1 of 13

Pulse and Pace:

Two Desirable Attributes for

Extending Legacy Systems’

Effectiveness

Paper #047, Topic 6

27th ICCRTS, Quebec City

​

By

​

Dr Jonathan E Czarnecki

US Naval War College

October 2022

​

2 of 13

Background: The Problem:

Systems’ Performance

Weapons Systems:

Decision Systems:

3 of 13

Nagorno-Karabakh War

2020

4 of 13

Russia-Ukraine War

2022

5 of 13

Background: Limits

6 of 13

Human Information Processing

AI Information Processing

7 of 13

What we need to do to opposition sensing:

Maximize Information Uncertainty

8 of 13

Pulse

Pace

9 of 13

10 of 13

Range (000s of meters)

1 2 3 4 5 6

Probability of Kill (Pk)

0

50

75

90

100

Figure 4

Notional Effects of Drones/PGM and Uncertainty Actions

On Tank Vulnerability

Near (?) Future:

Uncertainty (pulse and pace) Applied

Baseline:

Recent Past

Present:

Drones/PGM

11 of 13

12 of 13

Or….

13 of 13

Challenges

  • Trust (in AI)
  • Integration into existing systems
  • Adaptation to improved threat vectors
  • Human-AI Interface
  • Ethics