Epstein-Barr Virus in MS
Potential Therapeutic Interventions
Gavin Giovannoni�
7th MENACTRIMS CONGRESS, Cairo, 11:40-12:00 Session VII: European Charcot Foundation (ECF) Symposium 12-Nov-2022
Disclosures
Over the last 5 years I have received personal compensation for participating in advisory boards in relation to clinical trial design, trial steering committees, and data and safety monitoring committees from: Abbvie, Atara Bio, Biogen, Canbex, Sanofi-Genzyme, Genentech, GSK, MSD, Merck-Serono, Novartis, Roche, Synthon BV and Teva.
Epstein-Barr Virus in MS�Potential Therapeutic Interventions��7th MENACTRIMS CONGRESS, Cairo, 11:40-12:00 Session VII: European Charcot Foundation (ECF) Symposium 12-Nov-2022
Gavin Giovannoni
#PreventMS
Disclosures
Over the last 5 years I have received personal compensation for participating in advisory boards in relation to clinical trial design, trial steering committees, and data and safety monitoring committees from: Abbvie, Atara Bio, Biogen, Canbex, Sanofi-Genzyme, Genentech, GSK, MSD, Merck-Serono, Novartis, Roche, Synthon BV and Teva.
Background
Genetics
Month�of
Birth
Low�Vitamin D
EBV
Infectious�Mono
High�anti-EBNA1
Obesity
Smoking
Female�sex
MS
EBV vaccine
Genetics
Month�of
Birth
Low�Vitamin D
EBV
Infectious�Mono
High�anti-EBNA1
Obesity
Smoking
Female�sex
MS
STOP
STOP
STOP
Giovannoni et al. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2022 Feb;58:103636.
How does EBV cause MS?
‘ - EBV
Priming of latent autoimmunity
persistent EBV infection
1° EBV infection
direct CNS infection
dual infection model
e.g. HERV transactivation
‘hit-and-run’ hypothesis
Infectious mononucleosis
molecular mimicry
B-cell survival advantage
Multiple Sclerosis
other environmental factors/triggers
‘driver or cog’ hypothesis
At-risk
Asymptomatic MS (RIS)
Prodromal MS
CIS
Multiple Sclerosis
High-risk
EBV Infection
↑Raised neurofilament levels
Disease state - MS pathology
�Inflammation / Demyelination / Neuroaxonal loss / Gliosis�
Intrathecal synthesis of oligoclonal IgG
Dawson’s fingers
Subpial lesions
Slowly expanding lesions
At-risk
Asymptomatic MS (RIS)
Prodromal MS
CIS
Multiple Sclerosis
High-risk
EBV vaccine
MS prevented
Giovannoni et al. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2022 Feb;58:103636.
> 10 yrs
~7yrs
Vaccines
2017 - https://www.slideshare.net/gavingiovannoni/ebv-immunisation-and-ms-prevention-workshop-report-web-edition
Questions: EBV vaccination prevention trial design
EBV vaccine strategies
‘ - EBV
Priming of latent autoimmunity
persistent EBV infection
1° EBV infection
direct CNS infection
dual infection model
e.g. HERV transactivation
‘hit-and-run’ hypothesis
Infectious mononucleosis
molecular mimicry
B-cell survival advantage
Multiple Sclerosis
other environmental factors/triggers
‘driver or cog’ hypothesis
Sterilizing
Vaccine
Non-sterilizing
Vaccine
MBP
MOG
PLP
MAG
MOBP
CNPase
Anoctamin-2
GDP-L-FS
RASGRP2
GlialCAM
FABP7
PROK2
RTN3
SNAP91
𝛂B-crystallin
Septin-9
Transaldolase
S100𝛽
𝛽-synuclein
Epidemiology of EBV infection and IM in the UK
Kuri et al. BMC Public Health. 2020 Jun 12;20(1):912.
Sterilizing
Vaccine
Non-sterilizing
Vaccine
Primary outcome / Indication
Non-benign
Post-viral fatigue
School / University
Military
Mortality (hepatitis / ruptured spleen)
Economic arguments
A vaccine to prevent herpes zoster and�postherpetic neuralgia in older adults
Oxman et al. N Engl J Med. 2005 Jun 2;352(22):2271-84.
At risk
High Risk
RIS
CIS
MS
In utero
childhood
Adolescence / early adulthood
adulthood
High risk
Low risk
Does a risk score provide a good enough estimate of MS risk?
| Area under curve (95% CI) |
Risk score including genetic contribution from HLA-DRB15*1501 only | 0.77 (0.70 – 0.84) |
Risk score including genetic contribution from all MS risk alleles | 0.80 (0.74 – 0.87) |
Risk score including genetic contribution from HLA-DRB1*1501 only; excluding serum 25-OHvD level | 0.80 (0.73 – 0.87) |
Risk score including genetic contribution from all MS risk alleles; excluding serum 25-OHvD level | 0.82 (0.75 – 0.88) |
Dobson et al. PLoS One. 2016 Nov 1;11(11):e0164992.
High risk
+ve family history – 1° & 2° relatives
Prevalence: 150/100,000 (1 in 500-1,000)
Incidence: 7.5/100,000 (6-9/100,000)
Sex ratio: females:male: 3:1
Relative risk: x7.5 (1° & 2° relatives)
Prevalence in at risk: 1125/100,000
Age: 16-36 → ~70% = 788 incident cases/100,000
~39.4 incident case/100,000/yr
~4 incident case/10,000/yr
�Sample size: 90% power,⬇3-fold n ≅ 21,000 per group#
2-years
≥5-years
Power calculations
(not for EBV vaccination study)
#Gary Cutter, unpublished
Online webportal Prevent-MS
1st, 2nd and 3rd degree relatives
Consent
Questionnaire (risk profiling)
Population
Controls
Buccal swab & blood spot
Annual bloodspot
EBV-ve
EBV serology
Annual follow-up
MS, etc.
Outcomes
Objectives:
Yes
Yes
No
No
>10,000,000
Cases vs. Controls
Unvaccinated
Vaccinated - EBV-ve
Vaccinated - EBV+ve
Annual end-of-winter blood spots
Biobank
Follow-up x 10 years
Annual database checks / online questionnaires
Events*
Confirmation
Inclusion/Exclusion
National Register / EPR
Public engagement
PR / Media
Social Media
*IM, … // MS, SLE, Sjogren’s, PBC, …. // HD, lymphoma, ….
All comers multiple nested case-control study post EBV vaccine licensing
>10,000,000
Cases vs. Controls
Unvaccinated
Vaccinated - EBV-ve
Vaccinated - EBV+ve
Annual end-of-winter blood spots
Biobank
Follow-up x 10 years
Annual database checks / online questionnaires
Events*
Confirmation
Inclusion/Exclusion
National Register / EPR
Public engagement
All comers multiple nested case-control study post EBV vaccine licensing
PR / Media
Social Media
*IM, … // MS, SLE, Sjogren’s, PBC, …. // HD, lymphoma, ….
Power calculation (Gary Cutter, unpublished)
Assuming an MS incidence ~ 7.5 per 100,000.
Aim: To reduced incidence down to 2.5 per 100,000, a ratio of 3 to 1 in the control to active groups.
80% power, n ~ 210,000 EBV-ve
90% power, n ~ 300,000 EBV-ve
80% seropositivity at age 12-13 ~1 to 1.5 million ➡ International efforts
>10,000,000
Cases vs. Controls
Unvaccinated
Vaccinated - EBV-ve
Vaccinated - EBV+ve
Annual end-of-winter blood spots
Biobank
Follow-up x 10 years
Annual database checks / online questionnaires
Events*
Confirmation
Inclusion/Exclusion
National Register / EPR
Public engagement
PR / Media
Social Media
*IM, … // MS, SLE, Sjogren’s, PBC, …. // HD, lymphoma, ….
All comers multiple nested case-control study post EBV vaccine licensing
Dysregulated EBV infection in the MS brain
Serafini et al. J Exp Med. 2007 Nov 26;204(12):2899-912.
https://www.atarabio.com/
https://tevogen.com/
EBV therapeutic vaccines
https://www.modernatx.com/research/product-pipeline
Sanofi, ….
Escalante et al. Front Immunol. 2022 Apr 14;13:867918.
Antivirals
EBV antivirals
‘ - EBV
Priming of latent autoimmunity
persistent EBV infection
1° EBV infection
direct CNS infection
dual infection model
e.g. HERV transactivation
‘hit-and-run’ hypothesis
Infectious mononucleosis
molecular mimicry
B-cell survival advantage
Multiple Sclerosis
other environmental factors/triggers
‘driver or cog’ hypothesis
Memory B Cells are Major Targets for Effective Immunotherapy in MS
Baker et al. EBioMedicine. 2017 Feb;16:41-50.
Memory B Cells are Major Targets for Effective Immunotherapy in MS
Baker et al. EBioMedicine. 2017 Feb;16:41-50.
N Engl J Med 2008;358:676-88.
Please note rituximab is the only licensed anti-EBV drug!
REBOUND ACTIVITY AFTER NATALIZUMAB/FINGOLIMOD WITHDRAWAL
Rigau et al. Neurology 2012;79:2214-6.
Alroughani et al. BMJ Case Rep. 2014 Oct 15;2014. pii: bcr2014206314.
Rituximab vs. Fingolimod after Natalizumab
Alping et al. Ann Neurol. 2016 Jun;79(6):950-8.
Massive intracerebral Epstein-Barr virus reactivation in lethal multiple sclerosis relapse after natalizumab withdrawal.
Serafini et al. J Neuroimmunol. 2017 Jun 15;307:14-17.
Highly-active RRMS, severe neurologic impairment (EDSS 7)
Treated with natalizumab - EDSS 4.5
Due to severe depression, stopped Nz after 37 infusions.
3½ months later rapid disease worsening
Brain MRI showed >50 T2-lesions, mostly Gd-enhancing
JCV-PCR -ve in CSF
Rapidly worsened, died d17
PM active MS rebound
JCV-PCR -ve in brain
Saha & Robertson. DOI: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-10-2578 Published May 2011
EBV & B-cell biology
Charcot Project: viral aetiology
HIV and lower risk of MS: beginning to unravel a mystery using a record-linked database study
Nexø et al. Epidemiology 2013; 24:331-2
Treatment of HIV and Risk of Multiple Sclerosis
Gold et al. JNNP August 4, 2014 as 10.1136/jnnp-2014-307932.
Raltegravir → RRMS (INSPIRE STUDY)
ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT01767701
Questions: EBV antiviral trial design
Does agent X have an impact on lytic EBV infection (Agent-X-EBV Saliva study)?
MS on natalizumab
> 12 months
No antiviral therapies
Consent
Natalizumab + Agent X
12-week open-label add-on treatment phase
Primary outcome: Salivary EBV shedding
Secondary outcomes: Exploratory blood biomarkers of EBV infection
Control phase
Barts-MS, version 1.0, 30-June-2022
Power n = 30 subjects
W0
W8
W12
W16
W24
W4
W20
Natalizumab - no treatment
12-week
Active treatment phase
Weekly saliva samples
4-weekly blood samples
No objections to this study design, except some biological queries about whether or not salivary shedding of EBV is relevant to MS.
Does agent X have an impact on MS (Agent-X-EBV MS study)?
16-week blinded phase
Agent X
Placebo
MS on natalizumab
> 12 months�All-comers
Informed consent
Randomised
Restart natalizumab in combination with Agent X
32-week open-label phase
Primary outcome: Safety
Secondary outcomes: MRI - Gd-enhancing and new T2 lesions W8, 12 and 16
Plasma neurofilament levels (AUC - W4-W16)
Blinded phase
Unblinded open-label phase
Barts-MS, version 1.0, 30-June-2022
Power exploratory n = 30 / arm
W0
W8
W12
W16
W24
W48
W4
W36
Lumbar puncture & CSF
Rescue arm
restart natalizumab
Conclusions
Recommendations
Acknowledgements
QMUL:
Ute Meier
Monica Marta
Sreeram Ramagopalan
Ruth Dobson
Jo Topping
Georgina Burrow
Cosimo Maggiore
Hadi Amir-Maghzi
Chris Hawkes
Klaus Schmierer
David Baker
Jack Cuzick
Nick Wald
David Holden
Oxford:
George Ebers
Sreeram Ramagopalan
Adam Handel
Giulio DeSanto
Epidemiology, Oxford:
Raph Goldacre
Michael Goldacre
David Yeates�
The Albion Centre, Sydney:
Julian Gold
Hubert Maruszak�
UCL:
Robin Weiss
Rachel Farrell
Jeremy Garson
VU Amsterdam:
Jaap Middeldorp
Sandra Amor
Edinburgh:
Dorothy Crawford
Karen McCauley
Aarhus University:
Tove Christiansen
www.ms-res.org / www.clinicspeak.com / www.msbrainhealth.org / @GavinGiovannoni / www.slideshare.net/gavingiovannoni / www.medium.com/@gavin_24211
Thank You!
#PreventMS
Questions