2020 State �of the Industry: �Fermentation-�enabled meat, eggs, �and dairy
Agenda
Welcome & introduction to the Good Food Institute
Why the world needs alternative proteins
2020 Fermentation State of the Industry
Q&A
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The Good Food Institute
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Science and Technology
Advancing foundational, open-access research in alternative proteins and creating a thriving research and training ecosystem around these game-changing fields.
Corporate Engagement
Partnering with companies and investors across the globe to drive investment, accelerate innovation, and scale the supply chain—all faster than market forces alone would allow.
Policy
Advocating for fair policy and public research funding for alternative proteins.
GFI is a 501(c)(3)nonprofit developing the roadmap for a sustainable, secure, and just protein supply. We focus on three key areas of work:
GFI officially earned GuideStar's 2019 and 2020 Platinum Seal of Transparency—obtained by less than 1% of nonprofits—reflecting our commitment to maximum impact, efficiency, and inclusion.
We work as a force multiplier, bringing the expertise of our departments to
the rest of the world.
United States
Brazil
India
Europe
Asia Pacific
Israel
100+ staff in 6 regions
Total meat
4
= 10 MMT
Alt meat
Additional meat demand by 2050
Fundamental efficiency gains for alternative proteins
gfi.org
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CALORIE OUT
1
CALORIE OUT
8
CALORIES �IN
13%
CONVERTED
34
CALORIES �IN
3%
CONVERTED
Source: Shepon, et al., Energy and protein feed-to-food conversion efficiencies in the US and potential food security gains from dietary changes.
1
CALORIE OUT
11
CALORIES �IN
9%
CONVERTED
Cycling calories through animals in this way is equivalent to 87-97% food waste in production.
Where does the global protein supply come from?
Source: Poore and Nemecek 2018
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Agricultural land used for crops for humans supplies 2/3 of the global protein supply.
Land use
Global protein supply
Meanwhile, even though about 83% of agricultural land is used to produce meat, aquaculture, dairy, and eggs, these sectors only provides a 37% of the global protein supply and 18% of the global calorie supply.
Source: United Nations, Livestock’s Long Shadow (report)
Sustainably
Industrialized animal agriculture is in the top 2-3 most significant contributors to the world’s most pressing environmental issues such as water use, air pollution, and loss of biodiversity.
Industrialized animal ag is responsible for 14.5% of greenhouse gas emissions—a higher share than the entire transport sector.
Sources: World Resources Institute (calorie formula);�UN FAO (land use)
Efficiently
It takes nine calories of food fed to a chicken to produce one calorie of meat.
75% of agricultural land is used for raising and feeding livestock yet only provides 1/3 of the global protein supply.
Sources: FDA (animal-consumed antibiotics); IMS Health (human-consumed antibiotics); United Nations IAGC (AMR)
Safely
Animals in the United States consume more than 2x as many medically important antibiotics as humans do.
Based on current trends, medical experts expect 10 million annual deaths from antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in 2050, a 14-fold increase over current deaths.
How will we feed 10 billion people by 2050?
GFI’s approach
GFI’s Solution: Accelerating alternative proteins
We can create meat, eggs, and dairy more sustainably and efficiently by making them from plants, cultivating them directly from cells, or producing them by fermentation.
Instead of asking consumers to give up the foods they love, GFI is accelerating the transition to alternative proteins by helping companies make products that are delicious, affordable and accessible.
Alternative protein production platforms
Plant-based
Photo courtesy of Plant-Based Seafood Co.
Fermentation
Photo courtesy of Ecovative Design: Atlast Food Co.
Cultivated
Photo courtesy of Wildtype
Comparing alternative proteins and conventional meat on environmental impacts
For GHG comparison to conventional beef production, cultivated meat’s global warming benefits are best viewed as short-term, as beef’s impacts are driven primarily by methane.
Source: GFI & CE Delft lifecycle assessment 2021. Note: The beef shown here is from dairy cattle. Beef from beef cattle is significantly more resource-intensive, with 70x as much GHG emissions compared to plant-based meat.
Environmental impacts compared to plant-based meat | Plant-based �meat (made with wheat protein) | Cultivated �meat (made with �renewable energy) | Conventional chicken (ambitious �benchmark) | Conventional pork (ambitious �benchmark) | Conventional �beef (ambitious benchmark, �from dairy cattle) |
Land use | 1x | 8x | 23x | 30x | 44x |
Water use | 1x | 28x | 23x | 20x | 57x |
Air pollution | 1x | 10x | 14x | 20x | 67x |
Toxic chemicals | 1x | 6x | 6x | 12x | 55x |
Greenhouse gas emissions (CO2-eq) | 1x | 6x | 7x | 12x | 41x |
Animal product alternatives will occur along a spectrum
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Fully plant-based
Fully cultivated
Hybrid products
Tofu
Plant-based burger with cultivated fat
Synthetic gelatin
Cultivated meat
Impossible burger
100% fermentation-derived
Growth factors from fermentation
Fermentation-derived flavoring ingredients
Enzymes can improve protein functionalization or coagulation
Tiny organisms, tremendous potential
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Microbial fermentation has been used for:
90% of modern cheese production uses fermentation-derived rennet enzymes, rather than extracts from calf stomachs.
Traditional fermentation: using biological processing to improve functionality
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Biomass fermentation: high protein content and quality; imparting meat-like texture without extrusion or extensive processing
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Precision fermentation can address key functional and sensory challenges in alternative protein products
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Egg white proteins
Milk proteins �(casein, whey)
Collagen proteins
Heme proteins
Growth factors
Different fermentation approaches vary in the degree of downstream processing they require and their functional activity in formulations
Source: GFI, Fermentation State of the Industry Report, 2020
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Although fermentation is a relatively mature platform, alt protein applications present new challenges
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FEEDSTOCK OPTIMIZATION
Any source of biomass can theoretically serve as a feedstock for fermentation-based protein production.
BIOPROCESS DESIGN
The cells are added to a bioreactor along with cell culture media containing the feedstocks.
The conditions inside the bioreactor allow the cells to proliferate and, if applicable, accumulate their target molecules.
FINAL PRODUCT FORMULATION AND MANUFACTURING
Whole biomass
The whole cell biomass or fractions thereof can be harvested to produce a ingredients for alternative meat, egg, or dairy production.
Alternatively, a specific target expressed by the cells can be isolated and purified for use as a high-value functional ingredient.
Functional ingredient
STRAIN DEVELOPMENT & TARGET SELECTION
The cells are optimized for production of the desired target molecule of interest via selection and/or engineering.
Fermentation can address key challenges in processing and formulation of plant-based products
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INGREDIENT PROCESSING
Raw materials are isolated and functionalized by mechanical and chemical processes to create optimal ingredients for the end product.
END PRODUCT FORMULATION AND MANUFACTURING
Texturization
The correct mix of ingredients and processes are established to create the desired taste, texture, smell, and structure
SOURCE SELECTION
Characterize new crop sources to diversify the available inputs for plant-based meat.
OPTIMIZATION
The source material is optimized via breeding or engineering.
Raw material optimization
Isolation & functionalization
Formulation & manufacturing
Commercial landscape
Expanding fermentation-powered alternative protein startup landscape
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Startup technology focus areas and locations
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Companies with initiatives in fermentation value chain
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Source: GFI analysis
Established leaders in fermentation are increasingly catering to the needs of the alternative protein sector
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2020 product launches
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Planterra, a plant-based meat subsidiary of the world’s largest meat producer, JBS, introduced their first line of products under the brand OZO, which features pea and rice protein fermented with shiitake mycelia from MycoTechnology.
2020 saw the market launch of the first dairy product made through precision fermentation. Perfect Day’s commercial ice cream launches represent the first time consumers have been able to buy precision-fermentation-enabled animal-free dairy made with real milk proteins.
Fermentation infrastructure priorities
Production capacity
Processing capacity
Challenges
For more information on the fermentation capacity landscape, please view the slides and recording from GFI’s recent webinar, Commercial Fermentation: Opportunities and Bottlenecks, presented by Mark Warner
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Global alternative protein market projected to reach $290 billion by 2035
Note: Global share calculations assume $1.4 trillion global total meat market, unless source materials provide their own share estimate
Source: Business Times (May 2019); J.P. Morgan (May 2019); A.T. Kearney (2019); Grizzle (May 2019); UBS (July 2019); Barclays (August 2019); Jeffries (September 2019); A.T. Kearney (2019); Stephens (2021); BCG (2021); EY-Parthenon (2021)
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Global alternative protein market projections | ||||
Source | Category | Projected market size | By year | Projected share of global meat market |
Stephens | Plant-based meat | $54b | 2030 | 4% |
UBS | Plant-based meat | $85b | 2030 | 6% |
J.P. Morgan | Plant-based meat | $100b | 2035 | 7% |
A.T. Kearney | Plant-based meat | $370b | 2035 | 23% |
Barclays | Plant-based and cultivated meat | $140b | 2029 | 10% |
Jeffries | Plant-based and cultivated meat | $240b | 2040 | 9% |
A.T. Kearney | Plant-based and cultivated meat | $1.1t | 2040 | 60% |
EY-Parthenon | Plant-based, fermentation-derived, and cultivated meat | $77-$153b | 2030 | 5%-10% |
BCG | Plant-based, fermentation-derived, and cultivated proteins | $290b | 2035 | n/a |
Investment
Alt protein investment backdrop
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Source: GFI analysis of Pitchbook data
Fermentation-powered alternative protein investments surpass $1 billion
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.
Key 2020 Funding Rounds
$300 million Series C
$45 million General Debt
Source: GFI analysis of PitchBook Data, Inc. Invested capital includes accelerator and incubator funding, angel funding, seed funding, equity and product crowdfunding, early-stage venture capital, late-stage venture capital, private equity growth/expansion, capitalization, corporate venture, joint venture, convertible debt, and general debt completed deals.
Note: Data has not been reviewed by PitchBook analysts.
Annual investment in fermentation companies
2013-2020
Total invested capital: $1.03 billion
2020 fermentation investment overview
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Source: GFI analysis of Pitchbook data
Total invested capital | Largest investment | Unique investors |
$587 million (57% of all-time investment, up 109% from 2019) $1 billion (2013–2020) | $300 million �(Perfect Day) �� | 80 new (up 45% from 2019) �259 total (2013–2020) |
Series A/A1/A2 fundraising rounds | Series B fundraising rounds | Series C/C1 fundraising rounds |
7 new 19 total (2015–2020) | 1 new 3 total (2017–2020) | 1 new 3 total (2017–2020) |
Invested capital deals | Liquidity events | |
28 new 102 total (2013–2020) | 0 new $1.49 billion total (Quorn, 2003–2017) | |
A variety of funding models
0 | 1 | 2-9 | 10+ |
0 | 1 | 2-9 | 10+ |
Funding Models: A Heatmap
Analysis inspired by the “Funding Models in Life Sciences” newsletter from Joshua Elkington of Axial
Venture Capital | In/Out- Licensing |
Private Equity | Public Listing (IPO / SPAC / Direct Listing) |
Institutional Investment | Royalty Deals |
Public Sector Investment | Private Sector Grant |
Crowdfunding | Debt |
Prize | Bootstrap |
Dilutive
10+ | 2-9 | 1 | 0 |
Legend (Deal Count)
Non-Dilutive
-
-
-
-
→ Logo in cell is an example of a company pursuing said financing strategy
-
→ Hyphen in cell suggests no companies have (to our knowledge) publicly
pursued said financing strategy
Notes
Dilutive models
Funding models
by deal count
Example
Non-dilutive models
Funding models
by deal count
Example
Note: Examples are select companies pursuing said financing strategy. Analysis inspired by the “Funding Models in Life Sciences” newsletter from Joshua Elkington of Axial.
Venture Capital |
Accelerator/ Incubator |
Corporate |
Angel |
Equity Crowdfunding |
Grant |
Debt |
Product Crowdfunding |
Prize |
|
Science & technology
While we have barely scratched the surface of what’s possible, fermentation is poised for rapid growth
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Mature technology, proven scale | Fermentation occurs at scales up to 600,000 liters. |
Low cost | Fermentation is used to produce industrial chemicals, feed ingredients, and other high-volume, low-cost products. |
Familiar to the food industry | Many food-safe microbial species are already approved by regulators around the world. |
Rapid R&D | R&D cycles are significantly faster than for plants or animals. |
Rapid production | For some processes, biomass can be harvested every few hours. |
The top taste barriers reported for plant-based meat are focused on moisture, flavor, and texture
Source: Food Systems Innovations, “Chicken and Burger Alternatives: Taste Test Results” (December 2018)
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Moisture
Flavor
Texture
1
2
3
Formulation solutions: leveraging fermentation-derived ingredients to augment plant-based products
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OPTIMIZING FLAVOR AND FUNCTIONALITY
IMPROVING TASTE AND TEXTURE THROUGH FAT ENCAPSULATION
ENHANCING NUTRITIONAL PROFILES THROUGH BIOFORTIFICATION
RECAPITULATING THE CONSUMER EXPERIENCE OF COOKING
Utilize a recombinant protein platform to produce key flavor molecules and/or enzymes that can improve ingredient functionality
Utilize metabolic engineering to produce volatile compounds identical to those given off by cooking meat to capture the olfactory experience
Develop methods for fat encapsulation that can withstand processing into plant-based meat, allowing for higher fat retention
Develop microbial strains that will bioaccumulate or synthesize high levels of vitamins or minerals as a natural biofortification ingredient
Fermentation-derived enzymes are especially promising for augmenting plant proteins
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Lots of room for enzyme adaptation, prospecting, or engineering to improve ingredient functionality or biomaterial properties.
Enzymatic treatment can address these key challenges with plant proteins:
Enzyme manufacturers are seizing on this opportunity and developing custom portfolios of enzymes suited to these challenges.
Key opportunities for innovation
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Strain development
Feedstock optimization
Process design & manufacturing
Target identification and selection
Formulation & product development
Key R&D areas with potential for scale and cost reduction
Novel strain development
Feedstock / waste valorization
High-volume, low-cost mfg. capacity
Source: GFI analysis
Examples of high-impact research areas:
Key R&D areas with potential for scale and cost reduction
Novel strain development
Feedstock / waste valorization
High-volume, low-cost mfg. capacity
Source: GFI analysis
Develop processing methods to leverage existing biomass sidestreams from local industries (agricultural processing, forestry, etc.) as fermentation feedstocks.�
Examples of high-impact research areas:
Key R&D areas with potential for scale and cost reduction
Novel strain development
Feedstock / waste valorization
High-volume, low-cost mfg. capacity
Source: GFI analysis
Examples of high-impact research areas:
Fermentation adjacent technology: Plants as recombinant protein platforms
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At least 11 publicly announced companies are now working on this approach
Proposed advantages:
*List may not be comprehensive or inclusive to larger suppliers that source a portion of their recombinant protein catalogue via plants
For a comprehensive look at the science of fermentation
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Source: GFI analysis
Check out GFI’s science of fermentation page: gfi.org/science/the-science-of-fermentation/
GFI has mapped challenges and solutions throughout the alternative protein value chain
GFI recently published an overview of the most pressing challenges we’ve been told about at each stage of the alt protein supply chain, representing whitespace opportunities for startups, investors, and established suppliers, based on over 150 supply chain interviews.
Tools for the industry
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Source: GFI analysis
Source: GFI analysis
Curriculum repository | | Research labs | | Collaborative directory |
| | | | |
| | | | |
Bioreactor modeling | | Research tool directory | | PISCES / ATLAS |
| | | | |
Ecosystem building
Advancing science
gfi.org
GFI Competitive Research �Grant Program
Funding for cutting-edge science to take plant-based and cultivated meat to the next level
Learn more about funding opportunities >>
Sourcing and scaling the next generation of alt proteins.
Differentiating muscle and fat cells in animal culture.
Optimizing non-animal cell culture for protein biomass.
Engineering recombinant proteins as inputs for animal-free food.
Research white spaces
Government & regulatory
Israel
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Source: GFI analysis, Israel Ministry of Health | Image credit: GPO Kobi Gideon
Food Control Service
“Appoint a body to serve these industries in order to connect and oversee all the stakeholders operating in this field.”
— Prime Minister Netanyahu
Regulatory - United States
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Regulatory - Singapore
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Regulatory – Australia & New Zealand
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European Union
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Source: GFI analysis, European Commission, Chatham House
Use of genetic engineering?
Novel Food Regulation
Regulation No. 1829/2003 (GMOs in food and feed)
Yes
No
EU Labeling
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Government support
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Conclusion
Consumer response has been strong in spite of premium pricing, implying strong growth ahead as products improve and the supply chain scales
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The “feed” industry of the future – alternative proteins need to utilize every fraction of crop or biomass inputs
gfi.org | Page 56
OR
SIDESTREAM BIOMASS
High molecular-weight proteins
Amino acids, small peptides
Simple sugars and longer polysaccharides and starches
PLANTS
ALGAE
BACTERIA
FUNGI
The alternative protein industry has applications to and synergies with other parts of the multi-trillion-dollar global bioeconomy
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Production benefits of alternative proteins
Complete customizability and control
Produce just the highest-value meat cuts
Production benefits of alternative proteins
Easier and faster to produce
Alternative proteins are reframing the meat, egg, & dairy categories
Meat has become more abstracted away from the animal over time
The definition of “meat” is shifting, from being primarily defined as animal tissue to:
Integrating plants and new forms of protein is the next step of this evolution
>>>
>>>
>>>
!
Animals as a technology are being superseded, which has happened before
gfi.org | Page 61
Made irrelevant via alternative technology
Transportation
Horses & pack animals
Fuel & Energy
Fuel
Lamps (whaling)
Draft animals
Research / Animal Testing
Models for Human Disease
Food & Materials
Meat & Byproducts
Category
Animal Technology
Alternative
Technology
Cars, Planes, Trains
Electricity &
Tractors
Refrigeration,
Processing, &
Currency
Body-on-a-chip
New Protein & Materials
Food Storage & Tradeable Wealth
Livestock
Q&A
Download State of the Industry reports at:
gfi.org/industry
For more resources, sign up for GFI’s �Plant-Based Insider newsletter:
gfi.org/insider
Contact us at corporate@gfi.org with any questions!