Chapter Chats�Ratification Ballot Q&A
Wednesday, April 12, 2023 – 8:00 p.m. EDT
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Welcome & Chat Overview
Curt Gomulinski, MI Epsilon 2001
Executive Director
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Housekeeping Notes
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Tau Beta Pi Discord
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��Ratification Ballot Q&A
Stacey L. Forkner
WI Alpha 1996
Director of the District Program
James W. Johnson
NC Alpha 1977
Trust Advisory Committee Chair
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Ratification Ballot Q&A Agenda
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Tau Beta Pi—The Engineering Honor Society
Ratification Ballot Process
Curt Gomulinski, MI Epsilon 2001
Executive Director
Tau Beta Pi Headquarters
Tau Beta Pi—The Engineering Honor Society
Tau Beta Pi—The Engineering Honor Society
Ratification Ballot Process
Tau Beta Pi—The Engineering Honor Society
Tau Beta Pi—The Engineering Honor Society
Ratification Ballot Process
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Amendment Support
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Resources Available
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Questions?
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Director of the District Program�Amendment Ratification
Stacey L. Forkner
WI Alpha 1996
Director of the District Program
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What is the District Program?
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Director of the District Program vs. District Directors
District Directors
Director of the District Program
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TBP Organizational Structure
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Director of the District Program Role
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Trial vs. Permanent Role
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Questions?
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Private Equity�Constitution Ratification
James W. Johnson
NC Alpha 1977
Trust Advisory Committee Chair
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Tau Beta Pi Trust Fund
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Tau Beta Pi Trust Fund
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Trust Fund Spending Guide
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Diversification with potential for higher returns
Median VCMM 10-year risk and return projections | 70/30 portfolio | Private equity portfolio (30% of equity) | Difference (with/without) | Percent change (with/without) |
Nominal return | 4.52% | 5.37% | +85 bps | +19% |
Real return | 2.88% | 3.69% | +81 bps | +28% |
Volatility | 11.30% | 10.86% | –44 bps | –4% |
Sharpe ratio | 0.25 | 0.34 | — | +33% |
Distribution of projected 10-year real returns
Probability of a negative return in any given year over 10 years
IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by the Vanguard Capital Markets Model® (VCMM) regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Distribution of return outcomes from VCMM are derived from 10,000 simulations for each modeled asset class. Results from the model may vary with each use and over time. For more information on VCMM, see the Important Information slide.
Note: Vanguard analysis based on 30-year VCMM projections that integrate certain third-party data and assumptions. Baseline 70/30 portfolio consists of: 42% U.S. equity, 28% non-U.S. equity, 23% U.S. fixed income, and 7% USD hedged
international fixed income. Private equity portfolio consists of: 29% U.S. equity, 20% non-U.S. equity, 21% private equity, 23% U.S. fixed income, and 7% USD hedged international fixed income.
■ | 70/30 portfolio |
■ | Private equity portfolio (30% of equity) |
70/30 portfolio
Private equity portfolio
5.4%
7.8%
-0.3%
2.0%
3.7%
4.7%
7.3%
-1.4%
1.1%
2.9%
100% 100%
For institutional use only. Not for distribution to retail investors. 4
Slide ID # S055643
73%
16%
64%
12%
0% return or worse
–10% return or worse
–20% return or worse
Tracking #: 1623792 | Expiration date: 11/02/2022 |
Reasons for considering private equity (PE)
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Sources: Vanguard calculations using data from Preqin as of December 31, 2019. AUM excludes uncalled commitments (“dry powder”).
Examples are of companies in that phase of PE development in the recent past, although some have since become public or a subsidiary of a public company.
Private investment AUM
Growth equity
Minority stakes in established companies requiring capital for expansion.
Examples: Kind, Ducati
Venture capital
Minority stakes in young companies. Potential for rapid growth and outsized returns with higher risk.
Examples: Facebook, Lyft, Pets.com
For institutional use only. Not for distribution to retail investors. 5
Slide ID # S055644
Buyout
Majority stakes in mature companies with potential for selling at a premium after improving
operations or governance.
Examples: Staples, Dell, Thomson Reuters
Tracking #: 1623792 | Expiration date: 11/02/2022 |
Defining private equity
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HarbourVest model track record – MSCI ACWI
Vintage
Liquidated / Matured
Developing / Building Value
Investing
Investment Period
Net Model TV/F
‘00-02 ‘01-03 ‘02-04 ‘03-05 ‘04-06 ‘05-07 ‘06-08
1.7x 1.8x 2.0x 1.9x 1.8x 1.7x 1.7x
‘07-09 ‘08-10
1.7x 1.8x
‘09-11 ‘10-12 ‘11-13 ‘12-14 ‘13-15 ‘14-16 ‘15-17 ‘16-18 ‘17-19 ‘18-20
2.0x 2.1x 2.2x 2.4x 2.3x 2.2x 2.1x 2.0x 1.8x 1.7x
PME+
Net Model IRR 11.0% 13.9% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 23.6% | 23.3% | 22.6% | 24.0% | 27.8% | 29.0% | 32.9% |
MSCI ACWI TR 6.0% 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 20.3% |
Model 5.0% 5.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% |
11%
14%
19% 19%
14%
9%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
18%
24%
23%
23%
24%
28%
29%
33%
6%
9%
9%
7%
6%
5%
6%
7%
8%
11%
10%
11%
11%
11%
12%
14%
16%
17%
20%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Fund 1 Fund 2 Fund 3 Fund 4 Fund 5 Fund 6 Fund 7 Fund 8 Fund 9
Fund 10 Fund 11 Fund 12 Fund 13 Fund 14 Fund 15 Fund 16 Fund 17 Fund 18 Fund 19
Track Record Net IRR
MSCI ACWI TR PME+
Outperformance
Source: HarbourVest. As of June 30, 2021.
These model portfolios are intended to show the prior performance of the types of investments that will be considered by the fund. Each model (hypothetical) portfolio is based on the actual primary, secondary, and direct co-investments made by the HarbourVest team during a three year investment period (primary investments) or during a two year investment period (secondary and direct co-investments). See ‘Additional Important Information’ at the end of the presentation, including important disclosures related to Net Performance Returns, Public Market Comparison, and Model Hypothetical Performance. Also, see ‘Additional Information (HarbourVest Model Track Record)’ at the end of the presentation for important disclosures related to the model performance shown. Model performance results are inherently limited and should not be considered a reliable indicator of future results. No investor received the indicated performance of the model portfolios.
Confidential – for qualified purchaser and accredited investor use only.
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Projected private equity net asset value development
For Illustrative Purposes Only. This illustrative model shall not be shared with or disseminated to any third party, and cannot be relied upon by you in any regard. Neither Vanguard nor HarbourVest is providing you with investment advice through this illustrative model.
HarbourVest is not responsible for any advice that may be otherwise provided by Vanguard to you and shall not be responsible for updating this illustrative model. The services, information, and data made available herein are provided "as is" without warranties of any kind. Neither HarbourVest nor Vanguard makes any representations or warranties regarding the condition or functionality of this model, its suitability for use, or that it is error-free. This model and the use thereof by Vanguard is subject to the terms of any applicable framework or other agreement in place from time to time between HarbourVest and Vanguard.
$8
$7
$6
$5
$4
$3
$2
$1
$0
2022
2028
2031
2030
VG Fund 2027
2023
VG Fund 2022
VG Fund 2028
2024 2025
VG Fund 2023
VG Fund 2029
2026
VG Fund 2024
VG Fund 2030
2027
VG Fund 2025
VG Fund 2031
2029
VG Fund 2026 Target PE NAV
This information is provided at your request, solely as an example of the pace at which capital may be called by the fund(s). Investors and prospective investors should bear in mind that any future data presented is a hypothetical model and, as such, does not reflect actual timing or underlying fund performance and should not be construed as predicting the future. Hypothetical assumptions used in this modeling exercise are HarbourVest estimates based on prior fund experience, current market conditions, and current fund expectations. The actual pace and timing of cash flows is likely to be different and will be highly dependent on the funds’ commitment pace, the types of investments made by the funds, the investment pace of the underlying partnerships, and market conditions. Market conditions have a strong impact on investments and realizations and could materially change these projections. Neither HarbourVest nor Vanguard is under no obligation to update or revise the information presented for changes that may occur after the date of preparation. These projections should be used solely as a guide and should not be relied upon to manage your investments or make investment decisions. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and there can be no assurance that future funds will achieve comparable results. Investments in private funds involve significant risks, including loss of the entire investment. In preparation of this model, every effort has been made to offer the most current, correct, and clearly expressed information possible. HarbourVest and Vanguard hereby disclaim any and all responsibility for any errors and accuracy of the information that may be contained herein. The information and data included herein have been compiled by HarbourVest from a variety of sources, and are subject to change without notice. HarbourVest makes no warranties or representations whatsoever regarding the quality, content, completeness, suitability, adequacy, sequence, accuracy, or timeliness of such information and data. Before deciding to invest any investment, prospective investors should pay particular attention to the risk factors applicable to their situation, as well as those provided in any investment documentation.
Slide ID # S043652
Tracking #: 1615971
Expiration date: 10/4/2022
Private Equity summary
Legacy and future Vanguard PE commitments, as of January 31, 2022
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Be prepared for negative cash flow in the early years as you, the limited partner (LP), make periodic investments (capital calls)
before you see distributions or gains when companies are sold.
Life cycle of a single private equity partnership
Capital from LPs called to fund investments. Underperfoming companies can contribute further to negative return.
Investments exited or close to it. Distributions to LPs. Provisions to extend in one- or two-year increments up to a maximum of four years.
Capital calls continue. Initial investments start to mature; some exited. Cash distributions to LPs.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Investment stage (years 1–5)
Liquidation stage (years 8–10)
Development stage (years 3–8)
■ | Capital calls |
■ | Distributions |
| Cumulative net cash flow |
Tracking #: 1623792 | Expiration date: 11/02/2022 |
Source: Vanguard.
Slide ID # S055649
For institutional use only. Not for distribution to retail investors. 9
The J-curve: Cumulative net cash flow over the life span of a single private equity partnership
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The process leveraged Vanguard’s expertise in public manager search while also assessing factors specific to private investing, such as portfolio construction, client support, and alignment with Vanguard
199 Firms
5 firms
2 firms
45 firms
11 firms
Universe screens, Barclays, Current partners/search managers
Qualitative diligence
Manager search team interviews
Site visits with senior leaders
Final negotiations and due diligence
HarbourVest Selected
Drivers for investment success
Results
People
Philosophy
Process
Firm
Portfolio
Performance
Tracking #: 1799359 | Expiration date: 11/4/2022 |
Slide ID # S044202
Vanguard engaged in a thorough search process to narrow our opportunity set to HarbourVest, the firm we believe will generate the best results for our clients
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This information is provided at your request, solely as an example of the pace at which capital may be called by the fund(s). Investors and prospective investors should bear in mind that any future data presented is a hypothetical model and, as such, does not reflect actual timing or underlying fund performance and should not be construed as predicting the future. Hypothetical assumptions used in this modeling exercise are HarbourVest estimates based on prior fund experience, current market conditions, and current fund expectations. The actual pace and timing of cash flows is likely to be different and will be highly dependent on the funds’ commitment pace, the types of investments made by the funds, the investment pace of the underlying partnerships, and market conditions. Market conditions have a strong impact on investments and realizations and could materially change these projections. Neither HarbourVest nor Vanguard is under no obligation to update or revise the information presented for changes that may occur after the date of preparation. These projections should be used solely as a guide and should not be relied upon to manage your investments or make investment decisions. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and there can be no assurance that future funds will achieve comparable results. Investments in private funds involve significant risks, including loss of the entire investment. In preparation of this model, every effort has been made to offer the most current, correct, and clearly expressed information possible. HarbourVest and Vanguard hereby disclaim any and all responsibility for any errors and accuracy of the information that may be contained herein. The information and data included herein have been compiled by HarbourVest from a variety of sources, and are subject to change without notice. HarbourVest makes no warranties or representations whatsoever regarding the quality, content, completeness, suitability, adequacy, sequence, accuracy, or timeliness of such information and data. Before deciding to invest any investment, prospective investors should pay particular attention to the risk factors applicable to their situation, as well as those provided in any investment documentation.
Slide ID # S043652
Tracking #: 1615971
Expiration date: 10/4/2022
For Illustrative Purposes Only. This illustrative model shall not be shared with or disseminated to any third party, and cannot be relied upon by you in any regard. Neither Vanguard nor HarbourVest is providing you with investment advice through this illustrative model.
HarbourVest is not responsible for any advice that may be otherwise provided by Vanguard to you and shall not be responsible for updating this illustrative model. The services, information, and data made available herein are provided "as is" without warranties of any kind. Neither HarbourVest nor Vanguard makes any representations or warranties regarding the condition or functionality of this model, its suitability for use, or that it is error-free. This model and the use thereof by Vanguard is subject to the terms of any applicable framework or other agreement in place from time to time between HarbourVest and Vanguard.
Years Ending | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 |
Commitments | | | | | | | | | | |
Vanguard HarbourVest PE Fund | $3.6 | $3.6 | $3.6 | $1.5 | $1.0 | $1.0 | $1.0 | $1.0 | $1.5 | $1.5 |
Cumulative Commitments | $3.6 | $7.2 | $10.8 | $12.3 | $13.3 | $14.3 | $15.3 | $16.3 | $17.8 | $19.3 |
Capital Calls | | | | | | | | | | |
Vanguard HarbourVest PE Fund | -$0.6 | -$1.4 | -$1.8 | -$2.0 | -$1.9 | -$1.8 | -$1.7 | -$1.5 | -$1.4 | -$1.4 |
Cumulative Calls | -$0.6 | -$2.0 | -$3.8 | -$5.8 | -$7.7 | -$9.5 | -$11.2 | -$12.7 | -$14.1 | -$15.5 |
Distributions | | | | | | | | | | |
Vanguard HarbourVest PE Fund | $0.0 | $0.1 | $0.3 | $0.6 | $1.6 | $2.6 | $3.0 | $3.0 | $2.7 | $2.6 |
Cumulative Distributions | $0.0 | $0.1 | $0.4 | $1.1 | $2.7 | $5.3 | $8.3 | $11.3 | $14.0 | $16.6 |
Net PE Cash Flows | -$0.6 | -$1.3 | -$1.5 | -$1.3 | -$0.3 | $0.8 | $1.4 | $1.5 | $1.2 | $1.2 |
Cumulative PE Cash Flows | -$0.6 | -$1.9 | -$3.4 | -$4.7 | -$5.0 | -$4.2 | -$2.8 | -$1.4 | -$0.1 | $1.1 |
Net Asset Value | | | | | | | | | | |
Vanguard HarbourVest PE Fund | $0.6 | $2.0 | $3.8 | $5.8 | $7.1 | $7.4 | $7.3 | $7.1 | $7.1 | $7.1 |
Total Net Asset Value | $0.6 | $2.0 | $3.8 | $5.8 | $7.1 | $7.4 | $7.3 | $7.1 | $7.1 | $7.1 |
Assets Under Management | | | | | | | | | | |
Total AUM | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 | $36.0 |
Target PE NAV | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 | $7.2 |
Total +/- Target PE NAV | -$6.6 | -$5.2 | -$3.4 | -$1.4 | -$0.1 | $0.2 | $0.1 | -$0.1 | -$0.1 | -$0.1 |
Private Equity summary
Legacy and future Vanguard PE commitments, as of January 31, 2022
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Access
Consistent exposure to high-quality, oversubscribed funds
Slide ID # S044202
Performance
Strong results relative to public indices and private market peers
Scale
Substantial asset base enables robust risk modeling and deep bench of operations personnel
Capabilities
Specialized investment teams add value above simply providing capital
Relationships
Strong, broad network of long-term relationships with GPs
Tracking #: 1799359 | Expiration date: 11/4/2022 |
HarbourVest leverages its decades of experience in private markets to drive investment success for its clients
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The product’s three-year commitment cycle provides an added layer of vintage year diversification to the fund’s
base allocations
Geography
Strategy
Stage
Tracking #: 1799359 | Expiration date: 11/4/2022 |
Slide ID # S044202
● | North America |
● | Europe |
● | Asia |
● | Primary |
● | Secondary* |
● | Co-investments* |
● | Buyout |
● | Venture capital |
● | Debt/other |
* Secondary and co-investments are primarily buyout investments.
HarbourVest’s resources and global fund construction display its ability to provide a comprehensive solution for our clients
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