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Strength of Schedule, Attendance, & Draft Picks

Francesco Augello, David Pohle, Brett Stanshine, Charles Corrao, Laygech Tang

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Question

Is there a relationship between the strength of schedule of NFL teams and their winning percentage?

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Elements of the Data

Elements Analyzed

  • Win Percentage
  • 2015-2016 Strength of Schedule
  • Attendance
  • Highest Draft Pick
  • Game Weather

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Strength of Schedule vs Win Percentage

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New Data Collected

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More New Data

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Analysis

  • 30 NFL teams analyzed
  • Los Angeles Rams and Minnesota Vikings excluded due to changing stadiums.
  • 60% retain or improve their attendance with a tougher strength of schedule
  • will have a lower first selection in the following year’s draft.

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Conclusion

Strength of schedule is a better indicator of a team’s fan attendance and their next year’s draft pick than their win-loss percentage

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References

"2015 NFL Attendance Data." Pro-Football-Reference.com. N.p., n.d. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.

"2015 NFL Strength of Schedule." ESPN. ESPN Internet Ventures, 30 Mar. 2015. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.

"2016 NFL Draft." NFL.com. N.p., n.d. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.

"2016 NFL Draft Order." NFL.com. National Football League, n.d. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.

Breech, John. "2016 NFL Strength of Schedule: 49ers, Falcons at No. 1, Packers at No. 32."

CBSSports.com. N.p., 18 Feb. 2016. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.

"NFL Attendance - 2015." ESPN. ESPN Internet Ventures, n.d. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.

"NFL Attendance - 2016." ESPN. ESPN Internet Ventures, n.d. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.

"NFLWeatherTM Team Forecast." NFLWeather.com. N.p., n.d. Web. 17 Apr. 2017.