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Grab your notebooks & take out your device

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Pop your phones in the holder

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Announcements

Week of January 20th

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Spring AP Registration

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SCL Toy Drive

InPrint Book Drive

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CSF/NHS

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College & Career

Center

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Neon Lights

Go to https://bit.ly/LAHS_Announcements to see the complete list of announcements

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Registration for Spring Semester AP Exams is open.

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Students in AP Micro, AP Gov, and AP Physics C: E&M this semester will have until February 14th to register for their exams (if they have not done so already).

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Only spring semester students will be able to register at this time. Registration for Fall and Year long courses will not be accepted.

Winter Dance “Neon Lights”

ASB will be hosting the Winter Dance on Friday, February 7, 6:30-9:30pm

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Ticket Sales

Early Bird Pricing -until 1/24 $5 w/ASB $10 w/o

Pre-Sale Pricing - 1/25-2/7 $10 w/ASB $15 w/o

At The Door Pricing $20

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Guest Dance Pass is available. Guest Dance tickets available for purchase Monday January 27th - Friday February 7th @ lunch. See guest application for more details.

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CSF deadline is approaching - January 30th. Be sure to attach a dues receipt along with a copy of your report card or SIS/Aeries transcript. Your name and student number must be visible.

NHS applications are due Tuesday, February 4th.

You will need two letters of recommendation.

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See the links in the morning announcement email.

Questions-See Sra Rodriguex.

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Today’s Agenda

  • Warm-Up: Explain Practice
  • ETM Activity
  • “To What Extent” Practice
  • Video: Population Paradox

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Homework: Unit 5 reading notes due…

  • TUESDAY February 11th

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Skill: Explain theories of population growth and decline

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NHS Applications

If you are applying for NHS and you want ME to write your recommendation, then you must EMAIL me by FRIDAY January 31st at 11:00am (aka end of ACT)

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Warm-Up

EXPLAIN one factor that contributes to high population growth rates for countries in stage 2 of the Demographic Transition Model.

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NOT an Explanation

One factor that contributes to high population growth rates is lack of access to contraceptives. Because there is lack of family planning the population grows. This is why the growth increases without contraceptives.

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Circular Argument= an analysis that comes back to its beginning without having proven anything

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You need a REASON/EVIDENCE to support your claim!

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Better!

One factor that contributes to high population growth rates is lack of access to contraceptives. Because individuals cannot afford or are restricted from getting contraception, the total fertility rate stays high. When individuals are unable to prevent pregnancies, the crude birth rate stays high which increases the NIR and total population growth.

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You need to state the factor and then back up that statement with reasoning!

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ETM: Epidemiologic Transition Model

Explains the changing CAUSES of DEATH as a country develops

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Before we start...

Open up the organizer and complete the predictions portion of the doc

  • The ETM is an extension of the DTM so see if you can reason your way through the information

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ETM: Epidemiologic Transition Model

Explains the changing CAUSES of DEATH as a country develops

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Technically...

The ETM is an independent model than the DTM focusing on cause of death patterns--but they do overlap

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Some Key Terms

You know about this very well now...we have been living amidst the COVID-19 pandemic since it was declared such on March 10th by the WHO

Epidemiology

branch of medical science that is concerned with incidents, distribution and control of diseases

Epidemic

widespread occurrence of an infectious disease in a community at a particular time

Pandemic

disease the occurs over a wide geographic area and affects a high proportion of the population

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ETM

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Description

Effects

  1. Famine

Infectious and parasitic diseases cause human death

Death rate is high and life expectancy is low

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ETM Stage 1

  • Populations are beginning to live close together
    • This increases their exposure to human and animal waste
    • Causes a spread of infectious diseases
  • Life expectancies dependent on the environment (i.e. famines)

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ETM

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Description

Effects

  • Famine

Infectious and parasitic diseases cause human death

Death rate is high and life expectancy is low

2. Receding Pandemic Disease

Improved sanitation, nutrition, and medicine lowers speed of infection

Death rate decreases and life expectancy increases

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ETM Stage 2

  • Still have pandemics that affect significant % of population due to urbanization
  • Over the course of Stage 2, pandemics recede due to improved diets, drains, & drugs

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ETM Stage 2

  • Still have pandemics that affect significant % of population due to urbanization
  • Over the course of Stage 2, pandemics recede due to improved diets, drains, & drugs

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ETM

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Description

Effects

  • Famine

Infectious and parasitic diseases cause human death

Death rate is high and life expectancy is low

2. Receding Pandemic Disease

Improved sanitation, nutrition, and medicine lowers speed of infection

Death rate decreases and life expectancy increases

3. Degenerative & Human Created Diseases

Fewer deaths from infectious disease and increase in diseases related to aging (cancer/heart disease)

Death rate is low and life expectancy increases

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ETM Stage 3

  • Main causes are due to chronic disorders associated with aging
  • Includes chronic disorders like:
    • Heart disease
    • Cancer
    • Type II Diabetes

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ETM Stage 3

  • Main causes are due to chronic disorders associated with aging
  • Includes chronic disorders like:
    • Heart disease
    • Cancer
    • Type II Diabetes

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Over ½ of ALL humans have has died from malaria but now only 1.1%

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ETM

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Description

Effects

  • Famine

Infectious and parasitic diseases cause human death

Death rate is high and life expectancy is low

2. Receding Pandemic Disease

Improved sanitation, nutrition, and medicine lowers speed of infection

Death rate decreases and life expectancy increases

3. Degenerative & Human Created Diseases

Fewer deaths from infectious disease and increase in diseases related to aging (cancer/heart disease)

Death rate is low and life expectancy increases

4. Delayed Degenerative Diseases

Medical advances reduce or delay incidences of diseases related to aging

Life expectancy is at its highest

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ETM Stage 4

  • Due to improvements in medicine those with chronic diseases can live longer
    • Pacemakers used for heart disease
    • Chemotherapy/surgeries used for cancers
    • Insulin for type II diabetes

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ETM Stage 4

  • Due to improvements in medicine those with chronic diseases can live longer
    • Pacemakers used for heart disease
    • Chemotherapy/surgeries used for cancers
    • Insulin for type II diabetes

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ETM

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Description

Effects

  • Famine

Infectious and parasitic diseases cause human death

Death rate is high and life expectancy is low

2. Receding Pandemic Disease

Improved sanitation, nutrition, and medicine lowers speed of infection

Death rate decreases and life expectancy increases

3. Degenerative & Human Created Diseases

Fewer deaths from infectious disease and increase in diseases related to aging (cancer/heart disease)

Death rate is low and life expectancy increases

4. Delayed Degenerative Diseases

Medical advances reduce or delay incidences of diseases related to aging

Life expectancy is at its highest

5. Reemergence of Infectious Disease

Infectious and parasitic diseases become resistant to antibiotics

Life expectancy decreases

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ETM Stage 5

  • Death rate increases due to intensified urbanization along with development of antibiotic resistance and novel pathogens
    • Examples:
      • AIDS
      • COVID-19

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ETM Stage 5

  • Death rate drops due to intensified urbanization along with development of antibiotic resistance and novel pathogens
    • Examples:
      • AIDS
      • COVID-19

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Some Drawbacks-the ETM doesn’t necessarily take into consideration...

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Rising Obesity Rates

Mobile Populations

Climate Change

Poverty

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Explain TO WHAT EXTENT your desk country at a stage 3 or higher according to the ETM.

  • Select "Edit countries and regions" and select the country that is listed on your DESK!
  • Remember, if you have more communicable disease you are probably at stage 2 but if you have more non-communicable diseases than you are at least a stage 3 or higher
  • REMEMBER TO STATE THE EXTENT

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Answer the questions based on the data in the links

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Video: Population Paradox

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Exit Ticket

What is a difference between the DTM and the ETM?

  • Think about what they show/trace over time

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Reading Notes

You can answer the first ½ of the questions already!

  • Remember, they are due 3 weeks from TODAY

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