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Costing of breeding Programs: Crop Network based Approach���Lennin Musundire��7th October 2025�APBA Conference, Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe��

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Current and Future Status

Common gap for Crop breeding networks

1. Plant breeding is a business

2. Align resource allocation relative to market share/size

3. Compare the cost of the alternative breeding pipeline and strategies

4. Estimate the cost of running current breeding pipelines

Costing is now part of ENABLE (B4T –AoW and EiB phase 3PO).

The focus is on crop regional networks, with an emphasis on “breakthrough products” to align with the Gates Foundation's investments.

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Potential solution

Service portal request

Further improvement through the use of an “Excel-based” new approach – analysis and modelling.

Clunky interface

Requires knowledge of breeding programs to operate – discourages non-breeders

Detail heavy - gets into the weeds (e.g., cost of envelopes/pens)

University of Queensland Costing Tool is open access/free and developed by practical plant breeders –

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Primary Outcomes of Costing

Develop

Develop Realistic Budgets

Charge

Costing for Services realistically

Identify

Identify High-Cost Items

Optimize

Optimize resource allocation through basic simulation – not QG, breeding metrics at various stages

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Case Study: WCA Sorghum Network

Market Segments, Country Prioritization, and Costing Summary of Breeding Programs

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Market Segments, Actual Area Harvested (Ha) and Partner Roles �

ID MS internal

MS ID from Breeding Portal

MS Long Name

Burkina Faso

Ghana

Mali

Nigeria

Senegal

Togo

Niger

Chad

Cameroon

Total Area (ha)/MS

 

 Tier

 

3A

4A

2A

3B

3A

3B

3B

4B

4B

 

MS1

MS00673

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Food; Fodder | White; Cream | Sahelian Zone | Rainfed | Early

475,000

 

549,548

1,401,250

39,123

 

2,111,451

282,391

107,418

4,966,180

MS2

MS00400

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Food; Fodder | White; Cream | Sudan; Guinea zone | Rainfed | Mid

570,000

 

1,099,095

2,802,500

117,368

15,802

703,817

338,869

143,224

5,790,675

MS3

MS00681

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Food; Fodder; Local Malting | Red | Sudan; Guinea zone | Rainfed | Mid

570,000

121,867

 

280,250

 

180,139

 

338,869

250,643

1,741,767

MS4

MS00674

Sorghum | Hybrid | WAF | Food; Fodder | White; Cream | Sahelian Zone | Rainfed | Early

190,000

 

18,318

112,100

13,041

 

211,145

 

 

544,604

MS5

MS00675

Sorghum | Hybrid | WAF | Food; Fodder | White; Cream | Guinea zone; Sudan | Rainfed | Mid

95,000

 

91,591

112,100

13,041

 

 

 

 

311,732

MS6

MS00678

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Food; Food Processing; Poultry | White | Sudan; Guinea zone | Rainfed | Mid

 

15,233

73,273

280,250

 

 

 

56,478

 

425,235

MS7

MS00677

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Malting; Feed | White; Cream | Sudan; Guinea zone | Rainfed | Mid

106,633

 

560,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

667,133

MS8

MS00676

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Food; Food Processing | Red | Sahelian Zone | Rainfed | Early

60,933

 

 

 

72,688

70,382

112,956

 

 

316,959

MS9

MS00915

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Food; Food Processing; Poultry | White | Sahelian Zone | Rainfed | Early

 

 

 

26,082

47,405

351,909

 

 

 

425,396

MS10

MS00680

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Ethanol production | White; Cream | Sudan; Guinea zone | Rainfed | Mid

 

 

56,050

 

 

 

 

 

 

56,050

MS11

MS00914

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Food; Fodder | White; Cream | Sahelian Zone; Post rainy season | Rainfed | Extra-early

 

 

 

39,123

 

 

 

 

 

39,123

MS12

MS00679

Sorghum | Hybrid | WAF | Food; Food Processing | White | Sudan; Guinea zone | Rainfed | Early

 

 

 

13,041

 

 

 

 

 

13,041

MS13

MS01119

Sorghum | Non-Hybrid | WAF | Fodder | White; Cream; red | Sudan; Guinea zone | Rainfed | Mid

 

 

 

 

 

70,382

 

 

 

70,382

Total Area (Ha) per Country

2,067,566

137,100

2,448,375

5,066,696

302,665

688,613

3,139,369

1,016,608

501,285

15,368,277

Program receiving resources for population development

Program receiving resources for trialing

Not a regional priority, country effort only

 

Dormant program

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Breeding scheme for OPV sorghum pipelines �(MS1, MS2 and MS3)

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  • There is also the Regional and National breeding pipelines for:

  1. Hybrids female parents (seed parents) or B lines sorghum pipelines (MS4 and MS5)

  • Hybrids male parents (pollen parents) or R lines sorghum pipelines (MS4 and MS5)

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Market Segments, Partner Roles and Total Cost (US$)

MS ID

CIMMYT Senegal

Burkina Faso

Mali

Nigeria

Senegal

Togo

Total Cost (US$) per MS

Tiers  

 

 

3A

2A

3B

3A

3B

 

MS1

MS00673

341,557

269,996

102,509

61,854

244,382

 

1,020,297

MS2

MS00400

349,088

323,996

205,017

50,841

255,383

10,901

1,195,225

MS3

MS00681

349,110

323,996

 

56,348

46,752

124,272

900,477

MS4

MS00674

 

107,999

169,822

79,623

108,756

 

466,200

MS5

MS00675

 

53,999

17,085

62,167

97,900

 

231,151

Total Cost (US$) per Country

1,039,754

1,079,985

494,432

310,833

753,173

135,173

3,813,350

 The partner is only interested in the market segment as a test and release.

The partner is interested in the Market Segment but not network/ABI interest.

 The network funds the partner to scale up breeding.

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High Level Summary

1. At least 58% of operational costs are currently spent on germplasm development and 42% on product evaluation.

2. The three most expensive components of the breeding pipeline are:

    • F1 crossing for $17.22 per 3m row.
    • Breeder and foundation seeds production for $15.88 and $ 16.52 per 3m row, respectively.
    • Stage 2 AYT trials at $4.26 per 3m row.

3. The three most expensive cost item activities in nurseries are:

    • Cost of pollination bags
    • Cost of labour for pollination.
    • Cost of labour for day and night guarding

4. The three most expensive items in trials are:

    • Cost of labour for pollen bagging and self-pollination.
    • Cost of field visits for breeders, research assistants and respective drivers
    • Cost of labour for data collection, counting the number of plants, the number of ears, and plant lodging.

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Recommendations

  1. Prioritize high-impact traits and crops aligned with market demand.
  2. Use Market segments to guide investment. Allocate resources proportionally to potential market share and size, as well as farmer adoption.
  3. Benchmark alternative breeding strategies (e.g., conventional vs. genomic selection).
  4. Use costing data to inform decisions on breeding pipeline design and optimization.
  5. Identify cost drivers in each program and areas for efficiency gains.

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Research Outcomes

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