1 of 21

Growth hacking. Hypothesis testing. Feature prioritization framework

Ani Aghababyan

Product Manager at SFL

+ 8 years | web, mobile

2 of 21

Growth hacking

3 of 21

Definition

Growth hacking is all about using innovative techniques to dramatically increase your traffic, conversion rate and user base with minimal expenditure—and thus grow your company quickly

4 of 21

Growth team

5 of 21

Growth hacking

PRODUCT

GROWTH

MARKETING

6 of 21

Growth hacking

Before

  • Single person
  • Engineer
  • Magic

Now

  • Growth team
  • Variety of skills
  • System

RUNNING A LOT OF EXPERIMENTS

7 of 21

Timing

8 of 21

Timing

Days left to run �experiments �215 days�=�43 weeks

9 of 21

Intensity

1 hypothesis per week

< 30% hypotheses being approved

= 13 growth hacks per year

= 2-5% growth

10 of 21

Intensity

5 hypothesis per week

= 65 growth hacks per year

= 130% growth

< 30% hypotheses being approved

11 of 21

Scientific approach. Hypothesis

A specific, testable prediction. �It describes, in concrete terms, what you expect will happen in a certain circumstance.

Growth hypothesis�Action [X] will increase metrics [N] with [Y] value because of [Z].

12 of 21

Where do the hypotheses come from

Case studies

Examples

Advises

Researches

Reports

Ideas

Hypotheses

13 of 21

Hypothesis generation

Action

On plan selection page change “Buy now” button color from red to green

Expected result

Payment page conversion will increase by 10%

Justification

Bottle neck, conversion rate increase on this layer will significantly affect our target metrics + I love color green

14 of 21

ICE Score - Estimation of hypothesis

ICE Score

  • Impact
  • Confidence
  • Ease

15 of 21

ICE Score

Impact�1 - 10

The potential gain from the feature, presented in terms of business/strategic objectives

1 : No impact on revenue (or other target business metric)�2 – 5: Minimal impact on revenue (or other target business metric)�6 – 8: Definite impact on revenue (or other target business metric)�9 – 10: Significant impact on revenue (or other target business metric)

16 of 21

ICE Score

Confidence�1 - 10

The level to which the team feels the feature is understood/scoped and possible to do�

1 – 3: High risk (many unknowns and little supporting evidence about the potential feature) �4 – 7: Medium Risk (good information is available, but the blueprint for execution is still unclear)�8 – 10: Low/mitigated risk (plenty of customer feedback and data points backing the feature)

17 of 21

ICE Score

Ease�1 - 10��The degree of complexity involved in completing the feature (in simple terms – how long it will take to finish)��1 – 2: One month or more�3 -5 : One to two weeks�6 – 7: Less than a week�8 – 10: Less than one day

18 of 21

Score and Prioritization

Score�I + C + E = XX (Sum of impact, confidence and ease)

Team member

1

2

3

Impact

8

8

8

Confidence

7

5

8

Ease

2

7

8

Score

17

20

24

Priority

61

19 of 21

Other frameworks

  • RICE scoring model
  • Weighted scoring
  • MoSCoW
  • Affinity grouping
  • Buy-a-Feature
  • Value vs. Complexity
  • DACI
  • Quality Function Deployment (QFD)
  • Kano model
  • etc...

20 of 21

Iconic Growth Hacking Examples

  • Every time a friend whom you invited to Dropbox created an account, �both you and your friend would get 250mb of extra space. Cost 500mb.
  • Paypal paid users to sign up. Every time a friend you referred �created an account, both you and your friend would received $10.
  • Airbnb. By improving the photos of listing on their site, they dramatically�increased the number of bookings. Reverse engineering API to cross �post Craigslist
  • YouTube implemented the ability for users to easily embed videos �wherever they wanted.

21 of 21

Thank you!

Ani Aghababyan

ani.aghababyan@sflpro.com