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MTEC 4800, OL50–Interdisciplinary Team Project

Chris Woebken

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8/25

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Introductions

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Get to know your neighbor:

Name, background

Pronouns

Share a recent project

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Practical Resources / Housekeeping

Google Drive
Slack
Zoom Link / Password
Syllabus
Schedule
Loaner compute r
Virtual Lab access
Community Agreement

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Syllabus

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Grading

Attendance / Participation* 10%

Readings** 10%

Round 1: artifact development 10%

Round 2: artifact development 10%

Teamwork 20%

Round 3: Physical/hybrid digital artifact development 20% Story / functional illustrations 10% Publishing & Disseminating 10%

TOTAL 100%

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Let’s go over the schedule / modules

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Project will be in flux, and we’ll develop it in teamwork as we go along, so expect the schedule to adjust as we go.

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Drive folder

Syllabus

Sign up sheets

Reading discussion

Our slides

Your slides

Your final assets

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Design Futures Intro

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DISCURSIVE

RESPONSIBLE

EXPERIMENTAL

COMMERCIAL

The 4 Fields of Industrial Design: by Bruce M. Tharp and Stephanie M. Tharp, 2009

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Dunne & Raby -2001

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Dunne & Raby -2009

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Affordances

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Affordances

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An unresolved mapping of Speculative Design, Elliott P. Montgomery, 2018

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SETTING

SCENARIO

SITUATION

STUFF

ABSTRACT

CONCRETE

EXPERIENTIAL

GULF

Experiential Futures Ladder, Stuart Candy, 2017

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Critical / Speculative Design Examples

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Noam Toran

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Daisy Ginsberg & Sascha Pohflepp

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Molle Industria

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Yi-Fei Chen : Tear Gun

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Atelier Van Lieshout: Slave City

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Participatory Futures

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Extrapolation Factory

99¢ Futures

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PROBABLE

PLAUSIBLE

POSSIBLE

IMPOSSIBLE

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Extrapolation Factory

Pawn Tomorrow

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Extrapolation Factory

Alternative Unknowns

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The Alternative Unknowns method, tested at the "Infrastructure Space" LafargeHolcim Forum, offers a way to set up live-action simulators to serve as design prototyping tools, allowing designers to investigate, experiment, propose, and test within these system-level challenges. The method draws upon the scenario simulations devised by emergency management groups, the military and the police for training and evaluation within system-oriented contexts. The Alternative Unknowns method requires a series of constants: a group of simulation enactors, a constructed simulation environment, a simulation script, a set of curated props, and a group of designed artifacts or experiences which may alter the outcome of the simulation, depending on how they’re incorporated into the simulation once it begins. Multiple improvisational simulations are conducted, (a minimum of four) each starting with the same script, but revealing different unknown outcomes based on the incorporation of the designed artifacts.

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Extrapolation Factory

Testing Hypotheticals

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Extrapolation Factory

Metro Test Zones

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Extrapolation Factory

What if Columbus

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9/1

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Futures Tools

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WEAK SIGNAL

AN EVENT OR DISRUPTION THAT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SCALE OR DEVELOP IN THE FUTURE

https://www.sitra.fi/en/articles/what-is-a-weak-signal/

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STEEP MODEL

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FUTURES WHEEL

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DATOR’S FOUR ARCS

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THREE HORIZONS

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DELPHI METHOD

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SCENARIO PLANNING MATRIX

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absent - present

abundant - scarce

accent - decline

accurate - inaccurate

alive - dead

allies - enemies

ancient - modern

apart - together

appear - disappear

artificial - natural

attractive - repulsive

awake - asleep

below - above

bent - straight

build - destroy

bound - free

bright - dim

broad - narrow

calm - troubled

cheap - expensive

cheerful - dreary

clever - stupid

close - distant

cold - hot

combined - separate

comfort - discomfort

compulsory - voluntary

deep - shallow

definite - indefinite

diseased - healthy

dry - wet

empty - full

exporter - importer

famous - unknown

feeble - strong

few - many

first - last

forget - remember

fresh - stale

gentle - rough

grow - shrink

guest - host

hard - soft

horizontal - vertical

humble - proud

immense - tiny

include - exclude

inferior - superior

justice - injustice

knowledge - ignorance

known - unknown

leader - follower

lenient - strict

melt - freeze

minority - majority

miser - spendthrift

noisy - quiet

obedient - disobedient

old - young

peace - war

permanent - temporary

plentiful - scarce

plural - singular

poverty - wealth

powerful - weak

private - public

rapid - slow

secure - insecure

sink - float

transparent - opaque

vacant - occupied

virtue - vice

visible - invisible

wax - wane

within - outside

yin - yang

young - old

zip - unzip

zenith - nadi

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Design Sprint

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SIGNAL

A SIGNAL IS TYPICALLY A SMALL OR LOCAL INNOVATION OR DISRUPTION THAT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GROW IN SCALE AND GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION. A SIGNAL CAN BE A NEW PRODUCT, A NEW PRACTICE, A NEW MARKET STRATEGY, A NEW POLICY, OR NEW TECHNOLOGY. IT CAN BE AN EVENT, A LOCAL TREND, OR AN ORGANIZATION. IT CAN ALSO BE A RECENTLY REVEALED PROBLEM OR STATE OF AFFAIRS. IN SHORT, IT IS SOMETHING THAT CATCHES OUR ATTENTION AT ONE SCALE AND IN ONE LOCALE AND POINTS TO LARGER IMPLICATIONS FOR OTHER LOCALES OR EVEN GLOBALLY.

Institute for the Future - http://www.iftf.org/what-we-do/foresight-tools/signals/

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ASSIGNMENT

Identify and categorize 5 signals and add them to the Signals database:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mDOxTeJEZ49NPhpZzMGn3HxZdYi_qjw4z2ZKxl_iErM/edit?usp=sharing

Feel free to use either the futures wheel or the polarities matrix to build out a scenario from one of the signals that you selected. You can edit the PDF in Photoshop or Illustrator.

Here is a template to help you get started:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1oFt91GoLN0UqkmSQzEssY5FMO8G3x-wV/view?usp=sharing

Illustrate a scene from an aspect of that world and visualize it with a photoshopped collage of found images.

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9/3

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COMMON THINK TANK APPROACH

EXPERTS

POLICY MAKERS

STRATEGY

PUBLIC

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ALTERNATIVE THINK TANK APPROACHES

POLICY MAKERS

VISION

PUBLIC

EXPERT

VISION

PUBLIC

VISION

PUBLIC

POLICY MAKERS

STRATEGY

VISION

PUBLIC

STRATEGY

PUBLIC

+ POLICY MAKERS

INDUSTRY

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Future Agents and Think Tanks (© Marc K Peter / FutureScreening.com™)

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FUTURES WHEEL

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SCENARIO PLANNING MATRIX

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procreative - celibate Independent - interdependent Nomadic - static

consensus - individualistic hightech - lowtech

work - leisure

structured - unstructured Withdrawn - entangled camaraderie - solitude

Rural - Urban

artificial - natural

attractive - repulsive

awake - asleep

below - above

bent - straight

build - destroy

bound - free

bright - dim

broad - narrow

calm - troubled

cheerful - dreary

clever - stupid

close - distant

cold - hot

combined - separate

comfort - discomfort

compulsory - voluntary

deep - shallow

definite - indefinite

diseased - healthy

dry - wet

empty - full

exporter - importer

famous - unknown

feeble - strong

few - many

first - last

forget - remember

fresh - stale

gentle - rough

grow - shrink

guest - host

hard - soft

horizontal - vertical

humble - proud

immense - tiny

include - exclude

inferior - superior

justice - injustice

knowledge - ignorance

known - unknown

leader - follower

lenient - strict

melt - freeze

minority - majority

miser - spendthrift

noisy - quiet

obedient - disobedient

old - young

peace - war

permanent - temporary

plentiful - scarce

plural - singular

poverty - wealth

powerful - weak

private - public

rapid - slow

secure - insecure

sink - float

transparent - opaque

vacant - occupied

virtue - vice

visible - invisible

wax - wane

within - outside

yin - yang

young - old

zip - unzip

zenith - nadi

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SCENARIO PLANNING MATRIX EXAMPLE

https://dantaeyoung.github.io/twobytwo/

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9/8

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Participatory Futures and Different Futures

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SCENARIO PLANNING MATRIX

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Special Programs Think Tank, Chris Woebken & Elliott Montgomery

Summerschool EKA, Tallinn, 2019

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FUTURES WHEEL

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Draft conception of a city program engaging with climate challenges

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Designing a series of PSA announcements to be placed in-situ.

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Food Futures Dalton School, 9th grade

Chris Woebken & Elliott Montgomery, 2017

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Food Futures Dalton School, 9th grade

Chris Woebken & Elliott Montgomery, 2017

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Tactical Media Strategies

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Wodiczko Homeless Vehicles

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Wodiczko - Homeless Vehicles

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Wodiczko Homeless Vehicle

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Cloud Machine - Karolina Sobecka

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Thinking like a Cloud - Karolina Sobecka

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