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Environmental Diplomacy and ��a Peace Strategy with China

Jerome C. Glenn, CEO�The Millennium Project

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Half the World is Potentially Unstable

International Alert in the U.K and the Center for Naval Analyses list of countries at risk of political instability

  1. Food Crisis (increasing prices, scarcity, shrinking food reserves, decreasing water)
  2. Water Crisis (falling water tables, scarcity, and pollution)
  3. Energy Crisis (supply/demand especially India and China)
  4. Ocean acidification (which kills some species affecting the food chain)
  5. Increasing Natural Disasters (Climate change related issues: floods, hurricanes, droughts, earthquakes)
  6. Population concentrations (livestock waste, water pollution, etc.)
  7. Desertification
  8. Failed States

Without major changes, items 1-8 will increase the number of refugees (political, economic, and environmental) further reducing environmental security

Hence, we are not yet winning the battle for environmental security

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1/11/11 Chinese President Hu Jintao in meeting with Defense Secretary Robert Gates urged the two militaries to deepen strategic trust. This was repeated to President Obama��Environmental Security (environmental viability for life support) should be the focus of that strategic trust.

Environmental Security: Peace Focus for US-China relations

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US-China Apollo-like Goal �…with NASA-like R&D Program

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Some of China’s Instability Factors

  • China’s water pollution, falling water tables, and receding Himalayan snow caps
  • Polluted soil reduces agricultural production; China cannot feed itself
  • Energy supply and distribution
  • Rich/poor gap protests
  • Rural people moving to cities are not treated well
  • Conflicts with Muslim secessionists in the oil northwest
  • All could increase instability, slow China’s economic growth making it unable to keep employment growth

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First World “Global Time-Out”�…. to stop and re-think everything

Disasters in nature, new growth occurs.

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After WWII we got the United Nations and many forms of multi-national cooperation.

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Maybe next will be planetary conscious with Environmental Diplomacy

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For further information

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Info@Millennium-Project.org

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The following are resources are available at:

http://www.millennium-project.org

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