Exploring the Effects of Future Technologies on C2 Capability
Jonas Herkevall*, Magdalena Granåsen, Gustav Tolt & Björn JE Johansson
Startbild med låst stillebenbild. Finns 10 olika varianter i mallen.
Emerging Tech
& C2 Concepts
Current C2
Future C2
Agenda
Methodological Framework
Procedure
Method
Development
Analysis
Evaluation
Questions
Intro
Framework
A
A
NATO CD&E Process
Initiation
Research
Development
Refinement & Validation
Approval
Exploratory
Hypothesis testing
Validation
Project focus
Initiation
Explore issues
Identify opportunities
Initiation
Explore issues
Identify opportunities
A
A
Research
Development
Refinement & Validation
Approval
Exploratory
Hypothesis testing
Validation
Agenda
Methodological Framework
Procedure
Method
Development
Analysis
Evaluation
Questions
Intro
Identifying technologies
Technology card set
4 Prerequisites
4 Prerequisites
4 Prerequisites
4 Prerequisites
6 possible capabilities
6 possible capabilities
6 possible capabilities
6 possible capabilities
6 possible capabilities
6 possible capabilities
[Category] [Technology Card Name ] [#] |
[Technology description] |
Echelon (circle all relevant):
Combat level – Lower tactical– Higher tactical– Joint – Strategic
Application (Give examples):
Added value (1 = none, 5 = game changer)
1 2 3 4 5
[Image]
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
Follow-up and evaluation Automated data analysis 6 |
The technology card covers support for discovery of events and anomalies in large sets of sensor data otherwise easily overseen by human operators. Indications of deviations from expected development can be detected early, e.g., unexpected or recurring activities. The technology combines multiple types of detection and analysis functions including the identification and following of units through advanced IMINT/SIGINT functions. Results are evaluated against specified assumptions about the opponents goals and possible actions, for example, based on terrain analysis (MGI). Anomalies among own forces (e.g., combat value based on IoBT data) can be detected and analyzed. Analysis is based on sensory data from all domains and ”stridskrafter”. Analytical capability is continuously improved and adapted through self-learning AI. Powerful AI-based language models provides situationally adapted data mining from both written reports and radio communications. |
Echelons (circle all relevant):
Combat level – Lower tactical– Higher tactical– Joint – Strategic
Application (give examples):
Added values (1 = none, 5 = game changer)
1 2 3 4 5
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
Doctrine | Methods | Organization | Personnel | Command posts |
| 1. Directives | 1. HQ size | 1. Training needs | 1. Geographical distribution |
Trust vs Control 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Bottom-up vs Top-down 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Smaller vs Larger 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Low vs High 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Distributed vs Co-located 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 |
2. Information dissemination (attitude) | 2. Decision making pace | 2. Adaptability of HQ organization | 2. HQ composition | 2. Mobility |
Broad vs Directed 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Slower vs Faster 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Low vs High 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Experts vs Generalists 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Fixed vs Moveable 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 |
3. Mandates | | 3. HQ structure | 3. Role of commander | |
Human vs Technology 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | | On demand vs Fixed 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Directing vs Monitoring 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | |
Technology cards impact on C2 concerning…
Additional technical requirements/other:
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
Agenda
Methodological Framework
Procedure
Method
Development
Analysis
Evaluation
Questions
Intro
Participants
2 staff members
Land
command
8 participants
C2 Battle
School
8 staff members
Joint forces command
15 staff members
Brigade
HQ
4 cadets (2nd year)
6 teachers
Defence
University
Military
Academy
Setup & procedure
Agenda
Methodological Framework
Procedure
Method
Development
Analysis
Evaluation
Questions
Intro
[Category] [Technology Card Name ] [#] |
[Technology description] |
Echelon (circle all relevant):
Combat level – Lower tactical– Higher tactical– Joint – Strategic
Application (Give examples):
Added value (1 = none, 5 = game changer)
1 2 3 4 5
[Image]
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
T5 Internet of Battlefield Things
Echelons
L1 Combat level
L2 Lo tactical
L3 Hi tactical
L4 Joint
L5 Strategic
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
T6 Automated data analysis
Echelons
L1 Combat level
L2 Lo tactical
L3 Hi tactical
L4 Joint
L5 Strategic
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
Doctrine | Methods | Organization | Personnel | Command posts |
| 1. Directives | 1. HQ size | 1. Training needs | 1. Geographical distribution |
Trust vs Control 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Bottom-up vs Top-down 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Smaller vs Larger 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Low vs High 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Distributed vs Co-located 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 |
2. Information dissemination (attitude) | 2. Decision making pace | 2. Adaptability of HQ organization | 2. HQ composition | 2. Mobility |
Broad vs Directed 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Slower vs Faster 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Low vs High 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Experts vs Generalists 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Fixed vs Moveable 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 |
3. Mandates | | 3. HQ structure | 3. Role of commander | |
Human vs Technology 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | | On demand vs Fixed 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | Directing vs Monitoring 🡨-------------------------------------------🡪 | |
Technology cards impact on C2 concerning…
Additional technical requirements/other:
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
T5 IoBT
D1 Trust 🡨🡪 Control
D2 Broad 🡨🡪 Directed
Helsidesfoto med svart logotyp. Används till foton med ljus bakgrund.
Byt bild så här: Högerklicka på bilden, välj ”Formatera bakgrund”, välj ”Bild eller struktur”, klicka på ”Bild från fil” och välj sen det foto du vill använda.
Group discussions
What
Why
How
Agenda
Methodological Framework
Procedure
Method
Development
Analysis
Evaluation
Questions
Intro
Emerging Tech
& C2 Concepts
Current C2
Future C2
Evaluation
Simple, fast & effective
Tech as scenarios
Recruitment
Format
Understandability
Add paper prototypes?
Content & execution
Formalized steps in assessment?
No. of participants
Analysis
Agenda
Methodological Framework
Procedure
Method
Development
Analysis
Evaluation
Questions
Intro
Questions?
Startbild med låst stillebenbild. Finns 10 olika varianter i mallen.
Prerequisites
Military Geographical Information
Wide area connectivity
Data availability
The future adversary
C2 technologies
Internet of Battlefield Things (IoBT)
Automated data analysis
Advanced decision support
Joint Fires
Digital interfaces towards information
Digital meetings