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Chapter 8

Health Care

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Economics of Health Care

  • Health care is too important to leave to the market, vs. health care is too important not to be exposed to the market
  • Reform is difficult
  • Powerful vested interests
  • Every dollar saved by using more cost-effective procedures is someone’s dollar of income

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Economics of Health Care

  • During WWII, with wage and price controls in place, employers offered insurance as an additional benefit
  • Has since continued as an employee benefit
  • 80 percent of health care costs are paid by insurance
  • Led to overuse & higher prices
  • Tendency to regulate (rather than replace) the insurance industry

LO1

21-3

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Economics of Health Care

  • National Issue:
    • People without Health Insurance
    • Increasing Share of Federal and State Budgets
    • Labor Disputes over Health Insurance
    • Insurance Companies Dictating Medical Care
    • Ethical Questions
    • Affordable Care Act (Obamacare)

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Economics of Health Care

  • Health Care Industry
    • Hospitals, Nursing Homes, Labs, Doctors’ Offices, Drugs, Artificial Limbs, Eyeglasses
    • 17 million employed, 850,000 physicians, over 5,800 hospitals, over one billion office visits each year
    • Accounts for 17.9% of GDP (5% in 1960), and 10% of total employment

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Economics of Health Care

  • Twin Problems: Costs and Access
    • Controlling costs and increasing accessibility
  • High & Rising Health Care Costs
    • Price and Quantity; Demand and Supply
    • Absolute terms, % of GDP and per capita
  • Total Spending on Health Care
    • Insurance (80%)
    • Deductibles , Co-payments & cash (20%)
    • Medicare & Medicaid (triple as % of GDP by 2050); monthly premiums cover 25% of benefits provided

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

  • Total health care expenditures in the United States
    • Not adjusted for inflation
    • 1960: $28 billion
    • 2011: $2.7 trillion (almost 100 times the 1960 number)
    • Quality increases are part of rise in costs, i.e., it’s not just inflation

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Figure 8-1: National health care expenditures as a percent of GDP of the Western industrialized countries and Japan, 2013

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Are We Healthier?

  • Good news:
    • Average life expectancy increased by 6 years since 1970.
    • U.S. physicians and hospitals use the most advanced medical equipment and technology
    • More than one-half of world’s medical research is done in the U.S.
  • Bad News:
    • Many nations rank higher in life expectancy, maternal mortality and infant mortality

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

  • Infant mortality rate
    • The number of infants who die before their first birthday per every 1,000 live births
  • Life expectancy
    • The age to which a baby born in a particular year can be expected to live on average

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Table 8-3: Life expectancies and infant mortality ratesa for the western industrialized countries and Japan, 2012

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Table 8-3 (cont.): Life expectancies and infant mortality ratesa for the western industrialized countries and Japan, 2012

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

  • United States: (17.9% of GDP)
    • Lowest life expectancy, highest infant mortality rate
  • Japan: (10.1% of GDP)
    • Highest life expectancy, lowest infant mortality rate

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

  • Quality of US health care varies
    • Infant mortality rate
      • Whites: 5.6
      • African-Americans: 13.2
    • Life expectancy
      • Whites: 78.4
      • African Americans: 74.3
  • Important factors
    • Income and discrimination

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

  • Director of the World Health Organization
    • “There are 3 Americas. There is high quality health care for the rich and mediocre health care for the middle income class. However... ‘it‘s the bottom 5 percent or 10 percent, made up of Native Americans... the inner-city poor, rural blacks and Appalachia that is the third America. They have health conditions as bad as those in sub-Saharan Africa.’”

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Five Year Survival Rates

Prostate Cancer

Breast Cancer

U.S.

98.6%

88.7%

U.K.

71.0%

81.0%

France

61.7%

80.3%

Germany

67.6%

71.7%

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U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Summary

  • High and increasing health care costs in the U.S.
  • Our health indicators are below those of other developed nations
  • Health indicators vary by race and ethnicity
  • Why do we spend so much on health care, yet we have relatively poor outcomes?
  • Answer: rising costs and lack of access

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  • Escalating health care costs
    • A growing demand for health care
    • Waste and inefficiency
  • Physician sovereignty
    • A medical doctor’s control over the demand for medical procedures (e.g., MRIs)
    • Fee-for-service
      • The charging of a specific fee for provision of a specific health care service (e.g., X-rays; 4X)

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  1. Defensive medicine
    • The ordering of unnecessary tests and services by health care professionals solely to protect themselves from charges of malpractice
    • If a test is not ordered and the insurance company finds out, the insurance company may drop that person from its coverage
    • Malpractice insurance
      • Insurance carried by health care professionals to protect themselves from large malpractice damage awards

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  1. Third-party payment
    • Insurance pays 80 percent of all payments
  2. Rapid technological change
    • More expensive (What’s cold and clammy and out of date?)
    • When hospitals invest in highly specialized equipment, hospital costs must then increase
    • Medical experts and their patients judge hospitals by quality of physicians who are on staffs
      • Reputable medical doctors choose to practice at hospitals that have all the latest technology available
    • New pharmaceutical products

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  1. Cost shifting
    • The practice of recovering the unpaid costs of some patients by charging higher prices to other patients
  2. Attitudes of patients
    • Any treatment should be available to us, more tests are better than less, aggressive medical treatment can cure virtually anything
    • Because they have insurance, they demand excessive care without much regard for cost
  3. Rising incomes
    • Elasticities: price (-.2); income (1 to 1.5)

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  1. An aging population
    • Over 65: 3.5 times the care of others
    • Over 65: 12.4% of 2000 pop.; 20% in 2030
    • Last year of life
  2. Unhealthy life styles
    • Smoking, alcohol, weight
    • Moral hazard problem
  3. Consequences
    • Medical costs have been skyrocketing

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  1. Waste and inefficiencies
    • Unnecessary tests and medical procedures
    • Unnecessary surgeries and drugs
    • Extremely expensive equipment
    • Paperwork costs
    • Patients forgo cost-effective preventative health care interventions
      • Prenatal care; blood pressure checks
      • Child immunizations

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Consequences of These Characteristics

  • Have caused medical costs to skyrocket over time
  • Physician sovereignty, third-party payment, and increase in tests and treatments caused by rapid technological change and defensive medicine all imply increases in demand for health care
  • Installation of new technology and continual replacement of “old” technology, as well as expansion of number of hospital beds and doctors, represent increase in supply of health care
  • Consumer advocates maintain that much of our health care expenditures are wasted on unnecessary tests and medical procedures
  • Paperwork costs are tremendous
  • End up at a point inside the PPC

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Figure 8-3: Increased demand for medical care

Because demand has increased since 1960, medical care prices have

risen as we have consumed a greater quantity of health care.

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Figure 8-2: Production possibilities curve for health care

As we have moved from point A to point B, we have obtained more health care, but we have

given up other goods and services. At point C, we are using our resources inefficiently.

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  • US hospitals, clinics, etc.
    • Non-profit and for-profit
    • Consolidation
  • Insurance companies, pharmaceutical firms
    • For-profit
  • Question:
    • Should healthcare be a for-profit industry?
  • Single-payer system
    • Save an estimated 15-20% of costs

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U.S. Health Care Problems

  • Lack of access to health care
    • Health insurance or program
      • Private insurance
        • Purchased from a private insurance company
        • Through place of employment
      • Public health coverage
        • By the government: Medicare, Medicaid
    • Many people have no health coverage

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Table 8-4: Percent of people without health insurance�coverage, by race and ethnicity, 2011-12

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Vocabulary of Insurance

  • Deductible: the amount of health spending a year that you have to pay before the insurance company pays anything
  • Co-payment: either a set amount or the percentage of the bill after the deductible has been taken out that you have to pay
  • Maximum out-of-pocket: the most that a person or family will have to pay over a year for all covered health expenses

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Public Insurance: Medicare

  • All those over 65 are eligible
  • Part A
    • Covers expenses incurred in hospitals
    • Compulsory
    • Financed with premiums and 1.45% payroll tax on employers and employees
  • Part B
    • Covers doctor visits
    • Voluntary
    • Financed with premiums and general tax revenue
  • Part D
    • Prescription coverage
    • Financed with premiums

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Public Insurance: Medicaid

  • Covers the poor
    • Means tested
    • eligibility standards vary from state to state
  • No premiums are required
  • Some states have very small co-payments
  • State Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP)
    • Health care to children in families whose income is too high to qualify for medicaid

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The Affordable Health Care Act

  • Passed in 2010 by President Obama and Congress
  • Goals
    • Achieve universal health coverage
    • Contain costs and apply mandates
  • Means
    • Extend heath care to the uninsured
    • To make health care more affordable
    • New policies and regulations

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The Affordable Health Care Act

  • Prior to PPACA health insurers could
    • cut off dependent children from coverage under their parents’ health insurance the first year after their children reached 23,
    • consider, charge more for, and deny coverage for any medical condition a prospective client had prior to purchasing insurance through the company.
    • set annual and lifetime limits on how much they would cover.
    • set prior conditions by which they could rescind coverage and they were free to raise the rates of those who became ill (and therefore expensive to the company).
    • charge rates that were different for men and women.
    • Be free from most government intervention when it came to premiums, profit and the proportion of premiums taken up with administrative costs.

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The Affordable Health Care Act

  • PPACA requires that health insurers
    • allow dependent children to stay on their parents health insurance through age 25,
    • to accept everyone without regard to health status,
    • charge the same to healthy and the unhealthy alike
    • charge the same for men and women.
    • no longer set lifetime limits
    • no longer set annual limits.
    • no longer rescind coverage or raise rates on the sick
  • How does each of these impact health care costs?

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What Insurance Companies Can Still Do

  • They will be allowed to
    • charge older customers no more than three times what they charge younger ones (though younger ones typically cost one fifth or less than what older ones cost),
    • charge 50 percent more to tobacco users.
    • set up broad geographic price differences
    • charge more for larger families than smaller ones.

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Are These All Good For Everyone?

  • Preventing one person from facing an adverse consequence spreads the adverse consequence to others.
  • Some provisions will cost employers (who may choose to employ fewer people)
  • Some will simply shift costs from one group to another.
  • What about the promise made that Americans could keep their present health care coverage if they were happy with it?

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The Affordable Health Care Act

  • New taxes
    • Higher income Medicare tax
    • Higher income capital gains tax
    • Cadillac insurance tax (40%)
    • Excise tax on sales of medical devices
    • 10% tax on indoor tanning

LO5

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The Affordable Health Care Act

  • Objections and alternatives
    • Greater inefficiencies in health care (additional layers of bureaucracy)
    • First step to national health insurance (and nonprice rationing)
    • Lack of sufficient revenue sources in the future
    • Increased inefficient consumption as a result of increased coverage
    • Need to force consumers to weigh marginal benefits and costs (e.g., Singapore plan)

LO5

21-40

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Other Options for Health Care in the U.S.: From the Economic Right

  • Privatization & increased competition, supply side of health care
  • Privatization
    • Of government-owned and government-run hospitals
      • Increase competition among hospitals
      • Pay more attention to the bottom line
        • Eliminating a great deal of inefficiency
  • Advertising within the health care industry
    • Improve competition among suppliers

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.:�From the Economic Right

  • Increased competition, demand side
    • Well-informed consumer
    • But, people’s choices are constrained by
      • Insurance coverage, the availability of providers accepting Medicare and Medicaid
  • Curtailment/elimination of Medicare, Medicaid
    • Rising health care costs: demand that is not regulated by the usual norms of frugality

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.:�From the Economic Right

  • Medical Savings Accounts
    • Insurance
    • The purchaser makes payments into an account that can be drawn against in times of illness
    • Monies not spent for medical care are returned to the insured person

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.:�From the Economic Left

  • Competition
    • Among health insurance companies—“keeps them honest”
  • National health insurance
    • Universal, single-payer, non-profit
    • Canadian model
    • Doctors, etc., paid directly by the government
    • Fees negotiated by industry and gov’t
    • Criticism: rationing and waiting periods

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.:�From the Economic Left

  • Socialized medicine
    • Similar to national health insurance
    • Extensive gov’t intervention in health care
    • British model
    • Doctors, etc., salaried government employees
    • Hospitals and clinics government-owned
    • Relatively little bureaucracy
    • Criticism: rationing and waiting periods

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.

  • Managed care
    • Health maintenance organization (HMO)
      • Group practice
      • Contracts with insurance companies
    • Preferred provider organization (PPO)
      • Similar—contracts with insurance
      • A group of medical providers contract to provide the insured patient’s medical care at discounted rates

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.

Vouchers a Better Solution than insurance?

    • A voucher is a token that can be used to buy only the item that the voucher specifies.
    • So a healthcare voucher could be used to buy only health insurance.

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.

Vouchers have four advantages over public and private insurance:

    • Vouchers can be used with public and private insurance and result in competition between them.
    • Governments can set the total value of vouchers to overcome bureaucratic overproduction.
    • Vouchers spread the public contribution across millions of consumers.

4. By giving the buying power to patients, producers compete and provide quality service at the lowest attainable cost.

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.

Self-insurance

    • Some large employers are bypassing the insurance companies and negotiating directly with hospitals and doctors
      • Acting as their own insurance companies
    • Intel, Walmart, Boeing, Lowe’s, and Oracle
    • Governments of San Francisco and Wisconsin
    • Can be expanded with smaller businesses collectively purchasing healthcare

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Singapore’s Health Care System

  • Rated by WHO as one of the best
  • Spent just 3.8% of GDP on health care
  • Competition between hospitals
    • Must post prices, and government tracks performance
  • Increased out-of-pocket expenses (92%)
  • Required to save 6% of income in MediSave
    • Private property
    • Government subsidizes the poor and those whose MediSave accounts have been exhausted.

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Other Plans

  • Whole Foods
    • Each full-time employee has $1,800 per year deposited into a “wellness” account
    • Company pays for a high-deductible HIP that covers 100% of all medical expenses exceeding $2,500 in a given year
    • At most, employees are on the hook for $700 per year
    • The $1,800 and $700 are personal property, so employee must consider opportunity costs resulting in less spending

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Other Plans

  • State of Indiana
    • Each employee has $2,750 per year deposited into a health savings account
    • Company provides an insurance policy that covers 80% of medical expenses between $2,750 and $8,000 and 100% of all medical expenses exceeding $8,000 in a given year
    • Results showed a 35% reduction in medical expenses for those choosing this plan compared to employees choosing traditional PPO plan
    • Voluntary participation went from 2% in first year to 70% in second year

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Conservative versus Liberal

Liberals

  • Market has done a poor job of allocating medical care
  • Special characteristics of health care make it unlikely that the market will ever reach a fair and equitable solution
  • Favor policy ranging from bolstering Medicaid and Medicare to developing national health programs on the order of those in other industrialized countries

Conservatives

  • Strongly oppose national health programs
    • Expansion of the government’s role
  • Privatization and increased competition
  • Trimming of Medicare and Medicaid,
  • Development of medical savings accounts
  • Stronger role for the unregulated market

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Recent House Republican Plan (voted down)

  • ACA calculated the credits based on the cost of insurance in a given area and how much the purchaser could afford to pay.
  • Republican plan would have handed out tax credits on a flat basis, according to age.
  • Both plans cut off subsidies at a certain income level

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Recent House Republican Plan (voted down)

  • The biggest losers under the Republican plan would have been older Americans with low incomes who live in high-cost areas.
    • Those are the people who benefited most from Obamacare.
  • The winners were likely to be younger, earn higher incomes and live in areas where the cost of health insurance is low.

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Recent House Republican Plan (voted down)

  • ACA's subsidies were structured to limit how much low- and middle-income Americans could be asked to pay for health insurance.
  • Under the Republican proposal, many of the people whose tax credits would fall sharply would likely have ended up uninsured.
  • For people with few resources, a gap of several thousands of dollars between their tax credit and the cost of coverage would have been impossible to make up.

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Recent House Republican Plan (voted down)

  • GOP program still represented a very large outlay of federal money to help Americans buy health insurance.
  • Before Obamacare passed, those buying their own insurance did not receive government subsidies.
  • The tax credits in the Republican bill would have gone to people regardless of whether they even paid taxes
    • Another reason some conservatives oppose it.

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Recent Developments

  • President Trump cuts off health subsidies
  • Democrats and republicans agree on plan to temporarily stabilize healthcare insurance market
  • . . . . . .