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PROBABILITY

CLASS X

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Generally in our daily life we have 3 types of situations

  1. Certainly happen

2. Impossible

3. Happen but not confirm

(may or may not)

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Impossible

Certain

Even Chance

Unlikely

Likely

  1. The sun will rise tomorrow.
  2. You will live to be 500.
  3. You spin a coin and get a head.
  4. You will see a bus on your way home.
  5. You will see an ambulance on your way home.

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Probability is the study of chances, i.e.

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Theory of probability

is

Contribution of Mathematicians

James Bernoulli (1654-1705),

A.de.Moivre(1667-1754)

Pierre simon laplace(1749-1827)

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Terms of probability

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Experiment

Experiment means an operation which can produce some well defined outcomes

Example : Results knowing early before doing experiments in Laboratory

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Random Experiment

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Examples:

  1. Tossing a coin
  2. Throwing a dice
  3. Pick out a card from a well shuffled deck of playing cards
  4. Taking a ball from group of balls
  5. Choosing a number from spinning an arrow

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The outcomes of an experiment are the ways it can happen.

The event is the particular outcome you are looking for.

6

10

2

52

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Sample Space

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Elementary event

If a random experiment is performed, then each outcome is known as elementary event

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Sure Event: Those events whose probability is one.�Example : The probability of getting a white ball from a group of white balls.

Impossible Event: Those events whose probability is zero.

Example :

The probability of getting a number greater than 6, when a die is thrown once, is an impossible event, as the highest number in a die is 6.�

Types of Events

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Favorable event

The cases which ensure the occurrence of an event are called favorable cases to that event

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The Probability of an Event is

P(Event) = Number of trails in which the event happened

Total number of trails

(OR)

P(Event) = Number of outcomes favorable to Event

Number of all possible outcomes

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Complimentary events

The event Ē, representing not E is called compliment of the event E

P(Ē) = 1-P(E)

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Probability of tossing a coin

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Probability of Head = ½

Probability of Tail = ½

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All possible outcomes of Two coins

?

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H H

T T

H T

T H

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Probability (Two heads) = ¼

Probability (Two tails) = ¼

Probability (one tail and one head) =2/4

= 1/2

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3 Coins tossed at a time

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Probability of a die

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A die

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2 Dice thrown at once

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1,1

1,2

1,3

1,4

1,5

1,6

2,1

2,2

2,3

2,4

2,5

2,6

3,1

3,2

3,3

3,4

3,5

3,6

4,1

4,2

4,3

4,4

4,5

4,6

5,1

5,2

5,3

5,4

5,5

5,6

6,1

6,2

6,3

6,4

6,5

6,6

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Probability (same number) = 6/36

Probability (Sum is 8) = 5/36

Probability (product is 100) = 0/36

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Probability of playing cards

Heart

Diamond

Spade

Club

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52 Playing Cards in a pack

4 Suits (Clubs, Spades, Diamonds and Hearts)

13 cards in each suit (A,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,J,K,Q)

A regular dice has the numbers 1,2,3,4,5&6

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FACE CARDS

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Total face cards = 12

Black face cards = 6

Red face cards = 6

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P(Face cards) = 12/52

P(Black/Red face cards) = 6/52

P(Jack/King/Queen) = 4/52

P(Diamond/heart/spade/club) = 13/52

P(Black/Red cards) = 26/52

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B

A

B

A

A

B

1

4

1

2

3

5

2

5

1

4

Try these…

a)

b)

P(red)

P(blue)

P(yellow or blue)

1

5

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Answer is

Any number less than 1 or greater than 6.

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Answer is

White, because there are more white marbles than any other colour.

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Write whether each event is certain, likely, unlikely, or impossible.���1. The probability of tossing a 7on a standard six-sided die.� 2. A glass jar contains 13 red marbles. Describe the probability of picking a red marble.� 3. A glass jar contains 30 marbles. The jar has purple and red marbles. There are 4 red marbles.� a)Find the probability of picking a purple marble.�b) Find the probability of picking a red marble.

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Extension Activity

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Extension Activity

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Prepared By

M.Sreenivasa Rao

TGT(MATHS)

JNV Banavasi, Kurnool(Dt.) A.P