1 of 30

Sea-ice mass balance in the Arctic in a new ice—ocean coupled model: impact of sea ice deformations

Guillaume Boutin1, Einar Ólason1, Pierre Rampal2,1, Heather Regan1, Camille Lique3, Claude Talandier3, Laurent Brodeau2, Robert Ricker4

IICWG 22/03/2023

1. Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, Norway

2.    CNRS, Univ. Grenoble, Institut de Géophysique de l'Environnement, Grenoble, France

3.    Univ. Brest, CNRS, IRD, Ifremer, Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale (LOPS), Brest, France

4.    NORCE, Tromsø, Norway

2 of 30

2

Introduction

  • Sea ice is at the interface between the ocean and the atmosphere

  • Sea ice cover is highly heterogeneous → leads, openings through which a large part of air-sea exchange takes place → needs to be quantified!

Breakup event in the Beaufort Sea (Feb. 2013)

3 of 30

3

Introduction

  • Sea ice is at the interface between the ocean and the atmosphere

  • Sea ice cover is highly heterogeneous → leads, openings through which a large part of air-sea exchange takes place → needs to be quantified!

  • For instance, leads likely contribute significantly to winter ice production→ How much?

Schematic by J. Rheinlænder

4 of 30

4

To quantify this impact, we need to reproduce this heterogeneity in our models

Breakup event in the Beaufort Sea (Feb. 2013)

  • Sea ice is at the interface between the ocean and the atmosphere

  • Sea ice cover is highly heterogeneous → leads, openings through which a large part of air-sea exchange takes place → needs to be quantified!

  • For instance, leads likely contribute significantly to winter ice production→ How much?

Introduction

5 of 30

5

State-of-the-art sea ice models struggle to reproduce this heterogeneity

For resolution> 5km, modelled sea ice properties are very homogeneous

Sea ice model: neXtSIM

Ocean model: OPA (NEMO)

Simulations start in 1995 and stop end of 2018.

Horizontal resolution is 0.25deg (12km in the Arctic)

Landfast ice → Lemieux et al. 2015.

Plotting tools: Laurent Brodeau

CRACKS

Using a sea ice model with a brittle rheology

Solution:

Problem:

Introduction

6 of 30

6

Can we get a good Arctic sea ice mass balance using a brittle rheology?

If yes, what is the impact of small-scale dynamics on this mass balance?

Changing rheology impacts:

- Large-scale motions (transport)

  • Deformations (leads, ridges)
  • Thermodynamics (indirectly)

→ First order importance in the mass balance

Introduction

7 of 30

7

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Shear rate on April 16th, 2007. (1/day)

The model compares very well against sea ice deformations from RGPS

This was the original objective of neXtSIM developers.

Can we do more than that?

Sea ice deformations

8 of 30

8

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Sea ice volume evolution consistent with CS2SMOS, small negative bias against PIOMAS (not observations!) before 2008

Sea ice volume

9 of 30

9

Sea ice evaluation in the model

OBS.

Winter sea ice thickness 2011-2017 climatology

MODEL

Ex: Sea ice thickness vs CS2SMOS

Spatial distribution is consistent ,

thickness magnitude is well captured!

[m]

[m]

10 of 30

10

Daily Pan-Arctic sea ice drift speed from MODEL and OSI-SAF (OBS) over 2018

Good consistency with observations

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Ex: Sea ice drift speed

11 of 30

11

Coverage:

  • 2003--2019
  • November to March
  • Regions 1🡪6

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Winter mass balance:

Ricker et al., 2021

Total volume change = Dynamic change + Thermodynamic change

12 of 30

12

Coverage:

  • 2003--2019
  • November to March
  • Regions 16

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Winter mass balance:

Ricker et al., 2021

Total volume change = Dynamic change + Thermodynamic change

CS2/Envisat

(ESA CCI)

CS2/Envisat

+ monthly motions from merged radiometers & scatterometers (from CERSAT)

13 of 30

13

Ricker et al., 2021

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Winter mass balance: dynamic change (import/export)

Coverage:

  • 2003--2019
  • November to March
  • Regions 16

14 of 30

14

Ricker et al., 2021

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Winter mass balance: dynamic change (import/export)

Coverage:

  • 2003--2019
  • November to March
  • Regions 16

Variability is (generally) well captured!

15 of 30

15

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Winter mass balance: thermodynamic change

Ricker et al., 2021

Coverage:

  • 2003--2019
  • November to March
  • Regions 1→6

16 of 30

16

Sea ice evaluation in the model

Winter mass balance: thermodynamic change

Ricker et al., 2021

Coverage:

  • 2003--2019
  • November to March
  • Regions 1→6

The model does well for thermodynamics, and very well for dynamics!

17 of 30

17

Impact of leads on winter ice production

Domain includes:

- Latitudes>81oN

- Depth > 300m

Ice formation in open water

(lateral growth)

November 2007 to March 2008

18 of 30

18

2000-2018 climatology of the ratio of winter new thin ice production in open water to total ice production

Methodology:

  • Model can distinguish different type of ice growth (frazil, basal…)

  • In winter (January 🡪March): domain ice is ~100% ice covered; frazil growth is only possible if divergence occurs

Domain includes:

- Depth > 300m

- Latitudes>81oN in the Atlantic sector

Impact of leads on winter ice production

19 of 30

19

2000-2018 climatology of the ratio of winter new thin ice production in open water to total ice production

Methodology:

  • Model can distinguish different type of ice growth (frazil, basal…)

  • In winter (January 🡪March): domain ice is ~100% ice covered; frazil growth is only possible if divergence occurs

Impact of leads is clearly visible in 18-year long climatology of winter ice production

Domain includes:

- Depth > 300m

- Latitudes>81oN in the Atlantic sector

Impact of leads on winter ice production

20 of 30

20

Evolution of contribution of leads to total ice growth in winter (January to March)

20 to 30% of ice production takes place in leads! (and it’s going up)

We integrate in the Arctic Basin:

Selected domain:

Impact of leads on winter ice production

21 of 30

21

Impact of leads on winter ice production

Contribution of leads & polynyas

to total winter ice growth [-]

No shelf (<300m)

Where does it matter the most?

22 of 30

22

Impact of leads on winter ice production

Where does it matter the most?

Contribution of leads & polynyas

to total winter ice growth [-]

North of Fram Strait:

Break-up as sea ice flows out of the Arctic Basin

Beaufort Sea

→ Strong intermittent break-up events

(see 2013 event, Rheinlænder et al., 2022)

No shelf (<300m)

23 of 30

23

Impact of leads on winter ice production

Where does it matter the most?

Contribution of leads & polynyas

to total winter ice growth [-]

Deep + shelf

No shelf

24 of 30

24

Impact of leads on winter ice production

Where does it matter the most?

Contribution of leads & polynyas

to total winter ice growth [-]

Deep + shelf

No shelf

25 of 30

25

Impact of leads on winter ice production

Where does it matter the most?

Contribution of leads & polynyas

to total winter ice growth [-]

Deep + shelf

Very important at the coast→ Role of coastal polynyas!

No shelf

26 of 30

26

Impact of leads on winter ice production

Where is it increasing?

Contribution of leads & polynyas

to total winter ice growth [-]

Leads: increases everywhere, only significant in the Chukchi Sea

No shelf (<300m)

27 of 30

27

Impact of leads & polynyas on winter ice production

Where is it increasing?

Contribution of leads & polynyas

to total winter ice growth [-]

Leads & polynyas: In the Arctic marginal Seas, mostly in the western part of the Arctic.

Mostly on the shelf!

→ Importance of coastal polynyas (and landfast ice)

No shelf

Deep + shelf

28 of 30

28

  • Our estimates (~30%) are consistent with previous estimates (Kwok, 2006 ; von Albedyll et al. 2022)

  • No trend in total ice production, no trend in wind, but ice is thinning and drifting faster (consistent with observations).

  • More deformations, hence more leads? Wider leads? Longer lifetime?

  • How does it impact the ocean underneath?

There is more to explore!

Impact of leads on winter ice production

29 of 30

29

Conclusion

Can we get a good Arctic sea ice mass balance using a brittle rheology?

If yes, what is the impact of small-scale dynamics on this mass balance?

Yes, we can (and we do).

From January to March, ~30% sea ice production takes place in leads.

This contribution is increasing (whereas total ice production is not)

30 of 30

30

  • We analyze 18 years of simulation from a coupled ocean—sea-ice model using a brittle rheology

  • The model shows sea ice deformations and a mass balance consistent with observations

  • We find that ice production in leads represent ~30% of ice production in winter

Interested in our work?

G.Boutin et al.: Modelling of wave-ice interactions: impact on ice dynamics

The end

Beaufort Breakup event:

Rheinlænder, J. W., Davy, R., Ólason, E., Rampal, P., Spensberger, C., Williams, T. D., et al. (2022). Driving mechanisms of an extreme winter sea ice breakup event in the Beaufort Sea. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL099024. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099024

This work:

Boutin, G., Ólason, E., Rampal, P., Regan, H., Lique, C., Talandier, C., Brodeau, L., and Ricker, R.: Arctic sea ice mass balance in a new coupled ice–ocean model using a brittle rheology framework, The Cryosphere, 17, 617–638, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-617-2023, 2023.

Publications: