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Investigating Emissions Fraud in Bulgaria

Caroline Henshaw �Environment Editor, OCCRP

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What is OCCRP?

• OCCRP is a global network of investigative journalists dedicated to exposing organized crime and corruption

• We work with Transparency International under the Global Anti-Corruption Consortium (GACC) to ensure our work has impact

• Our investigations have led to more than $10 billion of assets being seized and over 650 arrests

• Our environmental work covers everything from wildlife trafficking and illegal mining to biofuels fraud and corruption in sustainable investments

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The Investigation

• By Eleonora Vio and Daniela Sala, with help from Demetra Andonova and Dimitar Stoyanov

• Exposed how two Bulgarian power plants defrauded the EU’s Emissions Trading System (ETS)

• The ETS is the world’s largest carbon trading market — this story showed how easily it can be fooled

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CREDIT: Daniela Sala

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The Analysis

• Power plants calculate how much CO2 they produce each year using an “emissions factor,” reflecting how carbon-intensive the fuel they burn is

• Bobov Dol burned sub-bituminous coal (96.1) and lignite (104.2) but reported an emissions factor under 80

• Brikel burned only lignite, but reported emissions factors far below 104.2 for all three years

• Reporters used the annual average EU carbon price to estimate how much the power plants saved

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The Findings

• Focused on two power plants: Bobov Dol and Brikel

• Both are controlled by notorious Bulgarian energy magnate Hristo Kovachki

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• Analysed public annual emissions data reported under the ETS between 2018 and 2020

• This saved them between €26.6M and €32.2M in taxes

• The company that certified the data was run by a 27-year-old with no career history

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The Enabler

• Just before starting to under-report emissions, Bobov Dol and Brikel hired GMI Verify

• So did at least 10 other plants Kovachki is thought to own

• Public UBO data showed GMI Verify was established in 2018 by a 27-year-old. OSINT showed she had no job history

• GMI Verify was located in the same building as one of Kovachki’s insurance companies

• Ironically, confirming the most widely known part of the story — that Kovachki controls the plants — was the hardest part

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Impact

and Future Stories

• In March, Bulgarian police raided dozens of properties over an investigation into a fraudulent emissions certifier

• The EPPO said the company is suspected of verifying fraudulent data from power plants, saving them millions of euros

• Story is on our website and also the topic of the latest podcast by Europe Climate Brief

• I’d love to hear from anyone who wants to replicate this!

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Impact

and Future Stories

• in xxx, the EPPO launched an investigation

Raided xxx

Tried to duplicate this elsewghre but couldn’t find comparable data

I’d love to hear from anyone who can replicate this!

CREDIT: Daniela Sala