Political or Electoral Issue (1)

Saved search

Divisive Political or Electoral Issue 2

Electoral Query (e.g)

Elections OR parliamentary elections OR candidate list OR

distribution of seats OR election

law OR confessional system OR confessional seat

Divisive Query (e.g)

Hezbollah OR "era of humiliation OR Iranian occupation OR everyone means everyone OR port explosion OR corruption OR militia OR terrorism OR system

OR your leader OR electricity OR smugglers OR garbage OR decentralization

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Choose Keywords to Include in Queries cont…

Create "saved searches" for electoral content and for the divisive or

polarizing issues (e.g. derogatory language; racism)

1. Use starting keywords - like "election" (election related content) and "immigration" or "corruption" (divisive and polarizing content)

2. Run those keywords on Google, X and Facebook search to get other related keywords

3. Construct a search query using Google search operators

4. Test the query to evaluate consistency of search results

5. Apply query to your saved search

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Check Election Ads on Meta and Google

  • Online political ads by official candidate or party accounts

  • Search for official accounts

  • Ad Library and Ad Library API Ad Library Report

  • Google Transparency Report

  • Online political ad use by non- contestants

  • Search for party/candidate by "keyword" Ad Library and Ad Library API

  • Ad Library Report

  • Google Transparency Report

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Check Election Ads on Meta and Google cont…

Step 1 : Check availability in your country

Assess if there are legal provisions for online political advertising and ask candidates (if available) if they plan on buying online advertising,

and if so, on which online platforms.

Step 2 : Develop a list of official candidates and parties + select key contenders Consider a threshold to limit your list if it is not possible to monitor all in the time period

Step 3: Data collection

Choose a subset of ads per party or candidate, potentially those ads with the most reach.

a) Manually download data per advertiser using Facebook's Ad Library report or Google's Political Ad Transparency Report.

b) Use the Facebook Ad Library API for more in-depth and automated analysis

Step 4: Data analysis

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Identifying the key actors

Analysing the data

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Thank you!

lifaqane@factcheckzw.org