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DS161 Introduction to Data Science & Artificial Intelligence

Self-Study 2

AI Evolution: Expert Systems to Generative AI

Krishnendu Ghosh

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What is Artificial Intelligence?

AI is the science of building machines that can perform tasks requiring human-like intelligence. Understanding its evolution — from rigid rule-based logic to creative generative models — helps us grasp where the technology is headed and why it matters today.

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AI Evolution Timeline

Five decades of innovation:

from hand-coded rules to AI that creates, reasons, and generates

RULE-BASED SYSTEMS

GENERATIVE AI

MACHINE LEARNING

DEEP LEARNING

EXPERT SYSTEMS

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Ai Evolution: Early Foundations

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Symbolic AI (1950s–60s)

Approach: Logic & symbols

Features: Hand-coded rules

Data: None required

Capability: Theorem proving

App: Chess, puzzles

Limit: Brittle, no learning

Rule-Based Systems (1960s–70s)

Approach: IF-THEN rules

Features: Explicit knowledge

Data: Expert input only

Capability: Simple reasoning

App: Early automation

Limit: Rule explosion

Expert Systems (1970s–80s)

Approach: Knowledge bases

Features: Inference engine

Data: Domain expert rules

Capability: Decision support

App: MYCIN, DENDRAL

Limit: Maintenance cost

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Symbolic & Expert Systems Era

Key Approach & Features

Symbolic reasoning using formal logic and predicate calculus. Knowledge stored in hand-crafted rule bases (IF-THEN). Expert knowledge encoded by knowledge engineers.

Data & Learning Requirements

No statistical learning from data. All knowledge manually coded by domain experts. Required extensive human effort to build and maintain rule sets.

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02

Capabilities & Applications

Medical diagnosis: MYCIN (bacterial infections). Chemical analysis: DENDRAL. Planning, theorem proving, and natural language parsing in narrow domains.

Limitations

Brittle outside defined rules. Could not handle uncertainty or incomplete data. Knowledge acquisition bottleneck. Failed to scale — led to the first AI Winter (1970s–80s).

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1950s–1980s: AI built on logic, rules, and hand-coded knowledge. Machines reasoned like experts — without learning from data.

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Machine Learning Revival

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AI Winter

1980s–1990s

Approach: Rule-based collapse

Cause: Overpromising, underfunding

Limitation: Brittle, no learning

Transition: RULES → DATA

Machine Learning

1990s–2000s

Approach: Statistical learning

Feature: Learns from examples

Data: Labeled datasets needed

Apps: Spam filters, search

Big Data Era

2000s–2010s

Approach: Data-driven models

Feature: Scale & computation

Data: Massive datasets

Apps: Recommendations, ads

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Machine Learning Era

Key Approach: Statistical Learning

Algorithms infer rules from data using probability, optimization, and regression — replacing hand-crafted logic with learned models (SVMs, decision trees, k-NN).

Data Requirement: Labeled Datasets

Supervised learning demands large volumes of manually labeled examples. Quality and quantity of training data directly determine model accuracy and generalization.

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Main Feature: Pattern Recognition

Models identify statistical regularities across features. Applications include spam filters, recommendation engines, medical diagnosis, and image classification.

Limitation: Feature Engineering

Human experts must manually select and transform raw inputs into informative features. This bottleneck is costly, domain-specific, and hard to scale.

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DEEP LEARNING REVOLUTION

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Deep Learning (2010s)

Approach: Multi-layer neural networks

Features: CNNs, RNNs, backprop

Data: Massive labeled datasets

Capabilities: Image & speech recognition

Apps: Vision, translation, games

Limit: Black box, compute-heavy

Transformers (2017–2019)

Approach: Attention mechanisms

Features: Self-attention, parallelism

Data: Large text corpora

Capabilities: Context-aware language

Apps: BERT, GPT-2, translation

Limit: Huge memory & data needs

Foundation Models (2020)

Approach: Large-scale pre-training

Features: Transfer learning, fine-tune

Data: Web-scale unlabeled data

Capabilities: General-purpose tasks

Apps: GPT-3, CLIP, Codex

Limit: Bias, cost, interpretability

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Deep Learning & Transformers

Key Approach & Features

Deep neural networks (CNNs, RNNs, LSTMs); self-attention & Transformer architecture; end-to-end learning from raw data.

Data & Learning Requirements

Massive labeled & unlabeled datasets; GPU/TPU clusters; pre-training on billions of tokens; fine-tuning for downstream tasks.

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Capabilities & Applications

Image recognition (ResNet), machine translation, speech synthesis; BERT for NLP; GPT series for text generation; ViT for vision.

Limitations

High compute & energy costs; limited interpretability (black-box); data-hungry; prone to hallucination; poor out-of-distribution generalization.

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Generative AI vs Multimodal

AI vs Agentic AI

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Generative AI (2022–2024)

• Approach: Large-scale generative modeling

• Features: Text, image & code synthesis; creative output

• Data: Massive web-scale datasets (trillions of tokens)

• Capabilities: GPT-4, DALL·E, Stable Diffusion, Codex

• Applications: Writing, art, coding, Q&A, summarization

• Limitations: Hallucinations, bias, high compute cost, no persistent memory

Multimodal & Agentic AI (2024–2026)

• Approach: Cross-modal reasoning + autonomous action

• Features: Vision, audio, text unified; tool use & planning

• Data: Paired multimodal corpora; reinforcement feedback

• Capabilities: GPT-4o, Gemini, Claude 3; AI agents & copilots

• Applications: Autonomous research, robotics, personal agents

• Limitations: Alignment risk, safety gaps, unpredictable behavior

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Key Takeaways

  • RULES: Hand-crafted logic and symbolic reasoning defined early AI, powerful but brittle.
  • DATA: Statistical learning unlocked pattern recognition at scale, moving beyond manual rules.
  • LEARNING: Neural networks and deep learning enabled machines to learn hierarchical representations automatically.
  • REPRESENTATION: Embeddings and attention mechanisms allowed richer, context-aware understanding of language and vision.
  • FOUNDATION MODELS: Large pre-trained models became general-purpose bases adaptable to countless tasks with minimal fine-tuning.
  • GENERATION: Generative AI enabled creation of text, images, code, and audio — not just classification or prediction.
  • ACTION: Agentic and multimodal AI systems now plan, reason, and act autonomously across complex real-world environments.

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