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2022�Population Analysis Studies

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Twenty-Year Enrollment History

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Davis Demographics - Areas of Interest

3

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Factors Influencing Future Student Population

  • Birth Rate / Kindergarten Enrollment

  • Residential Growth

  • Families moving in or out of the district (mobility)

      • Increase in charter, private and online schools

      • Open Enrollment – other school districts

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Factors Influencing Future Student Population

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Residential Development

6

6

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Families Moving In or Out of the District (mobility)

    • Tracks students moving in and out of district by grade
    • Three-year average of student migration pattern
    • Applied district wide

Mobility is used to estimate future student retention patterns

7

Areas with a mobility above 100% are experiencing a positive retention pattern

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Charter Schools

LEA GSD resident Students are Choosing �As of March 17, 2022

Grade 01

Grade 02

Grade 03

Grade 04

Grade 05

Grade 06

Grade 07

Grade 08

Grade 09

Grade 10

Grade 11

Grade 12

Kindergarten

Grand Total

Academy for Math Engineering & Science (83)

70

66

67

53

256

American Preparatory Academy (74)

158

170

181

174

197

205

199

191

172

132

92

74

153

2098

Canyon Rim Academy (9D)

72

67

71

63

75

44

67

459

Channing Hall (2D)

1

4

3

2

1

1

2

14

City Academy (87)

1

5

4

3

3

7

23

Dual Immersion Academy (4E)

19

20

18

17

16

17

14

11

14

146

Early Light Academy at Daybreak (6F)

3

2

2

2

2

4

2

2

7

26

East Hollywood High (A8)

28

54

52

64

198

Entheos Academy (3C)

104

106

101

108

103

98

82

86

109

897

Esperanza School (2I)

67

72

68

62

65

55

79

468

Mana Academy Charter School (4I)

15

25

21

19

28

24

22

23

16

20

12

7

20

252

Monticello Academy (7C)

75

73

72

74

72

62

72

63

72

635

Real Salt Lake Academy High School (8L)

23

13

14

16

66

Utah Connections Academy (2H)

12

14

7

15

14

13

24

31

24

16

20

11

6

207

Wallace Stegner Academy (7K)

86

83

77

66

73

64

84

36

110

679

Wasatch Waldorf Charter School (5K)

41

29

30

24

30

42

35

30

37

298

Totals of the 16 listed schools

653

665

648

627

675

630

534

479

339

304

260

232

676

6,722

Grand Total with all 69 Charter Schools that GSD resident students are choosing.

890

942

886

857

904

843

809

767

588

578

554

509

939

10,066

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Nearby Districts

By District

Canyons District

October 1

# In

# Out

Total

2016

714

360

354

2017

668

373

295

2018

715

399

316

2019

719

396

323

2020

656

422

234

Jordan

October 1

# In

# Out

Total

2016

612

580

32

2017

576

581

-5

2018

631

597

34

2019

677

380

297

2020

599

275

324

Murray City

October 1

# In

# Out

Total

2016

211

755

-544

2017

199

855

-656

2018

215

867

-652

2019

224

843

-619

2020

220

722

-502

Salt Lake City

October 1

# In

# Out

Total

2016

489

1051

-562

2017

449

1111

-662

2018

486

1194

-708

2019

494

1409

-915

2020

613

1273

-660

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GSD Permits: “In” Compared to “Out”

School Year

# of Students Permitting Into GSD

# of GSD Students Permitting Out

Total

2002/2003

not available

not available

2003/2004

2001

1477

524

2005/2006

not available

not available

2006/2007

2465

1595

870

2007/2008

2027

1614

413

2008/2009

2224

1779

445

2009/2010

2189

1870

319

2010/2011

2218

2579

-361

2011/2012

2127

2760

-633

2012/2013

2202

2729

-527

2013/2014

2354

2734

-380

2014/2015

2440

2650

-210

2015/2016

2427

2549

-122

2016/2017

2350

2584

-234

2017/2018

2129

2802

-673

2018/2019

2006

3128

-1122

2019/2020

2152

3291

-1139

2020/2021

2223

3116

-893

2021/2022

2172

3154

-982

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Twenty-Year Enrollment History

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Factors Influencing Future Student Population

  • Birth Rate / Kindergarten Enrollment

  • Residential Growth

  • Families moving in or out of the district (mobility)

      • Increase in charter, private and online schools

      • Open Enrollment – other school districts

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The Process

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Population Analysis Step 1

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Population Analysis Step 2

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Population Analysis Step 3

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Population Analysis Step 4

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The Process

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Factors considered in a boundary change or closure

Include, but not limited to:

  • Contiguous boundaries
  • Feeder patterns
  • Age and condition of buildings
  • Enrollment and programming
  • Busing and transportation
  • Environmental factors
  • Safe walking routes
  • Protection of at-risk populations
  • Efficiency of district resources
  • Other factors unique to the study area

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Van Winkle/700 East Corridor Study

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The goal of this study?

Create elementary schools with optimal enrollment that will best serve our students and families.

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Davis Demographics - Areas of Interest

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Davis Demographics –Area 4

9 Schools

2019/20 Resident K-5 = 3,791

2022/23 Forecasted K-5 = 3,787

Schools Required 2022/23

K-5 = 6.9

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Elementary Enrollment Breakdown

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Small Schools

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Small Schools

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Skyline, Olympus, Cottonwood Study

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The Goal of this study?

Ensure our students and families have access to the most opportunities in each of these networks.

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High School Enrollment

Row Labels

9

10

11

12

Grand Total

COTTONWOOD SENIOR HIGH

379

395

468

369

1611

CYPRUS SENIOR HIGH

782

732

615

583

2712

GRANGER SENIOR HIGH

939

895

844

708

3386

HUNTER SENIOR HIGH

683

645

637

605

2570

KEARNS SENIOR HIGH

645

631

564

515

2355

OLYMPUS SENIOR HIGH

546

537

520

499

2102

SKYLINE SENIOR HIGH

566

497

530

512

2105

TAYLORSVILLE SENIOR HIGH

760

681

702

584

2727

Grand Total

5300

5013

4880

4375

19568

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Seeking Solutions

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Survey and Feedback

boundaries@graniteschools.org

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