�������������Opioid and Substance Abuse analytics� �
AI/ML Based –Drug Prescription Fraud, Waste, Abuse application Development for Inspector General of Police-
Michigan Department of Health
Analytics-based high impact solution for early opioid abuse surveillance, intervention and outreach for Government, This application will Target Patients who are receiving Healthcare Benefits from Department of Health and Opioid prescribing Doctors who are claiming rebates and government subsidiary
Solution Scope --
Use Cases under consideration for Opioid Analytics
Influencing Factors
Use Case Description: | Identify opioid population based on the claim & enrollment attributes for risk stratification & prioritize engagement. |
User: | Government- Inspector General of Police office Dashboards |
Department: |
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Pain Statement: | Due to complex nature of the data & manual processing of insights to take a decision, it has become Challenging to identifying & control health influencing factors , These factors in real world have a direct influence on patient’s risk of an opioid incident/addiction |
Objective: | To Identify & control factor the puts the member at risk that could help Government in early identification of high risk member and engage member in Preventive Care |
Solution Outline: | A weighted average based model that considers all attributes in claim & enrollment based on the payer’s goal , Based on the nature of the goal the model adjusts the weightage to identify and qualifies the population , which are considered for risk stratification & population segregation in subsequent steps |
UC1: Analytics Solution
Are there any common patterns exhibited by patients who are taking higher doses of prescription opioids?
Machine Learning Algorithms
Influencing factors that lead to -
UC2: Target Population
Use Case Description: | Risk Stratify & prioritize segments for Engagement |
User: | Payer- Inspector General of Police Office Dashboard |
Department: |
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Pain Statement: | Each DM Campaigns has its own agenda and specific requirements collating the “at risk “members and prioritizing the members based on the Claim attributes involves time, effort and resources |
Objective: | To provide pro active insights to
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Solution | Evidence based care is a CDC recommended preventive care approach for treating opioid patients Translating the EBC and its associated care plan into analytics:
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UC2: Analytics Solution
Predictive models are developed -
High Risk
Medium Risk
Low Risk
Predictive Models -
Patient risk score
UC3: Program Integrity
Use Case Description: | Strengthening Program integrity based on the Rx |
User: | Payer- Program Monitoring Staff |
Department: |
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Pain Statement: |
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Objective: | To strengthen the Target identification & improve the risk stratification results based on the feedback from FWA analysis by subjecting a claim into variety of ways an Opioid handling entities would abuse the system, Insight would help reduce exposure to opioids and prevent abuse . |
Solution Outline: | Claim is subjected to various scenarios in which possible FWA could take place, Predictive Model will identify if claim is clean or a potential abuse /fraud of services and dollar. Model check the integrity of service rendered from Member, Prescriber and Pharmacy perspective. |
UC3: Analytics Solution
Predictive Analytics based FWA Scenarios
Social Network Analysis
Investigative Reports
To investigate –
Scenarios to highlight –
Predictive Models –
Random Forest, Decision Tree,
Logistic Regression, Naïve Bayes,
or Ensemble Models
To explore –
To assess –
UC4: Member Outreach
Use Case Description: | This use case aims to screen Members and collect patterns of prescription drug use using a survey. The responses are analyzed to identify non-medical use / problem patterns ranging from mild to severe. Based on the problem patterns, information booklets are sent to the Member. |
User: | Medicaid Beneficiary |
Department: | State Health Department |
Pain Statement: | Detect emerging problems and intervene early before the condition can progress. Well-supported scientific evidence shows that less severe forms of these conditions often respond to brief physician advice and other types of brief interventions. |
Objective: | To reduce risk factors and bolster protective factors among Members by providing -- 1. Relevant literature in the form of booklets 2. Support Program information available in their State |
Solution Outline: | 1. Include “Prescription Drug Use” Survey for Members who were prescribed opioids x times for pain management in the last <15/30/45/60> days. 2. Send information booklet(s) that can be downloaded/viewed by the Member. |
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Overview
Factors
Identify Targets
New Members
Old Members
Influencing
Factors
Inhibiting Factors to follow care plan
Risk Scoring Algorithm
Prioritize
“At Risk” Members score
Risk Stratify
( Based on CM –Campaign Goals)
CS FWA
Investigate
Program Integrity
Re-Prioritize
“At Risk” Members Score
Identify & Engage Different Targets Based on Payer’s CM-Campaigns (Goals)
Key functions of Opioid Analytics
Thank You