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Launch of the Climate Reporting Guide for South Africa:

Fossil Free SA, 16 September 2022

‘Half of humanity is in the danger zone, from floods, droughts, extreme storms and wildfires. No nation is immune. Yet we continue to feed our fossil fuel addiction. We have a choice. Collective action or collective suicide. It is in our hands.’

– UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, 18 July 2018

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Brief intro to Fossil Free SA

  • Campaign for fossil fuel divestment
  • Our nine-year campaign persuaded UCT to commit to divestment in March 2022
  • #InvestFossilFree campaign asking SA asset managers to offer fossil fuel free funds to clients
  • Clean Creatives SA: Asking ad & PR people to pledge not to work for fossil fuel companies
  • Climate Reporting Guide

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Call us out if necessary

To save time, we’re not presenting detailed references, sources and substantiations of broad arguments today, most are in the Guide.

We can substantiate everything we’re saying, so feel free to request specific references, sources and arguments.

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The Guardian, 8 September 2022

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“five dangerous tipping points may already have been passed due to the 1.1C of global heating caused by humanity to date.”

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“These include

  • the collapse of Greenland’s ice cap, eventually producing a huge sea level rise,
  • the collapse of a key current in the north Atlantic, disrupting rain upon which billions of people depend for food,
  • and an abrupt melting of carbon-rich permafrost.”

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2003 Met Office projections

Actual observed temperatures

Source: UK Met Office (equiv. to our South African Weather Bureau)

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2003 Met Office projections

Actual observed temperatures

Source: UK Met Office (equiv. to our South African Weather Bureau)

A very fast-growing crisis

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‘Much of South Africa is warming at twice the global average, and is on track to warm by 5-6C in this century.’ – Climate Reporting Guide for SA

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2060

2040

2080

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Governments aren’t acting fast enough to arrest the climate crisis. Why not?

  • Democratic disconnect: Major economies such as US, UK, SA are all ‘flawed’ or close to flawed democracies.
  • Ignorance of modern reality of uneconomic growth
  • Policymakers ignorant on climate change, cannot imagine world without fossil fuels: stuck in ‘the fossil fuel development paradigm’
  • Lack of appreciation for the alternatives.
  • Corruption and denial funded by fossil fuel companies.
  • In SA, wide-spread public ignorance of nature and extent of climate crisis
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There’s a gulf between global elite and SA public understanding of the climate threat

Only 20% of South Africans understand climate crisis is caused by human actions.

44% of South Africans are de facto climate change denialists:

• 16% believe that climate change is not happening

• 28% believe that it is a completely natural phenomenon.

Respondents overwhelmingly rank ‘Climate Action Failure’ as the leading risk facing the world over 2–10 year time horizon.

Global elite:

(WEF Global Risks Report 2021)

South African public:

(HSRC 2021 SA Social Attitudes Survey)

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Governments aren’t acting fast enough to arrest the climate crisis. Why not?

‘We seem trapped in a world where fossil fuel producers and financiers have humanity by the throat. For decades, the fossil fuel industry has invested heavily in pseudoscience and public relations – with a false narrative to minimise their responsibility for climate change and undermine ambitious climate policies… Nothing could be more clear or present than the danger of fossil fuel expansion. Even in the short-term, fossil fuels don’t make political or economic sense.’

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– UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres

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Climate myths & assumptions that dilute urgency

Myths and assumptions

Reality

Protecting the environment is an expensive luxury

The environment is the real foundation of the economy, the only home for our global society

Climate change will be slow, predictable: we still have time to to fix it.

Climate breakdown is disorderly, accelerating nearly out of control; we need very urgent and dramatic emissions cuts of 50% by 2030.

Net zero by 2050 will be enough.

‘There is no more carbon budget left to burn.’ – Climate Change Advisory Group

Our people are poor and need jobs from the fossil fuel industry

Our extractive economic model of digging stuff out of the ground to enrich executives and shareholders destroys lives and jobs around the world via climate damage, causes air and water pollution, land degradation, corruption, warfare, unstable energy costs on multiple generations around the world. This model will probably not now magically eliminate poverty and inequality in South Africa.

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Climate myths & assumptions that dilute urgency

Myths and assumptions

Reality

‘modern science will solve our environmental problems’ (believed by 47% of South Africans)

Most governments are not responding nearly fast enough and many technological solutions are speculative/theoretical.

Developing countries can act later

Developing countries cannot afford to wait and get no advantage from delay

Fossil fuels can still help bootstrap economic development.

The full social and environmental costs of fossil fuels now far, far outstrip the financial returns from fossil fuels.

There is still no real alternative to fossil fuels.

The energy transition is challenging but technically feasible, affordable, and there is no alternative.

Net zero by 2050 will be enough.

‘There is no more carbon budget left to burn’ – Climate Change Advisory Group

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– 16 February 2022

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$1 billion: What the oil giants have spent on climate lobbying and ads since the Paris climate treaty – InfluenceMap

Fossil fuel companies have moved from outright denial to purported public acceptance of climate science – combined with behind-the-scenes lobbying to fight climate regulation and using Net Zero targets to cloak expanded production.

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  • Table available at http://simp.ly/publish/dtvYfj

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The Climate Reporting Guide

  • Written by David Le Page and Jo-Anne Smetherham of Fossil Free SA
  • Combined 40 years of experience as journalists in South Africa
  • Intended to make a constructive and helpful contribution to human rights journalism in South Africa
  • Our agenda: In an era of unprecedented global change, we want the SA media to adapt their habits and practices to catch up with a very fast changing context: potentially catastrophic climate change driven principally by the emissions of greenhouse gases produced by the fossil fuel industry that in the words of the UN, is the greatest ever human rights threat to humanity.

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Chapter 2 of SA Constitution:

Bill of Rights

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  • ‘The media exist to serve society.’
  • ‘The media’s work is guided at all times by the public interest, understood to describe information of legitimate interest or importance to citizens.’
  • ‘1.2 present news in context and in a balanced manner, without any intentional or negligent departure from the facts whether by distortion, exaggeration or misrepresentation, material omissions, or summarisation’

Relevant provisions of the Press Code of Ethics and Conduct for South African Print and Online Media

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Accurate content:

Do stories reflect the facts and qualified expert opinion?

Getting climate journalism right

Appropriate editorial presentation:�Is the story given appropriate space on webpages and in headlines?

Enough content:

Is there enough climate content given its relevance to an audience?

Accurate context:

Is the climate context reported where it’s relevant, eg., in business stories on agriculture and fossil fuels

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What’s next?

– Please send us feedback on this event and the Guide: david@fossilfreesa.org.za / jo@fossilfreesa.org.za

– If you want us to present on these issues and the Guide to colleagues, or students, please get in touch.

– Study the Climate Reporting Guide: https://bit.ly/climate-reporting-guide-SA

– Sign up to our Climate Beat SA newsletter: https://fossilfreesa.substack.com/p/climate-beat-sa

– Watch this space.