刺猬与狐狸:�社会科学学科与区域国别研究的张力与融合
王昭晖
国际关系学院/南洋研究院
厦门大学
2022年7月7日
看图说话
一、引言
二、社会科学学科
Rethinking social sciences: Marx and Weber’s centrality
Politics
(state)
Sociology
(society)
Economics
(market)
三、区域国别研究
区域国别研究何以成“区域国别学”?
- concepts, theories, methods with (some degree of) generalizability
- ontology, epistemology, and methodology
杠精发问:历史研究何以成“历史学”?
- concepts, theories, methods with (some degree of) generalizability
- ontology, epistemology, and methodology
四、二者的张力与融合
VS.
五、一个例子
China’s Belt and Road Initiative
Perception
Decision making
Policy implementation
Leader images
Domestic institutions
State-society relations
International outcomes
A conceptual typology of foreign policy making
| Foreign policy making is insulated from or responsive to political oppositions and societal influences | ||
Insulated | Responsive | ||
Foreign policy making is a personalized or an institutionalized process | Personalized | Arbitrary type | Populist type |
Institutionalized | Procedural type | Democratic type | |
An explanatory typology of socio-political risks on BRI projects
| Foreign policy making is insulated from or responsive to political oppositions and societal influences | ||
Insulated | Responsive | ||
Foreign policy making is a personalized or an institutionalized process | Personalized | Medium-level | High-level |
Institutionalized | Low-level | Medium-level | |
From idea types to empirical cases
Main findings
| Foreign policy making is insulated from or responsive to political oppositions and societal influences | ||
| Insulated | Responsive | |
Foreign policy making is a personalized or institutionalized process | Personalized | Medium level of political risks on BRI projects in Malaysia | Relatively high level of socio-political risks on BRI projects in Philippines |
Institutionalized | Relatively low level of risks on Singapore-China BRI cooperation | Medium level of societal risks on BRI projects in Indonesia | |
六、结语